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Denver vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-73
36-33 33-40
Position#233
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#253
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game57.5
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Denver v Sacramento State
04 Dec 2024
DENV80
SACR59
14 Nov 2022
DENV69
SACR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A04/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A05/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
61-84
61
84
-23
H11/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A18/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A26/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
40-34
30-37
35-36
35-35
26-49
37-39
39-45
23-29
46-43
29-31
62-49
36-31
47-46
35-32
27-50
35-30
33-33
49-29
41-39
150.8Avg total
74.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.065.5144.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)79.065.5144.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.676.2150.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.874.0152.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.077.9145.9-9.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.871.1141.9-0.462%
vs Weaker (4)84.272.0156.2+12.275%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#106
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A10/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
15-31
33-37
47-38
34-25
49-26
35-37
46-38
38-32
31-43
29-28
43-43
31-22
26-32
28-39
33-44
25-39
25-37
29-24
36-31
134.8Avg total
66.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)57.565.5123.0-8.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)57.565.5123.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)66.868.0134.8-1.260%
Last 5 (5)61.067.8128.8-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.174.1137.2-11.021%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.864.6130.4+1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
DenverSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A04/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A05/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H11/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A18/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H11/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.668.3-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.134.470.4+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.666.4-6.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.966.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.036.268.2-4.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)28.937.065.9-8.125%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.570.8+7.850%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#106
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A10/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A13/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.532.461.9-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.631.260.9-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)29.433.462.9-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.763.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)28.430.458.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.134.564.5-4.437%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)27.929.257.1-1.340%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HColorado College90-68
08/11/22HIdaho68-63
06/03/22ANorth Dakota St62-82
26/02/22AWestern Illinois83-77
25/02/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)91-80
18/02/22ANebraska O.69-72
12/02/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes76-84
11/02/22HSouth Dakota St.61-84
05/02/22ANorth Dakota St65-73
04/02/22ANorth Dakota81-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22AUC San Diego65-55
08/11/22AUCLA50-76
10/03/22AMontana State61-83
09/03/22HIdaho57-54
06/03/22AMontana72-71
04/03/22AMontana State69-75
27/02/22HEast. Washington81-75
25/02/22HIdaho83-51
20/02/22AIdaho State80-75
18/02/22AWeber State50-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game65.565.5-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total144.5144.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game57.5-57.5
Allowed / game65.5-65.5
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total123.0-123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver220100%79.065.5+13.5
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)32167%75.760.3+15.3
3 South Dakota Coyotes32167%75.375.3+0.0
4 South Dakota St.21150%74.073.5+0.5
5 North Dakota21150%63.076.5-13.5
6 Oral Roberts31233%70.074.3-4.3
7 Nebraska O.31233%68.078.7-10.7
8 UMKC41325%70.068.2+1.8
9 North Dakota St3030%67.783.0-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State21150%62.058.5+3.5
2 Weber State21150%67.568.0-0.5
3 Sacramento State21150%57.565.5-8.0
4 Idaho31233%85.765.0+20.7
5 Idaho State31233%70.362.0+8.3
6 Northern Colorado31233%59.385.0-25.7
7 Portland State2020%81.090.5-9.5
8 Northern Arizona3030%64.076.7-12.7
9 East. Washington3030%61.076.3-15.3
10 Montana2020%63.588.5-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver363369
Sacramento State334073
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