DePaul vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 77-58

41-26 36-32

Position#314

Record1-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game77.0

DePaul 🏆

Valparaiso

Position#279

Record3-7

FormLWLLL

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game69.9

NCAA

Other2020-21

Meetings · DePaul v Valparaiso

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

DePaul winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valparaiso winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DePaul

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Xavier

#192

67-78

-11

A26/02

NCAA

Butler

#70

42-60

-18

A29/02

NCAA

Marquette

#115

69-68

H04/03

NCAA

Providence

#130

55-93

-38

A07/03

NCAA

Xavier

#192

71-67

A12/03

NCAA

Western Illinois

#297

91-72

+19

H24/12

NCAA

Providence

#185

90-95 OT

-5

A27/12

NCAA

Uconn

#87

61-82

-21

A31/12

NCAA

Seton Hall

#176

68-76

-8

H09/01

NCAA

Uconn

#87

53-60

-7

A11/01

NCAA

36-44

31-34

22-29

20-31

32-32

37-36

25-55

30-38

38-34

33-33

44-25

47-47

29-34

45-40

27-41

34-41

28-40

40-36

30-33

23-27

141.8Avg total

66.7Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	72.6	77.0	149.6	-4.4	20%
Season at home (2)	79.5	74.0	153.5	+5.5	50%
Season away (3)	68.0	79.0	147.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	66.7	75.1	141.8	-8.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	77.0	149.6	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	67.6	74.1	141.7	-6.6	26%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	82.3	71.7	154.0	+10.7	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valparaiso USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vanderbilt

#274

71-77

-6

A28/11

NCAA

Illinois (Chi.)

#217

50-66

-16

A02/12

NCAA

Purdue

#97

61-68

-7

A05/12

NCAA

Judson

#478

85-45

+40

H06/12

NCAA

Siu Edwardsville

#287

80-58

+22

H10/12

NCAA

Central Michigan

#296

79-84

-5

A12/12

NCAA

Purdue Northwest

#383

89-71

+18

H17/12

NCAA

Toledo

#40

57-71

-14

A19/12

NCAA

Missouri State

#50

68-81

-13

H09/01

NCAA

Missouri State

#50

68-78

-10

H10/01

NCAA

34-34

37-43

19-28

31-38

34-23

27-45

39-23

46-22

33-22

47-36

30-44

49-40

45-32

44-39

25-26

32-45

37-41

31-40

29-38

39-40

140.7Avg total

70.8Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	70.8	69.9	140.7	+0.9	30%
Season at home (5)	78.0	66.6	144.6	+11.4	60%
Season away (5)	63.6	73.2	136.8	-9.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.8	69.9	140.7	+0.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	77.0	149.2	-4.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	65.6	74.0	139.6	-8.4	12%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	70.5	71.1	141.6	-0.6	43%
vs Weaker (8)	75.6	63.1	138.8	+12.5	100%

This opponent (DePaul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

DePaulValparaiso

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

DePaulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Xavier

#192

36-44

-8

A26/02

NCAA

Butler

#70

22-29

-7

A29/02

NCAA

Marquette

#115

32-32

H04/03

NCAA

Providence

#130

25-55

-30

A07/03

NCAA

Xavier

#192

38-34

A12/03

NCAA

Western Illinois

#297

44-25

+19

H24/12

NCAA

Providence

#185

29-34

-5

A27/12

NCAA

Uconn

#87

27-41

-14

A31/12

NCAA

Seton Hall

#176

28-40

-12

H09/01

NCAA

Uconn

#87

30-33

-3

A11/01

NCAA

67.8Avg total

31.1Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.0	34.5	66.5	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.3	33.8	66.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.6	35.3	66.9	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.1	36.7	67.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	34.6	66.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	31.3	35.3	66.6	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	37.7	28.0	65.7	+9.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vanderbilt

#274

34-34

A28/11

NCAA

Illinois (Chi.)

#217

19-28

-9

A02/12

NCAA

Purdue

#97

34-23

+11

A05/12

NCAA

Judson

#478

39-23

+16

H06/12

NCAA

Siu Edwardsville

#287

33-22

+11

H10/12

NCAA

Central Michigan

#296

30-44

-14

A12/12

NCAA

Purdue Northwest

#383

45-32

+13

H17/12

NCAA

Toledo

#40

25-26

-1

A19/12

NCAA

Missouri State

#50

37-41

-4

H09/01

NCAA

Missouri State

#50

29-38

-9

H10/01

NCAA

63.6Avg total

32.5Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.2	33.1	64.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.9	30.9	64.7	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.9	35.0	63.9	-6.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	31.1	63.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	36.2	69.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	30.4	34.1	64.5	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	29.5	35.1	64.6	-5.6	21%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.0	28.4	63.4	+6.6	88%	-

This opponent (DePaul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	38.0	73.9	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	37.9	70.8	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	36.3	70.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.2	76.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	34.9	37.4	72.3	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	44.7	43.7	88.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.9	74.5	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	34.4	74.3	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	37.2	74.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.5	39.2	73.8	-4.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.6	35.4	75.9	+5.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.2	33.6	72.9	+5.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

DePaul wins

Valparaiso wins

No previous meetings.

DePaullast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/21	A	Uconn	53-60
09/01/21	H	Seton Hall	68-76
31/12/20	A	Uconn	61-82
27/12/20	A	Providence	90-95 OT
24/12/20	H	Western Illinois	91-72
12/03/20	A	Xavier	71-67
07/03/20	A	Providence	55-93
04/03/20	H	Marquette	69-68
29/02/20	A	Butler	42-60
26/02/20	A	Xavier	67-78

Valparaisolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/21	H	Missouri State	68-78
09/01/21	H	Missouri State	68-81
19/12/20	A	Toledo	57-71
17/12/20	H	Purdue Northwest	89-71
12/12/20	A	Central Michigan	79-84
10/12/20	H	Siu Edwardsville	80-58
06/12/20	H	Judson	85-45
05/12/20	A	Purdue	61-68
02/12/20	A	Illinois (Chi.)	50-66
28/11/20	A	Vanderbilt	71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

DePaul

NCAA 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	20%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Points / game	72.6	79.5	68.0
Allowed / game	77.0	74.0	79.0
Point differential	-4.4	+5.5	-11.0
Avg total	149.6	153.5	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

Valparaiso

NCAA 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	30%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	60%	0%
Points / game	70.8	78.0	63.6
Allowed / game	69.9	66.6	73.2
Point differential	+0.9	+11.4	-9.6
Avg total	140.7	144.6	136.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Villanova	9	8	1	89%	80.1	67.1	+13.0
2	Uconn	8	7	1	88%	73.1	61.8	+11.4
3	Xavier	12	10	2	83%	78.8	69.6	+9.2
4	Creighton	13	10	3	77%	81.9	69.0	+12.9
5	Seton Hall	14	9	5	64%	74.9	71.0	+3.9
6	Marquette	14	8	6	57%	73.1	69.6	+3.5
7	Providence	13	7	6	54%	74.2	71.8	+2.3
8	St. John's (N.Y.)	14	7	7	50%	79.0	78.5	+0.5
9	Butler	11	4	7	36%	63.6	68.7	-5.1
10	Georgetown	11	3	8	27%	71.5	73.7	-2.3
11	DePaul	5	1	4	20%	72.6	77.0	-4.4

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Missouri Valley conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Drake	13	13	0	100%	83.9	59.9	+24.0
2	Belmont	15	14	1	93%	79.9	67.6	+12.3
3	Southern Illinois	10	7	3	70%	72.7	69.3	+3.4
4	Bradley	11	7	4	64%	74.6	62.3	+12.4
5	Illinois (Chi.)	10	6	4	60%	71.2	71.0	+0.2
6	Evansville	12	6	6	50%	65.8	68.1	-2.2
7	Murray State	10	4	6	40%	80.2	69.1	+11.1
8	Illinois State	10	4	6	40%	78.4	79.5	-1.1
9	Indiana State	11	4	7	36%	67.2	71.3	-4.1
10	Valparaiso	10	3	7	30%	70.8	69.9	+0.9
11	Northern Iowa	11	3	8	27%	73.5	73.5	+0.0