Deportes Castro vs Ancud Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 75-64

21-19 15-12 20-16 19-17

Position#9

Record6-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game77.7

Deportes Castro 🏆

Ancud

Position#6

Record4-8

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game83.7

LNB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Deportes Castro v Ancud

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ancud winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

81-92

-11

H08/10

LNB

Catolica

#12

72-54

+18

H09/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

73-70

H12/10

LNB

Valdivia

97-104 OT

104

-7

A15/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

77-91

-14

A16/10

LNB

Las Animas

85-86

-1

H21/10

LNB

Osorno

80-71

H22/10

LNB

Ancud

70-89

-19

A26/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

75-81

-6

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

75-64

+11

A30/10

LNB

24-25

25-22

15-24

17-21

15-18

14-6

21-15

22-15

10-13

16-24

24-15

23-18

17-19

18-14

22-27

21-18

16-18

15-16

19-29

27-28

20-19

21-17

26-31

18-19

20-15

29-15

19-13

12-28

14-21

17-29

23-21

16-18

17-21

23-15

15-18

20-27

23-24

9-15

19-14

24-11

158.7Avg total

78.5Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	77.1	77.7	154.8	-0.6	50%
Season at home (5)	78.2	74.6	152.8	+3.6	60%
Season away (7)	76.3	79.9	156.1	-3.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	80.2	158.7	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	78.2	155.2	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	84.6	91.7	176.2	-7.1	42%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	82.3	84.8	167.1	-2.5	38%
vs Weaker (2)	67.5	56.0	123.5	+11.5	100%

This opponent (Ancud) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ancud

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Catolica

#12

72-52

+20

H08/10

LNB

Leones Quilpue

97-88

H09/10

LNB

Valdivia

82-84

-2

H12/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

69-103

103

-34

A15/10

LNB

Valdivia

69-84

-15

A16/10

LNB

Osorno

84-85

-1

H22/10

LNB

Las Animas

86-83

H22/10

LNB

Deportes Castro

89-70

+19

H26/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

97-98 OT

-1

A29/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

75-86

-11

A30/10

LNB

13-10

21-18

22-14

16-10

23-17

23-24

22-17

29-30

22-24

23-26

16-17

21-17

16-25

12-29

19-25

22-24

14-20

13-22

16-19

26-23

23-12

21-26

17-21

23-26

14-12

26-22

20-26

26-23

21-14

29-17

21-23

18-16

19-22

19-13

24-22

12-17

21-10

15-24

16-27

23-25

165.3Avg total

82.0Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.2	83.7	165.9	-1.4	33%
Season at home (6)	85.0	77.0	162.0	+8.0	67%
Season away (6)	79.5	90.3	169.8	-10.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	83.3	165.3	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	84.4	170.6	+1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	86.5	90.7	177.2	-4.2	17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	84.7	84.3	169.1	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (6)	81.3	79.2	160.5	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroAncud

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.9	39.2	-2.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.7	22.5	43.3	-1.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.0	18.5	31.5	-5.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.0	33.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.2	38.7	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.1	40.5	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	9.5	24.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.1	43.6	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.6	38.4	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	23.7	42.8	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.2	20.6	40.7	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	50%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

49-47

H08/10

LNB

Catolica

#12

29-24

H09/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

26-37

-11

H12/10

LNB

Valdivia

35-33

A15/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

31-34

-3

A16/10

LNB

Las Animas

41-36

H21/10

LNB

Osorno

49-30

+19

H22/10

LNB

Ancud

31-50

-19

A26/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

40-36

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

32-39

-7

A30/10

LNB

72.9Avg total

36.3Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	39.6	82.5	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	41.1	77.9	-4.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	36.6	72.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.2	43.6	83.8	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	28.0	55.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Ancud) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Catolica

#12

34-28

H08/10

LNB

Leones Quilpue

46-41

H09/10

LNB

Valdivia

45-50

-5

H12/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

28-54

-26

A15/10

LNB

Valdivia

27-42

-15

A16/10

LNB

Osorno

44-38

H22/10

LNB

Las Animas

40-34

H22/10

LNB

Deportes Castro

50-31

+19

H26/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

38-35

A29/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

36-34

A30/10

LNB

77.5Avg total

38.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.6	81.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	41.6	79.5	-3.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	34.4	76.0	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.0	43.7	85.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.7	39.2	77.8	-0.5	67%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	23.5	42.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.3	25.0	46.3	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	23.9	43.7	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	24.5	47.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.2	21.6	42.7	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	21.1	42.8	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	22.3	43.6	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	13.0	32.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.3	20.8	41.2	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.8	44.6	86.4	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.3	43.5	87.8	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	45.5	85.2	-5.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	42.3	47.1	89.4	-4.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	28.0	68.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	42.5	84.5	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	45.1	85.3	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.2	85.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.5	47.0	91.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.5	42.4	83.9	-0.9	28%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

Ancud wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/16	Ancud v Deportes Castro	89-70
15/11/15	Deportes Castro v Ancud	99-88
14/11/15	Ancud v Deportes Castro	90-82
05/10/14	Deportes Castro v Ancud	91-80
04/10/14	Ancud v Deportes Castro	78-80

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/16	A	U. De Concepcion	75-64
29/10/16	A	Espanol de Talca	75-81
26/10/16	A	Ancud	70-89
22/10/16	H	Osorno	80-71
21/10/16	H	Las Animas	85-86
16/10/16	A	Puerto Montt	77-91
15/10/16	A	Valdivia	97-104 OT
12/10/16	H	Puerto Montt	73-70
09/10/16	H	Catolica	72-54
08/10/16	H	Leones Quilpue	81-92

Ancudlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/16	A	Espanol de Talca	75-86
29/10/16	A	U. De Concepcion	97-98 OT
26/10/16	H	Deportes Castro	89-70
22/10/16	H	Las Animas	86-83
22/10/16	H	Osorno	84-85
16/10/16	A	Valdivia	69-84
15/10/16	A	Puerto Montt	69-103
12/10/16	H	Valdivia	82-84
09/10/16	H	Leones Quilpue	97-88
08/10/16	H	Catolica	72-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	77.1	78.2	76.3
Allowed / game	77.7	74.6	79.9
Point differential	-0.6	+3.6	-3.6
Avg total	154.8	152.8	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Ancud

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	33%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	82.2	85.0	79.5
Allowed / game	83.7	77.0	90.3
Point differential	-1.4	+8.0	-10.8
Avg total	165.9	162.0	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	17%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Espanol de Talca	8	7	1	88%	85.1	76.1	+9.0
2	Leones Quilpue	12	10	2	83%	92.5	84.5	+8.0
3	Valdivia	9	7	2	78%	87.3	78.0	+9.3
4	Las Animas	9	6	3	67%	86.9	82.7	+4.2
5	Osorno	12	7	5	58%	84.2	79.5	+4.8
6	Puerto Montt	10	5	5	50%	78.9	76.2	+2.7
7	Deportes Castro	12	6	6	50%	77.1	77.7	-0.6
8	U. De Concepcion	8	3	5	38%	84.1	86.2	-2.1
9	Ancud	12	4	8	33%	82.2	83.7	-1.4
10	Tinguiririca	12	4	8	33%	74.8	79.6	-4.8
11	Puente Alto	10	2	8	20%	73.6	85.5	-11.9
12	Catolica	12	2	10	17%	69.6	82.6	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	21	15	20	19	75
Ancud	19	12	16	17	64

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs Ancud Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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