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Derthona Basket W vs Broni W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-51
20-14 22-10 20-11 14-16
Position#4
Record11-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game67.0
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
vs
Broni W
Italy
Position#9
Record7-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game71.4
ItalySerie A1 WRound 22· Palaoltrepo
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broni W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Broni W
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 66
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
62avg 66
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 66
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 66
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 66
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
68avg 66
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 66
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
39avg 66
H21/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
93-55
93
55
+38
87avg 66
A01/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
30-13
19-14
20-23
25-9
8-16
16-15
20-9
24-22
21-21
17-10
24-12
13-14
14-17
10-14
14-16
11-16
14-20
17-16
20-19
27-23
18-16
11-17
17-13
20-20
16-13
19-23
17-14
27-18
22-10
14-31
22-14
13-18
14-16
15-19
15-12
34-21
21-8
17-11
21-15
137.3Avg total
73.2Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.967.0139.9+5.958%
Season at home (9)69.063.8132.8+5.256%
Season away (10)76.569.9146.4+6.660%
Last 10 (10)73.264.1137.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)76.066.4142.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.571.8132.2-11.20%
vs Similar (5)63.463.2126.6+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.868.4149.2+12.483%
This opponent (Broni W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Broni WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 51
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
80-63
80
63
+17
73avg 51
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
26avg 51
A10/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
68-62
68
62
+6
no box
H18/01
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 51
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
51-63
51
63
-12
31avg 51
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
57avg 51
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
37avg 51
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
46avg 51
A22/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
59-74
59
74
-15
47avg 51
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
13-30
14-19
23-20
26-15
16-10
18-17
20-21
13-17
7-14
9-30
11-20
19-15
17-15
19-17
13-15
27-19
12-14
18-20
10-20
16-16
3-18
17-16
15-13
21-20
19-19
21-10
9-15
19-20
7-5
8-21
11-13
21-13
14-26
8-18
14-15
12-21
21-11
15-27
11-15
129.5Avg total
60.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)62.571.4133.9-8.937%
Season at home (10)63.070.6133.6-7.640%
Season away (9)61.972.3134.2-10.433%
Last 10 (10)60.069.5129.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)56.466.4122.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.972.6132.6-12.722%
vs Similar (10)64.964.8129.7+0.140%
vs Weaker (2)66.575.5142.0-9.050%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
Derthona Basket WBroni W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broni W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H21/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A01/03
Serie A1 W
71.1Avg total
38.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.635.172.7+2.555%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.533.769.3+1.855%-
Last 30 away (11)39.736.576.2+3.355%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.471.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.675.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.538.065.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (5)32.833.866.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.236.178.2+6.175%-
This opponent (Broni W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Broni WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A10/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/01
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A22/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
64.9Avg total
31.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.066.2-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.834.965.7-4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)31.735.166.8-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.364.9-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.864.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.635.364.8-5.739%-
vs Similar (10)33.733.066.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)34.042.576.5-8.550%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.2
48.1%
46.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
72.6%11.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broni Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broni W: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.317.8
43.1%
46.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.0
27.0%
30.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws12.89.4
73.4%
72.6%9.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Derthona Basket W
WLWWWLLWWW
Broni W
LLLWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#9
+19.0
Net rating
-12.4
95.4
Offensive rating
76.7
76.4
Defensive rating
89.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
42.3%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.6%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.6%
3-point %
27.0%
59.6%
Assist %
46.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 76.7Defence76.4 · 89.1Shooting50.1% · 42.3%3-point %35.6% · 27.0%Ball care17.0% · 21.6%Off. rebounds35.2% · 32.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Derthona Basket W   ■ Broni W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Derthona Basket W wins
0
Broni W wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Broni W v Derthona Basket W63-84
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ABrixia W93-55
21/02/26HSchio W57-65
15/02/26ARoseto W85-73
07/02/26HSan Martino W72-70
24/01/26HBattipaglia W73-69
18/01/26AVenezia W62-71
10/01/26HCampobasso W51-61
28/12/25ASassari W86-65
21/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-49
14/12/25ABroni W84-63
Broni Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HSan Martino W59-74
22/02/26AVenezia W57-72
15/02/26ACampobasso W45-59
08/02/26HBrixia W70-64
01/02/26HSan Giovanni W51-63
25/01/26ARoseto W67-73
18/01/26HSassari W68-62
10/01/26ASchio W40-81
28/12/25HBattipaglia W80-63
14/12/25HDerthona Basket W63-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%56%60%
Points / game72.969.076.5
Allowed / game67.063.869.9
Point differential+5.9+5.2+6.6
Avg total139.9132.8146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%22%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Broni W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game62.563.061.9
Allowed / game71.470.672.3
Point differential-8.9-7.6-10.4
Avg total133.9133.6134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W20200100%82.055.3+26.8
2 Venezia W2016480%74.462.2+12.2
3 Campobasso W2015575%67.760.5+7.2
4 San Giovanni W2012860%65.260.6+4.5
5 Derthona Basket W1911858%72.967.0+5.9
6 San Martino W2081240%69.272.7-3.5
7 Roseto W1971237%70.876.3-5.5
8 Broni W1971237%62.571.4-8.9
9 Sassari W2071335%67.874.7-6.8
10 Brixia W1931616%59.179.5-20.4
11 Battipaglia W2021810%63.676.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Derthona Basket W2022201476
Broni W1410111651
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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