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Roseto W vs Derthona Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-85
18-27 10-22 31-14 14-22
Position#6
Record6-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game75.9
Roseto W
Italy
vs
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record9-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game67.5
ItalySerie A1 WRound 19· PalaMaggetti
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
73avg 62
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 62
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
88-66
88
66
+22
88avg 62
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
75-64
75
64
+11
72avg 62
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 62
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
50-72
50
72
-22
37avg 62
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 62
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
74avg 62
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
81avg 62
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
73avg 62
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-21
16-20
21-25
26-17
23-16
12-24
25-12
16-14
30-19
15-17
27-16
13-9
19-19
18-21
25-15
11-29
25-19
6-21
20-22
12-22
19-12
10-19
9-19
22-32
10-13
17-23
18-17
19-27
14-12
20-18
20-10
16-19
27-17
14-22
21-16
19-21
19-21
17-18
26-24
149.5Avg total
73.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.175.9145.9-5.838%
Season at home (8)74.574.5149.0+0.050%
Season away (8)65.677.2142.9-11.625%
Last 10 (10)73.775.8149.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)69.876.4146.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.780.2144.9-15.611%
vs Similar (2)87.067.5154.5+19.5100%
vs Weaker (5)73.071.4144.4+1.660%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 66
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 66
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-38
87
38
+49
94avg 66
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 66
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
62avg 66
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 66
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 66
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 66
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
68avg 66
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
21-21
20-16
25-21
16-22
18-21
17-22
15-14
21-15
28-15
20-3
18-5
15-13
30-13
19-14
20-23
25-9
8-16
16-15
20-9
24-22
21-21
17-10
24-12
13-14
14-17
10-14
14-16
11-16
14-20
17-16
20-19
27-23
18-16
11-17
17-13
20-20
16-13
19-23
17-14
137.8Avg total
73.6Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.967.5139.4+4.456%
Season at home (8)70.563.6134.1+6.962%
Season away (8)73.471.4144.8+2.050%
Last 10 (10)73.664.2137.8+9.470%
Last 5 (5)68.867.2136.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.774.0135.7-12.30%
vs Similar (5)63.463.2126.6+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.269.3148.5+9.980%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
Roseto WDerthona Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H08/02
Serie A1 W
75.9Avg total
38.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)35.838.374.1-2.538%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.038.977.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (8)32.637.870.4-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.975.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.274.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.440.072.4-7.611%-
vs Similar (2)47.533.080.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker (5)37.237.474.6-0.260%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/02
Serie A1 W
72.6Avg total
38.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)36.735.872.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.433.770.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (9)37.038.275.2-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.672.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.739.367.0-11.70%-
vs Similar (5)32.833.866.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.237.677.8+2.670%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.8
47.4%
46.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.6
35.8%
30.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws9.36.9
74.2%
72.6%6.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.8
46.5%
46.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
30.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.3%
72.6%11.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto W
LWWLLLWWWL
Derthona Basket W
WWLLWWWWLW
#6
League position
#4
-2.7
Net rating
+13.9
92.9
Offensive rating
101.4
95.6
Defensive rating
87.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.8%
3-point %
37.8%
74.3%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 101.4Defence95.6 · 87.5Shooting49.9% · 50.2%3-point %35.8% · 37.8%Ball care19.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 35.1%Free throws0.14 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Roseto W   ■ Derthona Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto W wins
1
Derthona Basket W wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Derthona Basket W v Roseto W86-77
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HCampobasso W81-84
01/02/26ABattipaglia W78-74
25/01/26HBroni W73-67
10/01/26HVenezia W67-85
28/12/25ASan Giovanni W50-72
20/12/25HSchio W62-91
13/12/25ABrixia W75-64
07/12/25HSassari W88-66
03/12/25HSan Martino W86-69
29/11/25ADerthona Basket W77-86
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HSan Martino W72-70
24/01/26HBattipaglia W73-69
18/01/26AVenezia W62-71
10/01/26HCampobasso W51-61
28/12/25ASassari W86-65
21/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-49
14/12/25ABroni W84-63
06/12/25HBrixia W87-38
03/12/25ASchio W66-79
29/11/25HRoseto W86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game70.174.565.6
Allowed / game75.974.577.2
Point differential-5.8+0.0-11.6
Avg total145.9149.0142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game71.970.573.4
Allowed / game67.563.671.4
Point differential+4.4+6.9+2.0
Avg total139.4134.1144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W18180100%83.255.3+27.9
2 Venezia W1814478%74.762.4+12.3
3 Campobasso W1713476%69.561.0+8.5
4 San Giovanni W1610662%65.759.5+6.2
5 Derthona Basket W169756%71.967.5+4.4
6 Broni W167944%64.172.0-7.9
7 Sassari W1871139%68.174.8-6.8
8 Roseto W1661038%70.175.9-5.8
9 San Martino W1751229%68.274.3-6.1
10 Brixia W1631319%58.678.8-20.2
11 Battipaglia W181176%62.877.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto W1810311473
Derthona Basket W2722142285
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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