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Derthona Basket W vs Roseto W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-77
20-19 21-21 20-16 25-21
Position#4
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game73.0
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
vs
Roseto W
Italy
Position#6
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game76.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 8· Palaoltrepo
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#10
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
H28/12
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#4
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
42avg 60
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 60
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
46avg 60
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 60
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 60
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 60
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
23-10
18-17
23-12
14-24
24-18
12-23
21-6
22-17
13-24
17-15
7-15
22-18
11-13
14-18
9-16
16-14
7-26
17-16
29-17
14-25
19-15
9-9
15-12
14-16
10-23
12-23
21-10
25-21
22-19
20-21
18-22
13-26
23-18
24-27
31-13
142.6Avg total
71.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.273.0142.2-3.833%
Season at home (2)63.072.5135.5-9.50%
Season away (4)72.273.2145.5-1.050%
Last 10 (9)71.970.7142.6+1.244%
Last 5 (5)71.874.6146.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.072.0129.0-15.00%
vs Similar (3)65.768.7134.3-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)76.077.8153.8-1.850%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
52-76
52
76
-24
15avg 50
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
70avg 50
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 50
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
50avg 50
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
63avg 50
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
41avg 50
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
14-21
17-24
8-17
23-19
14-13
23-20
11-12
12-21
11-24
30-22
20-28
23-27
14-18
19-11
15-26
25-17
16-22
16-13
11-18
9-18
19-20
12-22
9-9
140.0Avg total
64.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.076.0140.0-12.017%
Season at home (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
Season away (4)61.280.5141.8-19.20%
Last 10 (6)64.076.0140.0-12.017%
Last 5 (5)66.476.0142.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)61.276.0137.2-14.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)69.576.0145.5-6.50%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
Derthona Basket WRoseto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#10
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H28/12
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Serie A1 W
72.4Avg total
35.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)35.237.272.4-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (4)33.234.868.0-1.525%-
Last 30 away (5)36.839.276.0-2.440%-
Last 10 (9)35.237.272.4-2.033%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.673.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.039.063.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (3)34.737.772.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.241.276.5-6.025%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/11
Serie A1 W
71.2Avg total
32.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)32.239.071.2-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (2)39.035.574.5+3.5100%-
Last 30 away (4)28.840.869.5-12.00%-
Last 10 (6)32.239.071.2-6.833%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.873.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.837.566.2-8.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.717.5
42.0%
46.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.7
29.5%
30.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.5
66.3%
72.6%9.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.2
47.3%
46.7%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.75.7
23.0%
30.9%17.0
🏀 Free throws11.07.3
66.7%
72.6%7.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Derthona Basket W
WWLLLLLWW
Roseto W
LLLLWL
#4
League position
#6
-7.5
Net rating
-17.2
91.6
Offensive rating
85.3
99.1
Defensive rating
102.5
42.9%
Effective FG%
42.5%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
21.9%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
29.5%
3-point %
23.0%
68.2%
Assist %
55.0%
44%
Form (last 9/6)
17%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 85.3Defence99.1 · 102.5Shooting42.9% · 42.5%3-point %29.5% · 23.0%Ball care18.5% · 21.9%Off. rebounds33.1% · 31.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 9/6)44% · 17%
■ Derthona Basket W   ■ Roseto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Derthona Basket W wins
0
Roseto W wins
No previous meetings.
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ASan Martino W91-84
02/11/25ABattipaglia W85-83
26/10/25HVenezia W57-72
19/10/25ACampobasso W57-61
11/10/25HSassari W69-73
05/10/25ASan Giovanni W56-65
14/02/25AVenezia W59-71
05/01/25HSan Giovanni W84-80 OT
28/12/24HBattipaglia W89-47
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ACampobasso W49-69
08/11/25HBattipaglia W68-70
02/11/25ABroni W71-82
19/10/25AVenezia W73-95
12/10/25HSan Giovanni W71-64
04/10/25ASchio W52-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game69.263.072.2
Allowed / game73.072.573.2
Point differential-3.8-9.5-1.0
Avg total142.2135.5145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game64.069.561.2
Allowed / game76.067.080.5
Point differential-12.0+2.5-19.2
Avg total140.0136.5141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W770100%81.052.6+28.4
2 Venezia W76186%76.661.3+15.3
3 Campobasso W75271%72.960.0+12.9
4 San Giovanni W64267%68.060.2+7.8
5 Broni W63350%66.875.8-9.0
6 Sassari W73443%66.375.7-9.4
7 Derthona Basket W62433%69.273.0-3.8
8 San Martino W62433%64.772.8-8.2
9 Battipaglia W61517%62.773.7-11.0
10 Roseto W61517%64.076.0-12.0
11 Brixia W61517%58.076.8-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Derthona Basket W2021202586
Roseto W1921162177
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