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Derthona Basket W vs Sassari W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-73
16-14 7-26 17-16 29-17
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWWLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game65.0
Derthona Basket W
Italy
vs
Sassari W 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game64.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 2· Palaoltrepo
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derthona Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#10
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
H28/12
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#4
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
42avg 42
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
23-10
18-17
23-12
14-24
24-18
12-23
21-6
22-17
13-24
17-15
7-15
22-18
11-13
14-18
9-16
137.8Avg total
72.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)56.065.0121.0-9.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)56.065.0121.0-9.00%
Last 10 (4)72.065.8137.8+6.250%
Last 5 (4)72.065.8137.8+6.250%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)70.072.5142.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)59.071.0130.0-12.00%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
61avg 60
H27/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 60
A05/04
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 60
H09/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 60
H16/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 60
A19/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
76-67
76
67
+9
68avg 60
H23/04
Serie A1 W
Panathlitikos W
#45
W
72-56
72
56
+16
77avg 60
A18/09
EuroCup Women
Panathlitikos W
#45
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 60
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Martino W
#8
W
76-64
76
64
+12
62avg 60
H04/10
Serie A1 W
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 60
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
24-19
16-20
15-23
17-14
16-22
21-22
10-19
16-21
22-19
21-19
14-23
21-12
26-16
17-15
11-22
15-30
26-19
12-10
18-23
30-11
9-11
19-20
18-25
17-13
16-9
19-18
20-16
23-16
20-17
12-6
11-23
22-10
23-15
18-22
13-17
22-14
21-16
22-10
15-13
141.3Avg total
72.3Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.064.0140.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)76.064.0140.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.369.0141.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)74.060.4134.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.481.2143.6-18.88%
vs Similar (8)69.070.8139.8-1.838%
vs Weaker (8)73.065.8138.8+7.275%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
Derthona Basket WSassari W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#10
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H28/12
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/10
Serie A1 W
71.5Avg total
38.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)38.533.071.5+5.550%-
Last 30 at home (2)43.030.073.0+13.050%-
Last 30 away (2)34.036.070.0-2.050%-
Last 10 (4)38.533.071.5+5.550%-
Last 5 (4)38.533.071.5+5.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H27/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/04
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H16/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/04
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H23/04
Serie A1 W
Panathlitikos W
#45
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A18/09
EuroCup Women
Panathlitikos W
#45
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Martino W
#8
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H04/10
Serie A1 W
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H09/10
EuroCup Women
72.5Avg total
40.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.374.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.435.073.4+3.453%-
Last 30 away (13)35.440.375.7-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.472.5+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.626.467.0+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.740.675.3-5.923%-
vs Similar (8)39.037.476.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)40.131.972.0+8.275%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 54.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.014.0
38.9%
46.7%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.0
23.1%
30.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws12.08.0
66.7%
72.6%8.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.4
45.9%
46.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.5
76.7%
72.6%12.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Derthona Basket W
LLWW
Sassari W
WWWWWLWLLL
#4
League position
#7
-15.6
Net rating
+5.5
76.4
Offensive rating
95.1
91.9
Defensive rating
89.5
37.1%
Effective FG%
46.4%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
20.5%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
23.1%
3-point %
31.4%
65.0%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
60%

Profile

Offence76.4 · 95.1Defence91.9 · 89.5Shooting37.1% · 46.4%3-point %23.1% · 31.4%Ball care20.2% · 20.5%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 4/10)50% · 60%
■ Derthona Basket W   ■ Sassari W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Derthona Basket W wins
0
Sassari W wins
No previous meetings.
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ASan Giovanni W56-65
14/02/25AVenezia W59-71
05/01/25HSan Giovanni W84-80 OT
28/12/24HBattipaglia W89-47
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HRagusa Dubrovnik W80-53
04/10/25HSan Martino W76-64
24/09/25HPanathlitikos W66-62
18/09/25APanathlitikos W72-56
23/04/25HAlpo VillaFranca W76-67
19/04/25AAlpo VillaFranca W71-82
16/04/25HAlpo VillaFranca W75-65
09/04/25HBrixia W73-82
05/04/25ABrixia W64-77
27/03/25HSan Giovanni W70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game56.0-56.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential-9.0--9.0
Avg total121.0-121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Campobasso W110100%87.037.0+50.0
2 Schio W110100%76.052.0+24.0
3 Venezia W110100%74.050.0+24.0
4 Sassari W110100%76.064.0+12.0
5 San Giovanni W110100%65.056.0+9.0
6 Derthona Basket W1010%56.065.0-9.0
7 San Martino W1010%64.076.0-12.0
8 Battipaglia W1010%50.074.0-24.0
9 Roseto W1010%52.076.0-24.0
10 Brixia W1010%37.087.0-50.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Derthona Basket W167172969
Sassari W1426161773
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