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Brixia W vs Sassari W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-64
14-17 22-16 22-21 19-10
Position#8
Record6-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game75.7
Brixia W 🏆
Italy
vs
Sassari W
Italy
Position#9
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game74.5
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals· PalaLeonessa
Women2024-25
Meetings · Brixia W v Sassari W
28 Mar 2026
BRIX57
SASS66
19 Oct 2025
BRIX65
SASS81
05 Apr 2025
BRIX77
SASS64
13 Oct 2024
BRIX64
SASS58
02 Dec 2023
BRIX64
SASS82
02 Jan 2023
BRIX80
SASS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 59
A29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 59
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
66-61
66
61
+5
60avg 59
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#10
L
56-78
56
78
-22
40avg 59
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 59
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
73avg 59
A01/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
46avg 59
H12/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
87avg 59
A16/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
L
54-73
54
73
-19
39avg 59
A23/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 59
H27/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
25-21
21-38
20-16
15-24
28-9
10-18
13-13
24-22
14-15
11-10
17-14
15-18
16-23
16-22
9-15
9-21
18-26
22-24
17-22
23-26
24-15
17-25
22-16
15-16
15-20
9-21
16-13
29-27
20-21
13-19
26-16
6-20
9-17
26-14
13-22
15-21
19-27
13-16
14-16
146.1Avg total
68.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.775.7141.3-10.030%
Season at home (10)64.971.7136.6-6.830%
Season away (10)66.479.6146.0-13.230%
Last 10 (10)68.078.1146.1-10.140%
Last 5 (5)68.877.6146.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.779.1143.8-14.412%
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.770.8135.5-6.233%
vs Weaker (7)75.670.9146.4+4.771%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
55avg 59
H19/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
47avg 59
A26/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
L
59-63
59
63
-4
45avg 59
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#9
L
76-95
76
95
-19
65avg 59
H20/02
EuroCup Women
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 59
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 59
A27/02
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#10
L
57-62
57
62
-5
48avg 59
A02/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 59
H16/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 59
A22/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
61avg 59
H27/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
9-28
18-10
13-13
16-21
16-17
13-14
13-15
17-16
13-22
14-13
15-12
16-14
22-20
19-23
19-38
26-24
25-18
14-20
22-17
23-22
24-14
12-28
11-25
15-11
9-18
18-20
15-13
23-17
15-21
13-21
14-28
11-25
7-25
21-24
21-16
15-20
24-19
16-20
15-23
144.6Avg total
66.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.374.5138.8-10.125%
Season at home (10)70.073.9143.9-3.940%
Season away (10)58.775.0133.7-16.310%
Last 10 (10)66.678.0144.6-11.410%
Last 5 (5)64.482.0146.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.779.4143.1-15.713%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.668.1133.7-2.629%
vs Weaker (7)74.064.1138.1+9.986%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Brixia WSassari W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#10
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A01/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A16/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
L
15-37
15
37
-22
A23/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/03
Serie A1 W
76.6Avg total
35.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.540.575.0-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.938.673.5-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)34.142.476.5-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.176.6-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.077.0-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.141.674.8-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.238.771.8-5.533%-
vs Weaker (7)37.939.177.0-1.343%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H19/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/02
EuroCup Women
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/02
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#10
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A02/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
18-50
18
50
-32
A22/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H27/03
Serie A1 W
73.7Avg total
35.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.137.573.5-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.238.574.7-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.773.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.471.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.541.376.7-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.638.375.9-0.757%-
vs Weaker (7)37.130.767.9+6.486%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.4 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.314.1
41.1%
44.6%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.1
29.8%
31.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
74.0%14.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.4 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.4
44.7%
44.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.3
30.2%
31.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws13.911.1
79.9%
74.0%11.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
LLWLWLLWWL
Sassari W
LLLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#9
-13.5
Net rating
-15.2
87.5
Offensive rating
89.1
101.0
Defensive rating
104.3
42.7%
Effective FG%
44.9%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
23.0%
Turnover %
22.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.8%
3-point %
30.2%
58.6%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 89.1Defence101.0 · 104.3Shooting42.7% · 44.9%3-point %29.8% · 30.2%Ball care23.0% · 22.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Brixia W   ■ Sassari W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brixia W wins
4
Sassari W wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Sassari W v Brixia W64-66
13/10/24Brixia W v Sassari W64-58
30/03/24Sassari W v Brixia W81-63
04/01/24Sassari W v Brixia W68-72
02/12/23Brixia W v Sassari W64-82
02/01/23Brixia W v Sassari W80-102
02/10/22Sassari W v Brixia W70-58
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HSchio W61-80
23/03/25ASan Martino W54-73
16/03/25ASan Giovanni W88-83
12/03/25HCampobasso W55-70
01/03/25AAlpo VillaFranca W86-82
23/02/25HVenezia W66-93
01/02/25ABattipaglia W56-78
26/01/25HScrivia W66-61
19/01/25ASassari W66-64
29/12/24ACampobasso W82-97
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HSan Giovanni W70-82
22/03/25AVenezia W60-90
16/03/25HSchio W65-87
02/03/25ABattipaglia W57-62
27/02/25AFerrol W70-89
23/02/25HAlpo VillaFranca W87-79
20/02/25HFerrol W76-95
01/02/25HScrivia W59-63
26/01/25ASan Martino W58-67
19/01/25HBrixia W64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game65.764.966.4
Allowed / game75.771.779.6
Point differential-10.0-6.8-13.2
Avg total141.3136.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game64.370.058.7
Allowed / game74.573.975.0
Point differential-10.1-3.9-16.3
Avg total138.8143.9133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2221195%82.058.3+23.6
2 Venezia W2119290%77.356.1+21.2
3 Campobasso W2115671%71.759.5+12.2
4 Scrivia W2112957%66.365.4+0.9
5 San Martino W21111052%68.368.4-0.0
6 San Giovanni W21101148%73.570.6+2.9
7 Faenza W2191243%64.674.2-9.6
8 Brixia W2061430%65.775.7-10.0
9 Battipaglia W2261627%55.969.8-13.9
10 Sassari W2051525%64.374.5-10.1
11 Alpo VillaFranca W201195%63.082.5-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W1422221977
Sassari W1716211064
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