Diamond Valley vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 85-82

19-26 19-16 24-19 23-21

Position#11

Record8-11

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game88.5

Diamond Valley 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#18

Record5-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game99.7

NBL 1

Other2019

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond Valley Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

81-87

-6

A19/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

83-82

H24/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

77-80

-3

A25/05

NBL 1

Frankston

99-86

+13

H01/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

82-78

A15/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

99-94

H22/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

73-79

-6

A29/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

97-109

109

-12

H30/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

84-86

-2

A06/07

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

104-90

104

+14

H14/07

NBL 1

22-16

17-29

19-28

23-14

14-14

21-19

19-14

29-35

17-26

24-26

17-15

19-13

30-26

21-24

25-19

23-17

15-19

28-19

18-20

21-20

27-18

35-30

16-24

21-22

22-24

28-18

18-19

5-18

27-29

23-28

24-28

23-24

17-22

30-21

18-22

19-21

29-29

21-14

23-20

31-27

175.0Avg total

87.9Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	86.5	88.5	175.0	-2.1	42%
Season at home (10)	91.9	89.6	181.5	+2.3	60%
Season away (9)	80.4	87.3	167.8	-6.9	22%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	87.1	175.0	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	91.6	183.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.8	88.2	174.0	-2.4	20%
vs Similar (14)	86.7	88.6	175.4	-1.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#16

73-96

-23

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

80-97

-17

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

66-100

100

-34

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

73-100

100

-27

A01/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

138-130 OT

138

130

A15/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

84-107

107

-23

H22/06

NBL 1

Geelong

78-89

-11

H29/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

91-77

+14

A30/06

NBL 1

Frankston

92-119

119

-27

A07/07

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

92-88

H14/07

NBL 1

15-24

20-25

22-24

16-23

26-22

24-20

15-32

15-23

19-28

15-29

11-22

21-21

17-34

21-20

16-21

19-25

30-29

26-26

29-15

24-39

18-22

21-28

21-27

24-30

19-20

22-25

21-24

16-20

19-20

28-22

17-25

27-10

21-26

21-38

24-25

26-30

24-26

25-30

15-10

28-22

187.0Avg total

86.7Scored

100.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.6	99.7	187.3	-12.2	28%
Season at home (9)	84.3	98.2	182.6	-13.9	22%
Season away (9)	90.8	101.2	192.0	-10.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	86.7	100.3	187.0	-13.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	96.0	183.4	-8.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	86.9	97.9	184.8	-11.0	26%
vs Similar (3)	93.0	89.0	182.0	+4.0	33%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	77.5	164.5	+9.5	75%

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Diamond ValleySouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.1	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	25.2	21.5	46.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.2	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.4	48.8	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	24.1	45.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	24.4	47.2	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	23.7	44.2	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	25.1	45.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	25.7	48.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	23.8	23.1	46.9	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	22.8	47.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	22.2	49.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	22.9	45.6	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	24.2	43.9	-4.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	26.3	48.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	28.6	52.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.3	24.6	45.9	-3.3	39%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	50%	-

Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

39-45

-6

A19/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

35-33

H24/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

41-52

-11

A25/05

NBL 1

Frankston

51-50

H01/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

43-38

A15/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

62-48

+14

H22/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

50-42

A29/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

50-57

-7

H30/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

47-43

A06/07

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

50-43

H14/07

NBL 1

91.9Avg total

46.8Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	45.8	44.7	90.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	48.7	43.4	92.1	+5.3	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	42.7	46.2	88.9	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	45.1	91.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	46.6	98.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	47.2	46.8	94.0	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	45.4	44.0	89.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#16

35-49

-14

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

50-42

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

34-57

-23

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

38-54

-16

A01/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

56-55

A15/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

39-50

-11

H22/06

NBL 1

Geelong

41-45

-4

H29/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

47-42

A30/06

NBL 1

Frankston

42-64

-22

A07/07

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

49-56

-7

H14/07

NBL 1

94.5Avg total

43.1Scored

51.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	47.6	90.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	47.4	92.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	47.9	88.1	-7.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	51.4	94.5	-8.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	51.4	95.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	42.3	49.4	91.7	-7.1	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.0	43.7	87.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.2	40.2	86.5	+6.0	75%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.5	22.7	42.2	-3.2	26%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.2	23.9	43.1	-4.7	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	22.6	41.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.7	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.0	22.0	42.9	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	23.3	48.0	+1.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	25.1	46.8	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	24.3	45.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	22.2	24.9	47.1	-2.7	39%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	22.0	46.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	40.4	43.2	83.6	-2.8	26%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.7	45.1	87.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.8	41.1	78.9	-3.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.0	83.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	45.0	84.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.0	43.9	84.9	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	45.4	88.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	44.8	87.5	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	46.2	90.4	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	46.8	87.5	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	44.6	88.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	43.1	46.9	90.0	-3.7	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.0	45.3	94.3	+3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	37.2	78.0	+3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Diamond Valley wins

Southern Sabres wins

No previous meetings.

Diamond Valleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/19	H	NW Tasmania	104-90
06/07/19	A	Bendigo Braves	84-86
30/06/19	H	Nunawading	97-109
29/06/19	A	Ballarat	73-79
22/06/19	H	Waverley	99-94
15/06/19	A	Eltham	82-78
01/06/19	H	Frankston	99-86
25/05/19	A	Knox	77-80
24/05/19	H	BA CoE	83-82
19/05/19	A	Geelong	81-87

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/19	H	BA CoE	92-88
07/07/19	A	Frankston	92-119
30/06/19	A	Waverley	91-77
29/06/19	H	Geelong	78-89
22/06/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	84-107
15/06/19	A	Dandenong	138-130 OT
01/06/19	A	Bendigo Braves	73-100
26/05/19	H	Ballarat	66-100
19/05/19	H	Eltham	80-97
18/05/19	A	Ringwood	73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	42%
Home	WWWLW	60%
Away	LLWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	42%	60%	22%
Points / game	86.5	91.9	80.4
Allowed / game	88.5	89.6	87.3
Point differential	-2.1	+2.3	-6.9
Avg total	175.0	181.5	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Southern Sabres

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	28%
Home	LLLLW	22%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	28%	22%	33%
Points / game	87.6	84.3	90.8
Allowed / game	99.7	98.2	101.2
Point differential	-12.2	-13.9	-10.4
Avg total	187.3	182.6	192.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	11%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	19	16	3	84%	90.8	75.7	+15.2
2	Nunawading	19	13	6	68%	92.5	84.1	+8.5
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	94.1	88.1	+5.9
4	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	80.8	79.8	+1.1
5	Kilsyth	19	11	8	58%	85.4	84.0	+1.4
6	Dandenong	18	10	8	56%	90.9	86.7	+4.2
7	Melbourne Tigers	18	10	8	56%	87.2	85.6	+1.6
8	Bendigo Braves	20	11	9	55%	84.6	82.6	+2.0
9	Waverley	19	10	9	53%	87.9	89.4	-1.5
10	Hobart Huskies	20	10	10	50%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
11	Diamond Valley	19	8	11	42%	86.5	88.5	-2.1
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	19	8	11	42%	92.6	95.5	-2.9
13	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
14	Knox	19	7	12	37%	80.2	83.5	-3.4
15	NW Tasmania	19	7	12	37%	83.9	87.6	-3.6
16	Eltham	18	6	12	33%	85.8	90.6	-4.8
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	89.6	94.5	-4.9
18	Southern Sabres	18	5	13	28%	87.6	99.7	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Diamond Valley	19	19	24	23	85
Southern Sabres	26	16	19	21	82

← all games of the day

Diamond Valley vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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