Diamond Valley vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 104-90

29-29 21-14 23-20 31-27

Position#11

Record7-11

FormWWLLL

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game88.4

Diamond Valley 🏆

NW Tasmania

Position#14

Record7-11

FormLLWLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game86.7

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Diamond Valley v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond Valley Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

98-90

A18/05

NBL 1

Geelong

81-87

-6

A19/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

83-82

H24/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

77-80

-3

A25/05

NBL 1

Frankston

99-86

+13

H01/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

82-78

A15/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

99-94

H22/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

73-79

-6

A29/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

97-109

109

-12

H30/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

84-86

-2

A06/07

NBL 1

29-30

22-22

21-24

26-14

22-16

17-29

19-28

23-14

14-14

21-19

19-14

29-35

17-26

24-26

17-15

19-13

30-26

21-24

25-19

23-17

15-19

28-19

18-20

21-20

27-18

35-30

16-24

21-22

22-24

28-18

18-19

5-18

27-29

23-28

24-28

23-24

17-22

30-21

18-22

19-21

174.4Avg total

87.3Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.5	88.4	173.9	-2.9	39%
Season at home (9)	90.6	89.6	180.1	+1.0	56%
Season away (9)	80.4	87.3	167.8	-6.9	22%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	87.1	174.4	+0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	89.2	176.2	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.8	88.2	174.0	-2.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.4	88.5	173.9	-3.2	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

97-75

+22

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

67-94

-27

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

59-66

-7

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

85-94

-9

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

75-54

+21

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

74-79

-5

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

61-74

-13

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

90-82 OT

H28/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

81-86

-5

H06/07

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

76-90

-14

A13/07

NBL 1

30-13

28-16

21-31

18-15

15-24

20-28

10-22

22-20

15-12

9-25

21-16

14-13

21-29

18-17

16-24

30-24

13-9

17-10

26-13

19-22

25-14

11-25

18-20

20-20

16-16

11-21

20-24

14-13

12-19

21-18

19-15

23-23

23-21

22-21

16-22

20-22

26-9

22-22

9-26

19-33

155.9Avg total

76.5Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	83.6	86.7	170.3	-3.1	39%
Season at home (10)	79.9	79.5	159.4	+0.4	40%
Season away (8)	88.2	95.6	183.9	-7.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	79.4	155.9	-2.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	82.2	158.6	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	78.7	93.1	171.8	-14.4	9%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	89.6	83.9	173.5	+5.7	67%
vs Weaker (4)	89.5	70.5	160.0	+19.0	100%

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Diamond ValleyNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	24.8	20.7	45.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.2	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.8	36.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	73%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	23.8	22.9	46.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	23.8	23.1	46.9	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	23.6	48.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	23.2	52.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.8	22.9	46.8	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.4	42.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.8	23.0	39.8	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	13.8	36.5	+9.0	100%	-

Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

51-52

-1

A18/05

NBL 1

Geelong

39-45

-6

A19/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

35-33

H24/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

41-52

-11

A25/05

NBL 1

Frankston

51-50

H01/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

43-38

A15/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

62-48

+14

H22/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

50-42

A29/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

50-57

-7

H30/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

47-43

A06/07

NBL 1

92.9Avg total

46.9Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	45.6	44.8	90.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	48.6	43.4	92.0	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	42.7	46.2	88.9	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	46.0	92.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	45.6	96.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	47.2	46.8	94.0	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	45.0	44.1	89.1	+0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

58-29

+29

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

35-52

-17

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

24-37

-13

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

39-46

-7

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

30-19

+11

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

36-39

-3

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

27-37

-10

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

33-37

-4

H28/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

45-42

H06/07

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

48-31

+17

A13/07

NBL 1

74.4Avg total

37.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.6	82.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	40.3	79.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	40.9	85.5	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.9	46.3	83.2	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	45.2	38.1	83.3	+7.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	34.5	79.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.6	22%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.2	23.9	43.1	-4.7	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.2	23%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	22.9	43.3	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.3	45.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.6	24.9	49.4	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	39.6	43.0	82.6	-3.4	22%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	41.4	44.9	86.3	-3.4	22%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.8	41.1	78.9	-3.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.6	80.2	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.0	43.6	83.6	-3.6	23%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	44.2	86.5	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.1	46.9	91.0	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.8	79.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	43.6	79.2	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.5	46.2	86.6	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	43.1	44.9	88.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.5	36.0	80.5	+8.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Diamond Valley wins

NW Tasmania wins

No previous meetings.

Diamond Valleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/07/19	A	Bendigo Braves	84-86
30/06/19	H	Nunawading	97-109
29/06/19	A	Ballarat	73-79
22/06/19	H	Waverley	99-94
15/06/19	A	Eltham	82-78
01/06/19	H	Frankston	99-86
25/05/19	A	Knox	77-80
24/05/19	H	BA CoE	83-82
19/05/19	A	Geelong	81-87
18/05/19	A	Kilsyth	98-90

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/19	A	Ringwood	76-90
06/07/19	H	Kilsyth	81-86
28/06/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	90-82 OT
22/06/19	H	Knox	61-74
21/06/19	A	Geelong	74-79
15/06/19	H	Hobart Huskies	75-54
01/06/19	H	Geelong	85-94
26/05/19	H	BA CoE	59-66
25/05/19	A	Ballarat	67-94
17/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	97-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	39%
Home	LWWWL	56%
Away	LLWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	39%	56%	22%
Points / game	85.5	90.6	80.4
Allowed / game	88.4	89.6	87.3
Point differential	-2.9	+1.0	-6.9
Avg total	173.9	180.1	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

NW Tasmania

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	39%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	39%	40%	38%
Points / game	83.6	79.9	88.2
Allowed / game	86.7	79.5	95.6
Point differential	-3.1	+0.4	-7.4
Avg total	170.3	159.4	183.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	19	16	3	84%	90.8	75.7	+15.2
2	Nunawading	19	13	6	68%	92.5	84.1	+8.5
3	Frankston	18	12	6	67%	94.1	89.8	+4.3
4	Geelong	19	12	7	63%	81.5	79.5	+2.0
5	Kilsyth	18	11	7	61%	86.9	83.5	+3.4
6	Dandenong	18	10	8	56%	90.9	86.7	+4.2
7	Melbourne Tigers	17	9	8	53%	86.8	85.2	+1.6
8	Waverley	17	9	8	53%	87.8	89.9	-2.1
9	Bendigo Braves	19	10	9	53%	84.6	83.4	+1.2
10	Hobart Huskies	18	9	9	50%	86.2	87.6	-1.4
11	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	19	8	11	42%	92.6	95.5	-2.9
12	BA CoE	19	8	11	42%	82.8	86.6	-3.8
13	Diamond Valley	18	7	11	39%	85.5	88.4	-2.9
14	Knox	18	7	11	39%	80.6	83.6	-3.0
15	NW Tasmania	18	7	11	39%	83.6	86.7	-3.1
16	Eltham	18	6	12	33%	85.8	90.6	-4.8
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	89.6	94.5	-4.9
18	Southern Sabres	17	4	13	24%	87.3	100.4	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Diamond Valley	29	21	23	31	104
NW Tasmania	29	14	20	27	90

← all games of the day

Diamond Valley vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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