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Donar Groningen vs Rabotnicki Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-62
17-18 15-7 12-10 21-27
Position#31
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#47
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup· MartiniPlaza (Groningen)
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rabotnicki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Leiden
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 62
H23/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
64-55
64
55
+9
59avg 62
A25/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
45-68
45
68
-23
36avg 62
H27/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
74avg 62
A29/05
DBL
Limburg
#10
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
A01/06
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
H03/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 62
H23/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 62
A28/09
BNXT League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
72-75
72
75
-3
70avg 62
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
54avg 62
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
14-13
15-20
17-18
18-16
21-13
10-15
15-11
8-23
14-11
13-17
10-17
20-14
16-14
24-22
21-32
19-26
13-22
16-23
19-16
30-19
19-29
23-18
25-22
27-14
20-23
14-17
13-9
13-21
22-20
22-11
13-21
23-18
14-22
20-19
15-16
18-15
8-20
17-15
22-19
142.8Avg total
70.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.572.0140.5-3.50%
Season at home (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Season away (1)65.069.0134.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)70.072.8142.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)75.673.6149.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.069.8135.8-3.840%
vs Similar (15)72.472.0144.4+0.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)73.268.0141.2+5.260%
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRabotnicki
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A09/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
W
80-53
80
53
+27
no box
H04/05
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
A07/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
73-56
73
56
+17
45avg 54
H27/09
Prva Liga
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
57-87
57
87
-30
41avg 54
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sabah Baku
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
75avg 54
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-20
27-17
15-21
13-22
17-20
15-26
13-18
25-24
12-17
14-20
18-15
21-11
22-10
20-16
17-16
25-13
17-21
11-17
24-12
16-13
14-21
20-22
21-26
18-18
16-24
20-11
8-20
24-9
16-17
22-11
11-19
20-21
21-24
14-21
2-21
25-15
22-22
13-27
21-19
144.2Avg total
70.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)57.087.0144.0-30.00%
Season away (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)70.873.4144.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)68.876.2145.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.580.3147.8-12.80%
vs Similar (4)81.888.5170.2-6.825%
vs Weaker (19)84.570.4154.9+14.279%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
Donar GroningenRabotnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A25/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H27/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/05
DBL
Limburg
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A01/06
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H03/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/09
BNXT League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
72.6Avg total
35.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.772.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.933.870.7+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.437.573.9-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.072.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%-
vs Similar (15)36.034.770.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.937.074.9+0.940%-
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H22/04
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/04
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H04/05
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H27/09
Prva Liga
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sabah Baku
#28
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
74.1Avg total
38.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.738.581.1+4.252%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.536.781.2+7.753%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.481.1+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.974.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.875.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.840.276.0-4.317%-
vs Similar (4)38.544.282.8-5.80%-
vs Weaker (18)45.936.482.4+9.578%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.4
28.0%
33.8%16.2
🏀 Free throws15.310.5
68.6%
73.0%10.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rabotnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rabotnicki: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.7
52.5%
52.2%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.3
25.3%
33.8%19.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
74.2%
73.0%15.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLLWWLLLWL
Rabotnicki
LLWLLWWLLW
#31
League position
#47
+2.1
Net rating
-6.8
95.5
Offensive rating
94.7
93.4
Defensive rating
101.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
46.3%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.2%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.0%
3-point %
25.3%
55.6%
Assist %
50.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 94.7Defence93.4 · 101.5Shooting48.0% · 46.3%3-point %28.0% · 25.3%Ball care20.5% · 21.2%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Rabotnicki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
0
Rabotnicki wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23ARapid Bucuresti65-69
02/10/23HSabah Baku72-75
28/09/23AFeyenoord70-73
23/09/23HDen Bosch74-63
03/06/23HLimburg97-88
01/06/23ALimburg67-87
29/05/23ALeiden81-82
27/05/23HLeiden45-68
25/05/23ALeiden64-55
23/05/23HLeiden65-68
Rabotnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23ASabah Baku81-83
02/10/23HRapid Bucuresti57-87
27/09/23HTFT Skopje73-56
17/05/23HMZT Skopje62-73
13/05/23AMZT Skopje71-82
07/05/23AGostivar77-63
04/05/23HGostivar80-53
29/04/23AGostivar69-76
22/04/23HKozuv58-86
09/04/23ATikvesh80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.572.065.0
Allowed / game72.075.069.0
Point differential-3.5-3.0-4.0
Avg total140.5147.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rabotnicki
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.057.081.0
Allowed / game85.087.083.0
Point differential-16.0-30.0-2.0
Avg total154.0144.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rostock220100%97.073.0+24.0
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Basket Zaragoza220100%87.576.5+11.0
4 Manisa220100%89.079.0+10.0
5 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
6 Sabah Baku330100%82.774.7+8.0
7 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
8 Keravnos21150%90.576.5+14.0
9 FC Porto21150%85.082.0+3.0
10 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
11 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
12 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
13 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
14 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
15 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
16 Donar Groningen2020%68.572.0-3.5
17 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
18 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
19 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
20 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
21 Rabotnicki2020%69.085.0-16.0
22 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1715122165
Rabotnicki187102762
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