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Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 55-64
16-18 13-21 15-10 11-15
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game68.2
NetherlandsDBLDBL - Final· Vijf Meihal
Other2022-23
Meetings · Leiden v Donar Groningen
31 Oct 2026
LEI83
DGR96
08 Nov 2025
LEI101
DGR72
20 Apr 2025
LEI79
DGR81
19 Nov 2023
LEI85
DGR77
29 May 2023
LEI82
DGR81
25 May 2023
LEI55
DGR64
21 May 2023
LEI91
DGR94
22 Jan 2023
LEI76
DGR63
17 Nov 2022
LEI84
DGR68
11 Jun 2022
LEI71
DGR70
22 Jan 2022
LEI69
DGR71
20 Mar 2021
LEI96
DGR91
16 Jan 2021
LEI98
DGR67
01 Feb 2020
LEI81
DGR73
23 Nov 2019
LEI72
DGR80
14 May 2019
LEI63
DGR93
09 May 2019
LEI76
DGR77
09 Apr 2019
LEI82
DGR85
16 Mar 2019
LEI78
DGR79
03 Jan 2019
LEI83
DGR77
29 May 2018
LEI66
DGR73
24 May 2018
LEI71
DGR78
10 Mar 2018
LEI61
DGR85
07 Oct 2017
LEI75
DGR63
02 Mar 2017
LEI57
DGR74
10 Dec 2016
LEI67
DGR68
10 May 2016
LEI73
DGR43
05 May 2016
LEI76
DGR93
30 Apr 2016
LEI72
DGR69
14 Apr 2016
LEI69
DGR67
09 Jan 2016
LEI74
DGR80
12 May 2015
LEI85
DGR56
07 May 2015
LEI69
DGR79
02 May 2015
LEI86
DGR80
28 Feb 2015
LEI76
DGR72
20 Dec 2014
LEI72
DGR81
08 May 2014
LEI66
DGR72
03 May 2014
LEI62
DGR59
25 Jan 2014
LEI63
DGR78
05 Oct 2013
LEI69
DGR63
07 May 2013
LEI68
DGR64
01 May 2013
LEI75
DGR52
20 Feb 2013
LEI66
DGR68
01 Dec 2012
LEI70
DGR48
14 Mar 2012
LEI55
DGR58
19 Nov 2011
LEI70
DGR58
29 May 2011
LEI96
DGR95
22 May 2011
LEI75
DGR64
19 May 2011
LEI68
DGR63
14 May 2011
LEI107
DGR89
10 Feb 2011
LEI69
DGR79
30 Oct 2010
LEI62
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
56-81
56
81
-25
no box
A08/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
59-55
59
55
+4
no box
H15/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
no box
A19/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#3
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
H10/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
66avg 62
A12/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
H14/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H21/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
68-65
68
65
+3
58avg 62
A23/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
11-18
13-30
18-16
17-17
20-14
4-7
18-17
15-21
19-21
22-19
28-23
16-24
14-19
21-16
13-17
20-20
23-12
16-21
16-24
18-26
25-16
28-23
14-20
18-17
19-18
14-13
21-16
19-19
11-20
30-23
21-19
25-18
12-19
20-21
15-14
17-19
13-14
20-15
18-17
156.8Avg total
78.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.682.0167.6+3.680%
Season at home (3)96.093.7189.7+2.367%
Season away (2)70.064.5134.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.078.8156.8-0.860%
Last 5 (5)85.682.0167.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.678.2151.8-4.722%
vs Weaker (20)80.470.0150.4+10.485%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
W
73-48
73
48
+25
no box
H22/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A28/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#6
W
75-65
75
65
+10
64avg 65
H03/05
DBL
QSTA Utd
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 65
A04/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 65
A10/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
62avg 65
H12/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 65
A14/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
W
67-54
67
54
+13
58avg 65
H16/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
A21/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 65
H23/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-11
13-13
23-5
9-23
18-16
22-25
14-16
23-18
24-14
17-16
11-17
18-17
28-22
22-17
21-16
21-26
24-19
15-10
8-16
17-15
16-20
22-10
14-15
24-21
14-13
22-13
18-18
16-18
12-13
20-10
19-13
18-25
19-12
21-20
14-15
19-17
14-13
15-20
17-18
141.5Avg total
74.1Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.668.2143.9+7.475%
Season at home (4)69.061.8130.8+7.275%
Season away (4)82.274.8157.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)74.167.4141.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)74.667.6142.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.471.2135.6-6.840%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.368.0140.3+4.358%
vs Weaker (13)78.565.3143.8+13.285%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
LeidenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A08/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H14/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/05
DBL
71.5Avg total
34.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.273.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.134.475.4+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)35.535.971.4-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.971.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.272.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.235.871.0-0.644%-
vs Weaker (20)38.935.674.5+3.265%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/05
DBL
QSTA Utd
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A21/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/05
DBL
72.3Avg total
37.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.972.0+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.131.469.5+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.036.974.9+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.272.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.467.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.037.673.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.232.268.3+4.075%-
vs Weaker (13)40.634.274.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.5
49.0%
49.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.5
28.2%
31.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.2%
71.4%15.2
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.0
48.3%
49.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.4%
31.6%21.7
🏀 Free throws15.810.8
68.3%
71.4%10.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/9 games with a box score before 25 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWWWLLWWL
Donar Groningen
LWWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+1.0
Net rating
+15.0
93.4
Offensive rating
104.3
92.4
Defensive rating
89.3
46.7%
Effective FG%
47.3%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
24.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
30.4%
59.4%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 104.3Defence92.4 · 89.3Shooting46.7% · 47.3%3-point %28.2% · 30.4%Ball care24.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Leiden   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/23ADonar Groningen68-65
21/05/23HDonar Groningen91-94 OT
14/05/23HLWD Basket98-94 OT
12/05/23ALWD Basket72-64
10/05/23HLWD Basket99-93 OT
28/04/23HAntwerp Giants75-77
21/04/23AAntwerp Giants64-76
19/04/23ASpirou Charleroi98-89 OT
15/04/23HLimburg59-55
08/04/23AOostende56-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/23HLeiden65-68
21/05/23ALeiden94-91 OT
16/05/23HDen Bosch67-54
14/05/23ADen Bosch78-65
12/05/23HDen Bosch69-60
10/05/23ADen Bosch68-71
04/05/23AQSTA Utd89-72
03/05/23HQSTA Utd75-65
28/04/23AOostende63-80
22/04/23HMechelen73-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
DBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game85.696.070.0
Allowed / game82.093.764.5
Point differential+3.6+2.3+5.5
Avg total167.6189.7134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %60%100%0%
Donar Groningen
DBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game75.669.082.2
Allowed / game68.261.874.8
Point differential+7.4+7.2+7.5
Avg total143.9130.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden54180%85.682.0+3.6
2 Donar Groningen86275%75.668.2+7.4
3 LWD Basket62433%88.288.2+0.0
4 Zwolle31233%86.792.7-6.0
5 Den Bosch41325%62.570.5-8.0
6 QSTA Utd2020%68.582.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1613151155
Donar Groningen1821101564
← all games of the day
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