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Donza W vs Liege W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 78-67
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game71.7
Donza W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Liege W
Belgium
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game67.3
BelgiumTop Division Women· Gemeentelijke Sporthal Laarne
Women2025-26
Meetings · Donza W v Liege W
20 Feb 2027
DONZ v LIEG
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
DONZ78
LIEG67
22 Mar 2025
DONZ81
LIEG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 57
H22/02
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A01/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
90avg 57
A15/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H22/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
57avg 57
A29/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
62-110
62
110
-48
51avg 57
H04/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
64-90
64
90
-26
60avg 57
A06/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
41avg 57
A13/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
83-55
83
55
+28
71avg 57
H20/09
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
74avg 57
A27/09
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
17-27
22-20
22-21
19-21
20-20
27-20
9-20
25-16
18-14
19-5
26-21
25-11
21-11
15-13
20-24
17-20
12-21
23-33
20-21
21-28
11-24
22-33
8-25
15-23
17-29
17-19
15-19
14-21
18-17
21-26
19-18
21-11
23-14
19-15
20-15
14-17
22-15
22-18
13-21
155.2Avg total
76.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.371.7151.0+7.767%
Season at home (1)83.055.0138.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)77.580.0157.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.279.0155.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)72.883.0155.8-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.185.6149.7-21.67%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.671.4148.0+5.260%
vs Weaker (8)77.059.4136.4+17.688%
This opponent (Liege W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#11
W
65-58
65
58
+7
62avg 53
A22/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
63-67
63
67
-4
58avg 53
H01/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 53
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 53
H29/03
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 53
H03/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 53
H10/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
74-57
74
57
+17
67avg 53
A20/09
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
52avg 53
H27/09
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
13-11
12-19
23-18
25-20
6-17
19-13
13-17
23-18
14-23
15-16
29-18
11-25
11-21
13-15
24-20
22-14
15-27
17-14
16-18
18-17
22-18
25-10
7-9
–
–
–
–
23-14
16-10
10-19
18-21
15-18
15-12
16-11
28-16
17-26
13-17
15-22
16-16
136.6Avg total
68.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.367.3134.7+0.067%
Season at home (2)64.072.5136.5-8.550%
Season away (1)74.057.0131.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.767.9136.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)69.865.0134.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)57.675.9133.5-18.318%
vs Similar ◀ (4)60.875.2136.0-14.50%
vs Weaker (9)74.461.1135.6+13.378%
This opponent (Donza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
Donza WLiege W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A15/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H22/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H04/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A06/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H20/09
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/09
Top Division Women
74.7Avg total
37.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.735.570.2-0.741%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.032.567.5+2.546%-
Last 30 away (14)34.538.272.7-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.674.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.875.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.041.973.9-9.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.831.670.4+7.260%-
vs Weaker (8)37.026.863.8+10.288%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#11
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A22/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/03
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/09
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/09
Top Division Women
68.2Avg total
32.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.836.167.9-4.234%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.334.468.7-0.133%-
Last 30 away (14)29.237.967.1-8.636%-
Last 10 (9)32.935.368.2-2.433%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.639.669.2-9.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)27.037.064.0-10.025%-
vs Weaker (8)38.928.167.0+10.875%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.2
47.5%
46.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.5
30.0%
28.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
68.5%12.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.618.3
43.0%
46.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.24.8
27.9%
28.7%14.4
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
68.5%11.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donza W
WWLLLLWWLL
Liege W
LWWWWLLWLW
#5
League position
#7
-7.9
Net rating
-6.7
89.7
Offensive rating
82.7
97.6
Defensive rating
89.4
46.6%
Effective FG%
42.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
23.6%
Turnover %
26.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.0%
3-point %
27.9%
55.8%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 82.7Defence97.6 · 89.4Shooting46.6% · 42.6%3-point %30.0% · 27.9%Ball care23.6% · 26.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Donza W   ■ Liege W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Donza W wins
0
Liege W wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Donza W v Liege W81-59
07/12/24Liege W v Donza W61-72
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ASpirou Basket W83-78 OT
20/09/25HWaregem W83-55
13/09/25APhantoms W72-82
06/04/25ABraine W64-90
04/04/25HBraine W62-110
29/03/25AWaregem W72-95
22/03/25HLiege W81-59
15/03/25ABrunehaut W88-56
01/03/25ANamur W75-81
22/02/25HKortrijk W82-84
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HKortrijk W61-81
20/09/25ALummen W74-57
10/09/25HNamur W67-64
06/04/25AJeugd Gentson W75-69
03/04/25HLummen W72-54
29/03/25HJeugd Gentson W70-73
22/03/25ADonza W59-81
15/03/25HPhantoms W81-75
01/03/25HWaregem W63-67
22/02/25ALummen W65-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donza W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.383.077.5
Allowed / game71.755.080.0
Point differential+7.7+28.0-2.5
Avg total151.0138.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Liege W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game67.364.074.0
Allowed / game67.372.557.0
Point differential+0.0-8.5+17.0
Avg total134.7136.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braine W330100%91.341.0+50.3
2 Mechelen W330100%88.052.3+35.7
3 Kortrijk W330100%76.066.7+9.3
4 Namur W32167%85.753.3+32.3
5 Donza W32167%79.371.7+7.7
6 Liege W32167%67.367.3+0.0
7 Phantoms W31233%67.073.7-6.7
8 Spirou Basket W31233%65.075.3-10.3
9 Jeugd Gentson W31233%58.081.3-23.3
10 Waregem W3030%53.783.3-29.7
11 Lummen W3030%55.385.7-30.3
12 Charleroi W3030%54.089.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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