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Liege W vs Lummen W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-54
18-17 22-18 25-10 7-9
Position#10
Record5-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game72.4
Liege W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Lummen W
Belgium
Position#11
Record2-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.4
Allowed / game85.2
BelgiumTop Division WomenTop Division Women - Semi-finals· Antoine A.
Women2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Liege W v Lummen W
16 Oct 2026
LIEG89
LUMM54
17 Jan 2026
LIEG116
LUMM42
03 Apr 2025
LIEG72
LUMM54
23 Nov 2024
LIEG64
LUMM49
16 Mar 2024
LIEG87
LUMM42
29 Oct 2022
LIEG78
LUMM46
26 Mar 2022
LIEG92
LUMM45
16 Jan 2021
LIEG88
LUMM56
29 Feb 2020
LIEG71
LUMM62
09 Mar 2019
LIEG56
LUMM41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lummen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
52avg 53
A04/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
111-65
111
65
+46
112avg 53
H11/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
40-68
40
68
-28
30avg 53
A18/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
42-85
42
85
-43
32avg 53
A26/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
34-76
34
76
-42
19avg 53
H15/02
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
65-58
65
58
+7
62avg 53
A22/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
63-67
63
67
-4
58avg 53
H01/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 53
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 53
H29/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
20-19
18-17
12-22
25-15
37-9
31-17
18-24
12-20
13-22
8-15
7-11
6-32
15-25
9-17
12-11
9-23
8-21
12-20
5-12
17-10
13-11
12-19
23-18
25-20
6-17
19-13
13-17
23-18
14-23
15-16
29-18
11-25
11-21
13-15
24-20
22-14
15-27
17-14
16-18
134.9Avg total
62.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)61.072.4133.4-11.423%
Season at home (11)62.870.1132.9-7.327%
Season away (11)59.274.7133.9-15.518%
Last 10 (10)62.972.0134.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)67.670.8138.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.877.4134.3-20.617%
vs Similar (4)60.875.2136.0-14.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.158.5131.6+14.662%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 42
H04/01
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
44-54
44
54
-10
29avg 42
H11/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
47-101
47
101
-54
33avg 42
A19/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
66-53
66
53
+13
57avg 42
H25/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
62-112
62
112
-50
50avg 42
A15/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
58-65
58
65
-7
43avg 42
H22/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
70avg 42
A01/03
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
37-100
37
100
-63
18avg 42
A15/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
48-91
48
91
-43
31avg 42
H22/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
43-142
43
142
-99
32avg 42
A28/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
26-20
25-26
18-26
8-10
14-21
10-9
12-14
5-28
7-24
12-21
23-28
18-12
15-19
21-10
12-12
25-28
13-35
13-22
11-27
10-17
11-13
19-12
18-23
15-12
17-13
24-16
21-23
7-21
12-26
11-28
7-25
9-29
15-17
14-14
10-31
4-42
12-36
15-28
12-36
144.7Avg total
56.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)56.485.2141.6-28.89%
Season at home (11)58.783.4142.1-24.69%
Season away (11)54.187.1141.2-33.09%
Last 10 (10)56.887.9144.7-31.120%
Last 5 (5)52.692.4145.0-39.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)53.086.9139.9-33.94%
vs Similar (2)75.071.5146.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (2)66.062.5128.5+3.550%
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -10.6-10.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -10.1-10.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -10.6-10.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -10.1-10.1
Liege WLummen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A04/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H11/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A18/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
21-57
21
57
-36
A26/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H15/02
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A22/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/03
Top Division Women
70.2Avg total
31.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.636.468.0-4.834%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.834.369.1+0.536%-
Last 30 away (15)28.738.367.0-9.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.670.2-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.268.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.540.269.7-10.618%-
vs Similar (4)27.037.064.0-10.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.428.066.4+10.475%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H11/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
12-52
12
52
-40
A19/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H25/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A15/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H22/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/03
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A15/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H22/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
16-78
16
78
-62
A28/03
Top Division Women
70.8Avg total
26.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)27.243.770.9-16.624%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.942.271.1-13.321%-
Last 30 away (15)25.545.170.7-19.627%-
Last 10 (10)26.044.870.8-18.820%-
Last 5 (5)22.445.267.6-22.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)25.845.371.1-19.516%-
vs Similar (2)38.534.072.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
56%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.017.0
42.5%
45.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.6
27.7%
29.2%16.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.6
67.4%
68.4%11.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 56.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
56%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.916.4
36.5%
45.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.84.9
24.7%
29.2%14.7
🏀 Free throws15.49.3
60.4%
68.4%9.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege W
LLWLWLLLWL
Lummen W
LLLWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#11
-11.0
Net rating
-37.1
81.9
Offensive rating
69.5
92.9
Defensive rating
106.6
42.2%
Effective FG%
36.7%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
26.8%
Turnover %
26.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.7%
3-point %
24.7%
65.5%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 69.5Defence92.9 · 106.6Shooting42.2% · 36.7%3-point %27.7% · 24.7%Ball care26.8% · 26.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Liege W   ■ Lummen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Liege W wins
0
Lummen W wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Lummen W v Liege W58-65
23/11/24Liege W v Lummen W64-49
16/03/24Liege W v Lummen W87-42
16/12/23Lummen W v Liege W43-63
07/01/23Lummen W v Liege W45-90
29/10/22Liege W v Lummen W78-46
26/03/22Liege W v Lummen W92-45
11/12/21Lummen W v Liege W45-75
10/03/21Lummen W v Liege W54-75
16/01/21Liege W v Lummen W88-56
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HJeugd Gentson W70-73
22/03/25ADonza W59-81
15/03/25HPhantoms W81-75
01/03/25HWaregem W63-67
22/02/25ALummen W65-58
15/02/25HBraine W34-76
26/01/25AMechelen W42-85
18/01/25ANamur W40-68
11/01/25HBrunehaut W111-65
04/01/25ACharleroi W64-72
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25ABraine W43-142
22/03/25HWaregem W48-91
15/03/25AKortrijk W37-100
01/03/25ACharleroi W77-64
22/02/25HLiege W58-65
15/02/25ANamur W62-112
25/01/25HBrunehaut W66-53
19/01/25AMechelen W47-101
11/01/25HJeugd Gentson W44-54
04/01/25HPhantoms W86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege W
Top Division Women 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL23%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game61.062.859.2
Allowed / game72.470.174.7
Point differential-11.4-7.3-15.5
Avg total133.4132.9133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lummen W
Top Division Women 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLWLL9%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %9%9%9%
Points / game56.458.754.1
Allowed / game85.283.487.1
Point differential-28.8-24.6-33.0
Avg total141.6142.1141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W2322196%89.956.8+33.1
2 Braine W2221195%90.855.5+35.2
3 Namur W2217577%77.862.5+15.2
4 Waregem W2214864%78.169.8+8.3
5 Phantoms W22121055%82.569.6+12.9
6 Kortrijk W22121055%73.069.5+3.5
7 Charleroi W23101343%72.078.4-6.4
8 Donza W2291341%69.673.5-3.8
9 Jeugd Gentson W2281436%60.376.4-16.1
10 Liege W2251723%61.072.4-11.4
11 Lummen W222209%56.485.2-28.8
12 Brunehaut W221215%52.094.8-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege W182225772
Lummen W171810954
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