PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Donza W vs Phantoms W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 74-74
Projected total 148.1
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.8
Donza W
Belgium
Vs
53%
47%
■ DONZ 53%■ PHAN 47%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Phantoms W
Belgium
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game64.2
BelgiumTop Division Women· Gemeentelijke Sporthal Laarne
Women2026-27
Meetings · Donza W v Phantoms W
21 Nov 2026
DONZ v PHAN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
DONZ79
PHAN90
26 Jan 2025
DONZ63
PHAN92
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Donza W host Phantoms W in the Top Division Women. Pythia makes Donza W the favourite at 53% and projects 74-74, about 148 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Donza W are 1-4 this season (69.6 scored, 74.8 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Phantoms W are 4-1 this season (77.6 scored, 64.2 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donza W win
53.0%fair 1.89
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phantoms W win
47.0%fair 2.13
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
41avg 56
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 56
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 56
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
43avg 56
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
44-98
44
98
-54
25avg 56
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 56
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
85-60
85
60
+25
76avg 56
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 56
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
52avg 56
A18/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
54avg 56
A31/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-19
12-16
18-14
12-17
14-11
20-12
17-20
13-11
16-9
29-18
14-19
19-24
11-32
18-18
11-24
18-25
7-30
13-23
6-20
16-16
17-21
19-24
15-8
24-12
18-12
17-22
26-14
18-18
16-22
13-14
22-18
16-30
18-19
21-27
13-20
14-24
17-19
20-13
8-21
140.6Avg total
64.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.674.8144.4-5.220%
Season at home (2)68.070.5138.5-2.50%
Season away (3)70.777.7148.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)64.875.8140.6-11.030%
Last 5 (5)69.674.8144.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.182.1145.2-19.120%
vs Similar (4)75.873.8149.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (11)79.058.5137.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Phantoms W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phantoms WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 73
A28/03
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
96avg 73
A01/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
85avg 73
H04/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 73
H10/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
62avg 73
A12/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
44avg 73
H27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
64-90
64
90
-26
54avg 73
A11/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
90-54
90
54
+36
90avg 73
H17/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 73
A25/10
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
92-60
92
60
+32
93avg 73
H31/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
32-7
27-12
24-10
27-11
28-16
16-13
18-7
23-18
13-19
17-11
20-25
15-21
21-13
15-23
17-23
18-20
18-29
14-11
19-22
10-8
20-16
12-15
16-14
15-18
15-25
20-28
14-19
28-9
17-23
21-9
24-13
23-14
12-16
19-18
30-16
24-13
23-19
25-13
20-15
147.5Avg total
80.6Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.664.2141.8+13.480%
Season at home (3)80.055.7135.7+24.3100%
Season away (2)74.077.0151.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.666.9147.5+13.760%
Last 5 (5)77.664.2141.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.484.8147.2-22.48%
vs Similar (4)82.579.2161.8+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.160.2145.4+24.993%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136
Over 136
76.9%
Under 136
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
66.4%
Under 141
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
54.4%
Under 146
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Donza W total 69
Over 69
70.8%
Under 69
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Donza W total 73
Over 73
55.7%
Under 73
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Donza W total 77
Over 77
39.7%
Under 77
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phantoms W total 64
Over 64
83.2%
Under 64
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phantoms W total 68
Over 68
71.2%
Under 68
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phantoms W total 72
Over 72
56.2%
Under 72
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Donza W -3
DONZ -3
43.9%
PHAN +3
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
DONZ
No market prices yet.
PHAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Donza W 0
DONZ 0
53.0%
PHAN 0
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
DONZ
No market prices yet.
PHAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Donza W +3
DONZ +3
62.1%
PHAN -3
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
DONZ
No market prices yet.
PHAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
Donza WPhantoms W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
25-55
25
55
-30
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A18/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/10
Top Division Women
70.9Avg total
31.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.237.372.5-2.245%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.973.1-2.636%-
Last 30 away (15)35.136.972.0-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.370.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.673.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.344.776.0-13.37%-
vs Similar (3)38.334.072.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker (11)39.528.367.8+11.391%-
This opponent (Phantoms W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phantoms WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A28/03
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A01/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H04/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A12/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A25/10
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H31/10
Top Division Women
74.0Avg total
40.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.975.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.733.574.2+7.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.340.376.7-4.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.433.674.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.269.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.843.174.9-11.325%-
vs Similar (4)37.239.276.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.630.975.6+13.793%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.7
45.6%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.95.8
26.5%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws14.710.0
68.0%
71.8%10.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phantoms Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phantoms W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.5
51.1%
46.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.0
38.1%
31.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
71.8%12.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donza W
LLLWLLLWWL
Phantoms W
WWWLWLLLWW
#9
League position
#4
-17.7
Net rating
+14.7
69.6
Offensive rating
87.3
87.3
Defensive rating
72.6
43.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
22.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.5%
3-point %
38.1%
52.7%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence69.6 · 87.3Defence87.3 · 72.6Shooting43.6% · 53.4%3-point %26.5% · 38.1%Ball care18.6% · 22.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Donza W   ■ Phantoms W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donza W wins
4
Phantoms W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Donza W v Phantoms W79-90
13/09/25Phantoms W v Donza W82-72
26/01/25Donza W v Phantoms W63-92
26/10/24Phantoms W v Donza W90-56
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALiege W59-77
18/10/26AMechelen W68-96
10/10/26HKortrijk W69-72
03/10/26AWaregem W85-60
26/09/26HJeugd Gentson W67-69
19/04/26AMechelen W44-98
16/04/26HMechelen W59-98
12/04/26AKortrijk W72-57
10/04/26HKortrijk W63-60
04/04/26ABraine W62-71
Phantoms Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HWaregem W92-60
25/10/26ALummen W84-64
17/10/26HSpirou Basket W90-54
11/10/26AMechelen W64-90
27/09/26HLiege W58-53
12/04/26ABraine W69-82
10/04/26HBraine W68-80
04/04/26HLiege W87-89 OT
01/04/26ASpirou Basket W89-47
28/03/26ALummen W105-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donza W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game69.668.070.7
Allowed / game74.870.577.7
Point differential-5.2-2.5-7.0
Avg total144.4138.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phantoms W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game77.680.074.0
Allowed / game64.255.777.0
Point differential+13.4+24.3-3.0
Avg total141.8135.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W440100%90.561.8+28.8
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Namur W54180%88.658.4+30.2
4 Phantoms W54180%77.664.2+13.4
5 Kortrijk W64267%82.064.0+18.0
6 Liege W74357%70.366.7+3.6
7 Jeugd Gentson W52340%74.682.0-7.4
8 Spirou Basket W41325%50.275.8-25.5
9 Donza W51420%69.674.8-5.2
10 Waregem W7070%62.188.1-26.0
11 Lummen W5050%49.889.0-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.