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Donza W vs Mechelen W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 59-98
19-24 11-32 18-18 11-24
Position#5
Record15-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game70.1
Donza W
Belgium
vs
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
Position#1
Record24-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game55.0
BelgiumTop Division WomenTop Division Women - Semi-finals· Gemeentelijke Sporthal Laarne
Women2025-26
Meetings · Donza W v Mechelen W
23 Jan 2027
DONZ v MECH
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
DONZ59
MECH98
28 Feb 2026
DONZ59
MECH93
02 Nov 2024
DONZ69
MECH101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donza W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Liege W
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
67avg 59
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
90-55
90
55
+35
80avg 59
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 59
H14/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
88-55
88
55
+33
89avg 59
A21/02
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
59-93
59
93
-34
39avg 59
H28/02
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
46avg 59
A06/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
73-63
73
63
+10
69avg 59
H28/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
41avg 59
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 59
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 59
A12/04
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
22-15
18-18
20-23
23-16
24-11
19-16
24-12
17-26
17-12
22-22
18-12
16-17
26-10
24-12
22-16
18-20
13-29
12-21
16-23
13-29
21-19
15-12
13-22
15-24
19-18
20-12
19-9
19-22
13-19
12-16
18-14
12-17
14-11
20-12
17-20
13-11
16-9
29-18
14-19
139.9Avg total
72.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.570.1142.6+2.362%
Season at home (12)71.169.8140.9+1.267%
Season away (12)73.870.4144.2+3.458%
Last 10 (10)72.267.7139.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)66.466.6133.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.783.4149.1-17.621%
vs Similar (5)77.873.4151.2+4.460%
vs Weaker (11)79.358.2137.5+21.1100%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
119-52
119
52
+67
125avg 79
A31/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
79-58
79
58
+21
70avg 79
H08/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 79
A14/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 79
A21/02
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
W
93-59
93
59
+34
87avg 79
A28/02
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
W
82-62
82
62
+20
79avg 79
H06/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
W
80-64
80
64
+16
71avg 79
H29/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
83-44
83
44
+39
78avg 79
A04/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
89-52
89
52
+37
86avg 79
A10/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
99avg 79
H12/04
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-16
26-7
26-11
31-18
24-17
17-15
18-11
20-15
15-12
20-12
27-14
21-15
22-18
19-14
18-20
21-23
20-18
29-13
21-12
23-16
29-13
19-21
12-15
22-13
17-23
27-6
13-18
23-17
24-12
25-11
19-12
15-9
27-19
21-10
27-12
14-11
19-18
34-22
29-13
20-8
147.0Avg total
89.0Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.655.0142.6+32.6100%
Season at home (12)88.754.3143.0+34.3100%
Season away (12)86.655.7142.2+30.9100%
Last 10 (10)89.058.0147.0+31.0100%
Last 5 (5)87.256.6143.8+30.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.568.5131.0-6.050%
vs Similar (2)75.072.0147.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.357.9143.2+27.3100%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +6.5+6.5
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +6.5+6.5
Donza WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege W
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A21/02
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H28/02
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A12/04
Top Division Women
69.8Avg total
35.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.036.472.4-0.448%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.536.272.7+0.246%-
Last 30 away (16)35.636.572.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.869.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.866.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.043.875.8-11.87%-
vs Similar (4)40.031.271.2+8.875%-
vs Weaker (11)39.628.868.5+10.891%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
62-23
62
23
+39
A31/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A14/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/02
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A28/02
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A04/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A10/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H12/04
Top Division Women
76.7Avg total
47.0Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.130.271.3+10.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.731.173.8+11.587%-
Last 30 away (15)39.529.368.8+10.380%-
Last 10 (10)47.029.776.7+17.3100%-
Last 5 (5)48.431.079.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.033.058.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (2)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.029.772.7+13.292%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.5
48.2%
46.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.2
27.1%
28.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
68.5%12.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.6
52.1%
46.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.7
36.5%
28.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.518.1
73.9%
68.5%18.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donza W
WWLWLLWWWW
Mechelen W
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+4.9
Net rating
+39.6
82.3
Offensive rating
98.0
77.4
Defensive rating
58.4
45.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.1%
3-point %
36.5%
53.2%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence82.3 · 98.0Defence77.4 · 58.4Shooting45.6% · 52.9%3-point %27.1% · 36.5%Ball care16.2% · 16.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Donza W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donza W wins
4
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Mechelen W v Donza W82-62
28/02/26Donza W v Mechelen W59-93
05/01/25Mechelen W v Donza W99-52
02/11/24Donza W v Mechelen W69-101
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26AKortrijk W72-57
10/04/26HKortrijk W63-60
04/04/26ABraine W62-71
28/03/26HJeugd Gentson W73-63
06/03/26AMechelen W62-82
28/02/26HMechelen W59-93
21/02/26ACharleroi W88-55
14/02/26HKortrijk W74-72
08/02/26HLummen W90-55
31/01/26ALiege W79-69
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HJeugd Gentson W102-61
10/04/26AJeugd Gentson W89-52
04/04/26AWaregem W83-44
29/03/26HBraine W80-64
06/03/26HDonza W82-62
28/02/26ADonza W93-59
21/02/26AKortrijk W80-75
14/02/26ALiege W83-53
08/02/26HNamur W79-58
31/01/26ALummen W119-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donza W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game72.571.173.8
Allowed / game70.169.870.4
Point differential+2.3+1.2+3.4
Avg total142.6140.9144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.688.786.6
Allowed / game55.054.355.7
Point differential+32.6+34.3+30.9
Avg total142.6143.0142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+92%100%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W24240100%87.655.0+32.6
2 Braine W2422292%82.851.9+30.8
3 Namur W2418675%80.857.7+23.1
4 Donza W2415962%72.570.1+2.3
5 Kortrijk W24141058%75.467.5+7.9
6 Phantoms W24121250%75.473.8+1.6
7 Liege W24121250%66.867.2-0.4
8 Waregem W2481633%59.370.3-11.0
9 Spirou Basket W2481633%54.366.8-12.5
10 Jeugd Gentson W2471729%61.071.8-10.8
11 Charleroi W2432112%54.478.4-24.0
12 Lummen W241234%49.088.6-39.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donza W1911181159
Mechelen W2432182498
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