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Dresden vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-100
31-27 19-25 22-26 16-22
Position#16
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Essen 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record2-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyPro ARound 12
Other2016-17
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Essen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#9
L
125-130 OT
125
130
-5
H03/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A09/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A22/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H30/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/11
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
67-114
67
114
-47
H06/11
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A11/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H16/11
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A20/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
19-21
26-27
26-35
15-28
29-15
22-22
24-27
33-22
21-22
19-21
18-18
12-14
22-28
15-25
22-30
17-21
28-26
16-24
18-18
22-15
17-37
17-20
23-21
14-23
20-30
16-31
17-30
21-29
21-24
20-25
19-22
17-19
17-15
14-25
17-19
23-32
24-22
13-10
25-27
180.0Avg total
83.3Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.396.0178.3-13.78%
Season at home (6)86.297.7183.8-11.517%
Season away (6)78.594.3172.8-15.80%
Last 10 (10)83.396.7180.0-13.410%
Last 5 (5)75.495.2170.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.396.0178.3-13.78%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A01/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A13/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H19/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
16-16
18-17
15-24
14-19
15-23
21-20
18-6
18-20
13-30
17-25
22-10
18-11
13-24
15-16
25-12
23-23
18-27
24-24
21-25
27-15
15-26
19-14
23-27
21-12
14-18
16-22
7-18
14-15
18-14
18-22
16-27
20-24
8-25
17-16
14-22
16-23
22-19
20-14
13-20
151.7Avg total
70.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.383.2153.5-12.918%
Season at home (6)72.581.2153.7-8.733%
Season away (5)67.685.6153.2-18.00%
Last 10 (10)70.980.8151.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)67.678.6146.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.181.7151.8-11.619%
vs Similar (11)70.778.2148.9-7.518%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.370.0147.3+7.367%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
DresdenEssen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H03/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A09/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H30/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/11
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H06/11
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A11/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H16/11
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/11
Pro A
88.9Avg total
42.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)42.946.489.3-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (6)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (6)40.848.389.2-7.517%-
Last 10 (10)42.546.488.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.249.288.4-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.946.489.3-3.533%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/11
Pro A
75.3Avg total
33.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.938.772.6-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.872.7-2.940%-
Last 30 away (12)32.739.972.6-7.233%-
Last 10 (10)33.941.475.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.273.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.240.173.3-6.927%-
vs Similar (10)34.837.972.7-3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dresden wins
0
Essen wins
No previous meetings.
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16AKoln85-91
16/11/16HEhingen65-78
11/11/16ABaunach81-100
06/11/16HMitteldeutscher67-114
04/11/16ANurnberger79-93
30/10/16HHanau79-89
22/10/16ACrailsheim Merlins71-97
16/10/16HTrier91-83
09/10/16AEhingen90-92
03/10/16HPaderborn125-130 OT
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HPaderborn71-76
13/11/16AHeidelberg59-87
06/11/16HEhingen66-78
04/11/16ABaunach58-70
29/10/16HNurnberger84-82
23/10/16AHamburg86-99
15/10/16HHanau71-63
08/10/16ACrailsheim Merlins70-85
03/10/16HKirchheim79-81 OT
01/10/16ATrier65-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game82.386.278.5
Allowed / game96.097.794.3
Point differential-13.7-11.5-15.8
Avg total178.3183.8172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Essen
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game70.372.567.6
Allowed / game83.281.285.6
Point differential-12.9-8.7-18.0
Avg total153.5153.7153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher1211192%86.370.3+16.0
2 Kirchheim1211192%80.974.8+6.1
3 Crailsheim Merlins129375%82.272.0+10.2
4 Chemnitz128467%74.569.5+5.0
5 Hanau128467%75.670.6+5.0
6 Heidelberg117464%71.569.6+1.9
7 Gotha126650%75.670.8+4.8
8 Paderborn126650%80.480.2+0.2
9 Trier125742%73.873.2+0.7
10 Hamburg125742%73.075.1-2.1
11 Nurnberger114736%73.076.9-3.9
12 Koln124833%74.978.5-3.6
13 Baunach124833%71.278.8-7.7
14 Ehingen134931%72.479.0-6.6
15 Essen112918%70.383.2-12.9
16 Dresden121118%82.396.0-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden3119221688
Essen27252622100
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