PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dresden vs Itzehoe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-86
23-18 16-28 12-17 26-23
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Itzehoe 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game82.0
GermanyPro BRound 4
Other2019-20
Meetings · Dresden v Itzehoe
12 Oct 2019
DRES77
ITZE86
11 Nov 2018
DRES85
ITZE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Itzehoe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A23/02
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H10/03
Pro B
Wolfenbuttel
#21
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A17/03
Pro B
ETB Wohnbau
#24
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H23/03
Pro B
ETB Wohnbau
#24
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A30/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A31/03
Pro B
Wolfenbuttel
#21
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H07/04
Pro B
Dusseldorf
#21
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A21/09
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#23
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H29/09
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A05/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
9-14
16-17
21-17
18-17
20-31
16-24
14-8
25-27
20-22
15-11
20-14
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
24-10
19-22
17-31
11-14
20-27
23-21
19-24
12-20
21-23
9-18
26-27
31-26
25-17
25-14
19-4
16-23
21-22
14-16
24-17
12-19
125.8Avg total
64.0Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.075.3156.3+5.733%
Season at home (1)85.058.0143.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)64.061.8125.8+2.240%
Last 5 (5)77.679.0156.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.0148.7-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.474.1145.4-2.741%
vs Weaker (6)60.047.7107.7+12.383%
This opponent (Itzehoe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItzehoeGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bernau
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A03/02
Pro B
ETB Wohnbau
#24
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H09/02
Pro B
Wedel
#4
L
70-82 OT
70
82
-12
A17/02
Pro B
Dresden
#18
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/02
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A03/03
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H09/03
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A21/09
Pro B
Dusseldorf
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H28/09
Pro B
Munster
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H05/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-26
20-19
19-21
13-15
18-13
21-18
25-14
14-11
18-20
17-16
17-19
21-18
14-9
17-16
17-21
16-23
23-28
13-23
24-26
23-16
24-20
20-13
12-23
32-22
16-24
11-12
12-20
13-23
18-15
24-32
19-23
18-12
19-21
24-21
15-27
24-17
16-24
19-13
21-18
153.1Avg total
74.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
Season at home (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
Season away (1)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)74.378.8153.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.386.8159.1-14.422%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.876.9154.7+0.950%
vs Weaker (3)80.072.7152.7+7.367%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
DresdenItzehoe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A23/02
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H10/03
Pro B
Wolfenbuttel
#21
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A31/03
Pro B
Wolfenbuttel
#21
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/04
Pro B
Dusseldorf
#21
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A21/09
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#23
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H29/09
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/10
Pro B
79.1Avg total
38.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.837.374.2-0.546%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.037.778.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (14)33.337.170.4-3.829%-
Last 10 (8)38.940.279.1-1.425%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.438.475.8-0.941%-
vs Weaker (3)37.334.371.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Itzehoe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItzehoeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bernau
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
Pro B
ETB Wohnbau
#24
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H09/02
Pro B
Wedel
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A17/02
Pro B
Dresden
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/02
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/03
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/09
Pro B
Dusseldorf
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/09
Pro B
Munster
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H05/10
Pro B
74.9Avg total
37.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.838.276.0-0.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.373.7+1.067%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.178.5-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.774.9-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.145.482.6-8.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.635.474.0+3.272%-
vs Weaker (2)34.030.564.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dresden wins
1
Itzehoe wins
DateGameScore
23/02/19Itzehoe v Dresden69-64
11/11/18Dresden v Itzehoe85-83
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/19ASandersdorf71-74
29/09/19HRSV Eintracht85-58
21/09/19ADusseldorf87-94
07/04/19HWolfenbuttel74-92
31/03/19ASandersdorf71-77
30/03/19AETB Wohnbau20-0
23/03/19HETB Wohnbau20-0
17/03/19AWolfenbuttel80-74
10/03/19HSandersdorf68-80
23/02/19AItzehoe64-69
Itzehoelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/19HMunster80-72
28/09/19HDusseldorf76-81
21/09/19ASandersdorf74-93
15/03/19AGiessen Rackelos 271-78
09/03/19HGiessen Rackelos 279-72
03/03/19AGiessen Rackelos 276-100
23/02/19HDresden69-64
17/02/19AWedel70-82 OT
09/02/19HETB Wohnbau77-60
03/02/19ABernau71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro B 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game81.085.079.0
Allowed / game75.358.084.0
Point differential+5.7+27.0-5.0
Avg total156.3143.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Itzehoe
Pro B 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.778.074.0
Allowed / game82.076.593.0
Point differential-5.3+1.5-19.0
Avg total158.7154.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BIS Baskets Speyer330100%85.072.3+12.7
2 Schwelm330100%80.068.7+11.3
3 Dusseldorf330100%85.779.0+6.7
4 Bernau32167%83.367.7+15.7
5 Elchingen32167%83.778.3+5.3
6 Hanau32167%85.380.7+4.7
7 Sandersdorf32167%78.374.7+3.7
8 TG Wurzburg32167%84.781.7+3.0
9 Baunach32167%75.773.7+2.0
10 OrangeAcademy32167%68.368.0+0.3
11 Munster32167%73.374.3-1.0
12 Wedel32167%69.372.3-3.0
13 Bayern 242250%77.075.0+2.0
14 Frankfurt 242250%74.578.2-3.8
15 Dresden31233%81.075.3+5.7
16 Giessen Rackelos 231233%72.370.7+1.7
17 Oberhaching31233%77.780.0-2.3
18 Iserlohn31233%71.376.0-4.7
19 Itzehoe31233%76.782.0-5.3
20 RSV Eintracht31233%73.782.0-8.3
21 Oldenburg Juniors3030%80.385.0-4.7
22 Lowen3030%69.376.0-6.7
23 Bochum3030%65.781.7-16.0
24 Coburg3030%68.386.7-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden2316122677
Itzehoe1828172386
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.