Dresden vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 95-59

19-14 37-19 22-18 17-8

Position#9

Record6-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game83.1

Dresden 🏆

Leverkusen

Position#17

Record2-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game89.3

Pro ARound 11

Other2022-23

Meetings · Dresden v Leverkusen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leverkusen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

75-74

A01/10

Pro A

Bochum

85-94

-9

H08/10

Pro A

Artland

84-82

A15/10

Pro A

Giessen

90-87

H22/10

Pro A

Trier

#13

95-89

A30/10

Pro A

Vechta

78-107

107

-29

A04/11

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

74-76

-2

H06/11

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

83-90

-7

A19/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

72-69

H27/11

Pro A

Paderborn

#11

68-63

A03/12

Pro A

15-6

17-23

25-19

18-26

22-13

27-29

17-22

19-30

18-18

32-15

12-23

22-26

23-18

18-16

21-24

28-29

18-15

23-28

26-26

28-20

11-29

21-29

27-35

19-14

27-19

15-15

16-12

16-30

20-24

18-27

21-18

24-21

12-19

12-21

26-18

22-11

12-20

16-16

23-12

17-15

163.5Avg total

80.4Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.4	83.1	163.5	-2.7	60%
Season at home (4)	80.2	81.5	161.8	-1.2	50%
Season away (6)	80.5	84.2	164.7	-3.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	83.1	163.5	-2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	81.0	156.0	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.0	91.5	167.5	-15.5	0%
vs Similar (11)	81.3	78.2	159.5	+3.1	82%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	82.4	73.6	156.0	+8.8	82%

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leverkusen Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

90-77

+13

H01/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#11

65-96

-31

A08/10

Pro A

Tubingen

66-98

-32

H16/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

75-95

-20

A22/10

Pro A

Munster

#14

82-94

-12

H30/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

84-91

-7

A04/11

Pro A

Jena

#15

95-88

H16/11

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

67-84

-17

A20/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

#10

52-79

-27

A26/11

Pro A

Bremerhaven

85-91

-6

H04/12

Pro A

34-16

16-17

17-30

23-14

9-28

19-18

19-22

18-28

17-25

18-23

10-36

21-14

17-23

27-15

14-30

17-27

18-27

19-24

24-27

21-16

13-20

27-22

23-25

21-24

29-15

25-20

20-29

21-24

14-24

20-20

13-14

20-26

15-13

10-29

15-20

12-17

24-27

20-17

21-24

20-23

165.4Avg total

76.1Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.1	89.3	165.4	-13.2	20%
Season at home (5)	83.6	89.6	173.2	-6.0	40%
Season away (5)	68.6	89.0	157.6	-20.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	89.3	165.4	-13.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	86.6	163.2	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	79.0	90.2	169.2	-11.2	30%
vs Similar (13)	80.9	85.2	166.1	-4.2	38%
vs Weaker (7)	88.3	84.3	172.6	+4.0	57%

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DresdenLeverkusen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.6	40.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.1	35.6	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	43%	-

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

32-29

A01/10

Pro A

Bochum

49-42

H08/10

Pro A

Artland

50-33

+17

A15/10

Pro A

Giessen

41-34

H22/10

Pro A

Trier

#13

41-43

-2

A30/10

Pro A

Vechta

32-58

-26

A04/11

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

42-34

H06/11

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

38-51

-13

A19/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

24-40

-16

H27/11

Pro A

Paderborn

#11

28-36

-8

A03/12

Pro A

77.7Avg total

37.7Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.3	78.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	36.5	79.9	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.1	77.5	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	40.0	77.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	43.8	76.6	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.4	36.5	77.9	+4.9	71%	-

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeverkusenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

50-33

+17

H01/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#11

28-46

-18

A08/10

Pro A

Tubingen

35-48

-13

H16/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

44-38

A22/10

Pro A

Munster

#14

37-51

-14

H30/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

40-42

-2

A04/11

Pro A

Jena

#15

54-35

+19

H16/11

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

34-44

-10

A20/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

#10

25-42

-17

A26/11

Pro A

Bremerhaven

44-44

H04/12

Pro A

81.4Avg total

39.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	42.4	81.4	-3.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.3	81.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.4	80.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	71%	-

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.9	39.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.9	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.7	41.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.0	24.8	41.8	-7.8	8%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	25.7	43.3	-8.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.8	26.9	45.7	-8.1	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.2	22.5	44.8	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	38.2	77.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	38.1	81.0	+4.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	43.1	85.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	45.5	84.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.9	38.5	80.5	+3.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	44.4	84.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	44.5	83.2	-5.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	44.3	84.8	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	45.2	82.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.1	48.1	86.2	-10.0	10%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.3	43.2	83.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dresden wins

Leverkusen wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/17	Dresden v Leverkusen	81-77
22/10/17	Leverkusen v Dresden	72-80

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/22	A	Paderborn	68-63
27/11/22	H	Nurnberger	72-69
19/11/22	A	Dusseldorf	83-90
06/11/22	H	PS Karlsruhe	74-76
04/11/22	A	Vechta	78-107
30/10/22	A	Trier	95-89
22/10/22	H	Giessen	90-87
15/10/22	A	Artland	84-82
08/10/22	H	Bochum	85-94
01/10/22	A	Panthers Schwenningen	75-74

Leverkusenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/22	H	Bremerhaven	85-91
26/11/22	A	Kirchheim	52-79
20/11/22	A	Panthers Schwenningen	67-84
16/11/22	H	Jena	95-88
04/11/22	A	Nurnberger	84-91
30/10/22	H	Munster	82-94
22/10/22	A	Dusseldorf	75-95
16/10/22	H	Tubingen	66-98
08/10/22	A	Paderborn	65-96
01/10/22	H	PS Karlsruhe	90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden

Pro A 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	60%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	60%	50%	67%
Points / game	80.4	80.2	80.5
Allowed / game	83.1	81.5	84.2
Point differential	-2.7	-1.2	-3.7
Avg total	163.5	161.8	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leverkusen

Pro A 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Points / game	76.1	83.6	68.6
Allowed / game	89.3	89.6	89.0
Point differential	-13.2	-6.0	-20.4
Avg total	165.4	173.2	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vechta	10	9	1	90%	88.3	75.0	+13.3
2	Tubingen	10	8	2	80%	87.4	74.4	+13.0
3	Phoenix Hagen	10	7	3	70%	89.9	83.1	+6.8
4	Giessen	10	7	3	70%	84.0	82.2	+1.8
5	Jena	10	6	4	60%	83.3	78.3	+5.0
6	PS Karlsruhe	10	6	4	60%	86.1	85.7	+0.4
7	Dresden	10	6	4	60%	80.4	83.1	-2.7
8	Paderborn	10	5	5	50%	76.9	76.1	+0.8
9	Artland	10	5	5	50%	79.1	78.5	+0.6
10	Kirchheim	10	5	5	50%	76.8	76.7	+0.1
11	Nurnberger	10	5	5	50%	75.6	77.8	-2.2
12	Dusseldorf	10	4	6	40%	86.5	86.5	+0.0
13	Munster	10	4	6	40%	75.9	75.9	+0.0
14	Bremerhaven	10	4	6	40%	78.3	81.4	-3.1
15	Trier	10	3	7	30%	87.0	91.9	-4.9
16	Bochum	10	2	8	20%	87.5	93.4	-5.9
17	Panthers Schwenningen	10	2	8	20%	75.0	84.8	-9.8
18	Leverkusen	10	2	8	20%	76.1	89.3	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dresden	19	37	22	17	95
Leverkusen	14	19	18	8	59

← all games of the day

Dresden vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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