Dresden vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 107-68

28-22 27-16 20-16 32-14

Position#9

Record14-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game82.5

Dresden 🏆

Paderborn

Position#18

Record7-21

FormLLWLW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game84.0

Pro ARound 29

Other2023-24

Meetings · Dresden v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

#13

79-83

-4

A27/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

89-92

-3

H04/02

Pro A

Munster

87-96

-9

A07/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

73-84

-11

H11/02

Pro A

Artland

#14

86-95

-9

H18/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

93-78

+15

A01/03

Pro A

Jena

85-78

H03/03

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

101-88

101

+13

A10/03

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

87-59

+28

H17/03

Pro A

Bochum

#17

98-81

+17

A23/03

Pro A

13-14

26-17

16-24

24-28

23-26

19-25

13-18

34-23

17-20

18-16

21-27

31-33

25-26

20-21

19-23

9-14

24-34

23-19

17-20

22-22

18-17

26-20

16-25

33-16

18-18

19-18

21-20

27-22

28-21

27-17

28-26

18-24

18-13

30-8

21-24

18-14

25-17

22-14

24-27

27-23

171.2Avg total

87.8Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	86.2	82.5	168.7	+3.6	50%
Season at home (14)	83.1	81.3	164.4	+1.8	43%
Season away (14)	89.3	83.8	173.1	+5.5	57%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	83.4	171.2	+4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	76.8	169.6	+16.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.5	83.5	160.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	82.4	85.5	167.8	-3.1	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	89.4	80.8	170.2	+8.6	69%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koblenz

#16

75-79

-4

H27/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

92-100

100

-8

A04/02

Pro A

Trier

93-94 OT

-1

H07/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

74-77

-3

A10/02

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

88-71

+17

A17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

70-71

-1

H01/03

Pro A

Giessen

70-92

-22

A03/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

89-77

+12

H09/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

72-73

-1

A16/03

Pro A

Jena

77-73

H23/03

Pro A

18-25

19-17

15-18

23-19

25-21

20-26

27-27

21-19

19-21

19-16

16-19

20-18

21-18

16-22

17-19

16-13

25-25

25-15

22-18

18-18

18-22

16-19

18-12

18-22

20-28

13-21

19-21

25-15

26-14

18-24

20-24

25-13

28-19

11-21

8-20

16-16

23-18

20-22

18-17

160.7Avg total

80.0Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.8	84.0	161.8	-6.3	25%
Season at home (14)	81.1	82.6	163.8	-1.5	36%
Season away (14)	74.4	85.4	159.8	-11.1	14%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	80.7	160.7	-0.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	77.2	152.8	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.9	87.4	164.3	-10.5	12%
vs Similar (13)	80.7	80.5	161.2	+0.2	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DresdenPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.7	45.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	26.5	48.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.4	20.2	41.7	+1.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.7	41.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.2	18.5	41.8	+4.7	85%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	15.4	40.2	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.1	18.2	42.3	+5.8	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.3	38.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	23.5	42.7	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

#13

39-31

A27/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

42-51

-9

H04/02

Pro A

Munster

35-36

-1

A07/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-47

-2

H11/02

Pro A

Artland

#14

47-53

-6

H18/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

44-37

A01/03

Pro A

Jena

37-36

H03/03

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

55-38

+17

A10/03

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

48-21

+27

H17/03

Pro A

Bochum

#17

47-31

+16

A23/03

Pro A

82.0Avg total

43.9Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.0	84.9	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	42.6	87.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	38.1	82.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	32.6	78.8	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.5	48.0	91.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.1	42.3	84.4	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.5	38.5	84.0	+7.0	62%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koblenz

#16

37-42

-5

H27/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

45-47

-2

A04/02

Pro A

Trier

40-40

H07/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

41-36

A10/02

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

41-38

A17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

36-40

-4

H01/03

Pro A

Giessen

38-50

-12

A03/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

51-29

+22

H09/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

53-32

+21

A16/03

Pro A

Jena

39-34

H23/03

Pro A

80.9Avg total

42.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.3	81.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	39.9	80.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	42.7	82.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	37.0	80.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.1	42.6	79.7	-5.5	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.6	39.6	83.2	+4.0	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.4	46.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-0.9	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.4	37.0	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.6	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.2	19.2	36.3	-2.0	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	22.7	45.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.9	46.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.8	44.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	21.5	41.8	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.9	20.8	43.8	+2.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.1	36.1	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	41%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.2	82.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	39.1	77.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	43.3	87.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	45.3	89.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	44.2	90.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	35.5	68.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.3	43.2	83.5	-2.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	42.2	41.0	83.2	+1.2	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.9	77.4	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	43.9	80.5	-7.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	40.0	76.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	40.2	72.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.5	42.1	79.6	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.4	39.2	74.6	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	19.0	59.4%	-	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.0	13.0	36.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	9.0	8.0	88.9%	-	8.0

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paderborntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dresden wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/23	Paderborn v Dresden	100-106 OT
16/04/23	Dresden v Paderborn	88-80
03/12/22	Paderborn v Dresden	63-68
11/02/17	Paderborn v Dresden	82-72
03/10/16	Dresden v Paderborn	125-130 OT

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/24	A	Bochum	98-81
17/03/24	H	Koblenz	87-59
10/03/24	A	Phoenix Hagen	101-88
03/03/24	H	Jena	85-78
01/03/24	A	Nurnberger	93-78
18/02/24	H	Artland	86-95
11/02/24	H	Kirchheim	73-84
07/02/24	A	Munster	87-96
04/02/24	H	PS Karlsruhe	89-92
27/01/24	A	Vechta 2	79-83

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/24	H	Jena	77-73
16/03/24	A	Artland	72-73
09/03/24	H	Vechta 2	89-77
03/03/24	A	Giessen	70-92
01/03/24	H	Kirchheim	70-71
17/02/24	A	Dusseldorf	88-71
10/02/24	A	Bochum	74-77
07/02/24	H	Trier	93-94 OT
04/02/24	A	Phoenix Hagen	92-100
27/01/24	H	Koblenz	75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	50%
Home	LLLWW	43%
Away	LLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	50%	43%	57%
Points / game	86.2	83.1	89.3
Allowed / game	82.5	81.3	83.8
Point differential	+3.6	+1.8	+5.5
Avg total	168.7	164.4	173.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	21%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	25% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Paderborn

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	25%
Home	LLLWW	36%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	25%	36%	14%
Points / game	77.8	81.1	74.4
Allowed / game	84.0	82.6	85.4
Point differential	-6.3	-1.5	-11.1
Avg total	161.8	163.8	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (10)	29% (7)	0% (3)
Overtime %	14%	29%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Trier	29	24	5	83%	89.6	79.3	+10.2
2	Frankfurt	29	21	8	72%	80.6	72.8	+7.8
3	Giessen	29	21	8	72%	86.9	81.6	+5.3
4	Phoenix Hagen	29	20	9	69%	88.6	83.8	+4.8
5	Kirchheim	29	20	9	69%	82.6	80.4	+2.2
6	Jena	29	19	10	66%	85.0	79.4	+5.7
7	PS Karlsruhe	29	16	13	55%	80.0	78.4	+1.6
8	Munster	29	16	13	55%	82.8	84.0	-1.2
9	Dresden	28	14	14	50%	86.2	82.5	+3.6
10	Bremerhaven	29	13	16	45%	83.5	85.0	-1.4
11	Bayreuth	29	13	16	45%	82.5	85.2	-2.7
12	Vechta 2	28	11	17	39%	83.4	86.2	-2.8
13	Nurnberger	29	10	19	34%	79.6	82.6	-3.1
14	Koblenz	28	9	19	32%	74.5	81.4	-6.9
15	Dusseldorf	29	9	20	31%	79.0	85.2	-6.3
16	Bochum	29	8	21	28%	84.8	90.0	-5.2
17	Artland	29	8	21	28%	80.5	86.3	-5.9
18	Paderborn	28	7	21	25%	77.8	84.0	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dresden	28	27	20	32	107
Paderborn	22	16	16	14	68

← all games of the day

Dresden vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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