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Dresden vs PS Karlsruhe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-92
23-26 19-25 13-18 34-23
Position#9
Record9-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#5
Record11-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyPro ARound 20
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dresden v PS Karlsruhe
29 Dec 2024
DRES101
PS K71
04 Feb 2024
DRES89
PS K92
06 Nov 2022
DRES74
PS K76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PS Karlsruhe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#8
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H03/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A09/12
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H16/12
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
A22/12
Pro A
Jena
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A27/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H02/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A07/01
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H13/01
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A21/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A27/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
21-17
15-14
22-14
16-26
25-16
20-22
17-18
27-26
22-20
14-15
8-15
23-27
22-18
20-11
14-23
21-17
10-15
28-23
20-27
36-30
23-25
18-23
20-16
20-26
14-23
20-16
33-16
18-22
28-20
16-24
20-23
17-27
21-23
16-21
28-20
13-14
26-17
16-24
24-28
170.1Avg total
85.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.982.1167.1+2.847%
Season at home (9)82.681.1163.7+1.444%
Season away (10)87.183.0170.1+4.150%
Last 10 (10)85.484.7170.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)85.487.6173.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.887.8162.5-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.787.5169.2-5.823%
vs Weaker (12)90.182.7172.8+7.467%
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PS KarlsruheGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta 2
#13
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H02/12
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A09/12
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H16/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A23/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A26/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H03/01
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A06/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H13/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A20/01
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H27/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
34-12
18-12
22-24
24-24
16-22
23-11
26-18
16-19
16-16
17-20
23-17
13-16
27-18
18-19
16-24
18-18
21-16
29-15
16-18
12-14
20-22
17-18
22-25
17-16
20-14
30-18
17-16
17-17
21-18
31-16
21-24
25-18
16-25
10-31
25-19
23-19
14-15
18-27
22-11
157.2Avg total
82.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.375.4154.6+3.958%
Season at home (10)81.677.3158.9+4.360%
Season away (9)76.773.2149.9+3.456%
Last 10 (10)82.275.0157.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)79.676.6156.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.684.4154.0-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.780.0160.7+0.740%
vs Weaker (14)81.273.7154.9+7.586%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
DresdenPS Karlsruhe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H03/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/12
Pro A
Trier
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/12
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/12
Pro A
Jena
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H02/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/01
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/01
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A27/01
Pro A
87.1Avg total
43.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.185.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.085.9+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.386.0-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.387.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.549.088.5-9.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.542.984.4-1.554%-
vs Weaker (12)45.740.686.2+5.158%-
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PS KarlsruheLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta 2
#13
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H02/12
Pro A
Bochum
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/12
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/01
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A06/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/01
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/01
Pro A
74.9Avg total
39.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.475.9-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.137.676.7+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)35.739.375.0-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.874.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.441.474.8-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.340.579.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker (14)37.735.172.9+2.650%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PS Karlsruhetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PS Karlsruhe: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.018.0
64.3%
-36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.0
32.4%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.0
63.2%
-12.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
LLLWWLWLLW
PS Karlsruhe
WLWWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#5
-1.2
Net rating
-13.3
102.7
Offensive rating
107.7
103.9
Defensive rating
121.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
24.2%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
40.0%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.1%
3-point %
32.4%
75.0%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Dresden   ■ PS Karlsruhe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dresden wins
3
PS Karlsruhe wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23PS Karlsruhe v Dresden91-86
18/02/23PS Karlsruhe v Dresden83-75
06/11/22Dresden v PS Karlsruhe74-76
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AVechta 279-83
21/01/24ATrier82-91
13/01/24HPhoenix Hagen82-89
07/01/24ABremerhaven87-81
02/01/24HVechta 297-94
27/12/23AJena79-82
22/12/23APaderborn106-100 OT
16/12/23HTrier71-76
09/12/23ADusseldorf78-82
03/12/23HMunster93-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HMunster77-72
20/01/24ABremerhaven76-93
13/01/24HKoblenz90-75
06/01/24AMunster84-64
03/01/24HPhoenix Hagen71-79
26/12/23ADusseldorf84-67
23/12/23AKirchheim74-77
16/12/23HBayreuth82-81 OT
09/12/23ABochum89-75
02/12/23HVechta 295-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game84.982.687.1
Allowed / game82.181.183.0
Point differential+2.8+1.4+4.1
Avg total167.1163.7170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
PS Karlsruhe
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game79.381.676.7
Allowed / game75.477.373.2
Point differential+3.9+4.3+3.4
Avg total154.6158.9149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%20%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier2017385%88.579.2+9.2
2 Frankfurt2015575%81.072.1+8.9
3 Jena2015575%87.080.8+6.2
4 Phoenix Hagen1914574%88.183.1+5.1
5 Giessen2013765%87.282.2+5.0
6 PS Karlsruhe1911858%79.375.4+3.9
7 Kirchheim2011955%82.482.7-0.3
8 Munster2011955%80.080.5-0.5
9 Bayreuth20101050%83.781.7+1.9
10 Dresden1991047%84.982.1+2.8
11 Bremerhaven2091145%86.285.5+0.7
12 Nurnberger2091145%80.280.8-0.5
13 Dusseldorf2071335%79.084.6-5.6
14 Koblenz2071335%76.482.3-6.0
15 Vechta 22071335%81.387.4-6.1
16 Bochum2051525%85.392.0-6.7
17 Paderborn1941521%76.485.5-9.1
18 Artland2041620%78.587.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden2319133489
PS Karlsruhe2625182392
← all games of the day
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