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Dresden vs Phoenix Hagen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-75
20-16 25-26 21-16 26-17
Position#11
Record5-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.2
Dresden 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record8-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.2
GermanyPro ARound 13· Margon Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dresden v Phoenix Hagen
15 Dec 2024
DRES92
PHA75
13 Jan 2024
DRES82
PHA89
07 Jan 2023
DRES83
PHA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Hagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
L
96-109
96
109
-13
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H07/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
31-26
18-25
22-24
19-20
15-34
18-18
20-26
18-21
15-12
18-20
16-18
21-21
16-23
30-21
9-21
23-27
19-22
24-19
17-28
16-16
16-17
16-22
24-16
27-21
22-19
22-20
18-22
13-22
19-22
23-24
13-29
30-23
33-31
18-21
19-22
25-22
25-10
30-22
22-20
170.6Avg total
82.5Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.186.2168.2-4.142%
Season at home (6)86.884.3171.2+2.550%
Season away (6)77.388.0165.3-10.733%
Last 10 (10)82.588.1170.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.892.0169.8-14.225%
vs Similar (12)82.883.1165.8-0.333%
vs Weaker (14)89.382.6171.9+6.757%
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix HagenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#13
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A05/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H12/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/10
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H08/11
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A16/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A30/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H06/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
30-26
18-24
25-17
30-16
20-18
23-18
27-17
20-22
32-13
15-24
20-14
22-23
15-18
11-16
23-26
14-21
21-21
20-16
23-17
22-24
20-22
30-22
17-20
24-24
22-16
11-17
27-20
11-22
20-18
20-19
20-21
16-21
23-25
19-23
20-16
19-20
22-17
22-14
23-26
163.2Avg total
84.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.278.2161.4+4.967%
Season at home (7)85.376.9162.1+8.486%
Season away (5)80.280.2160.4+0.040%
Last 10 (10)84.778.5163.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.378.7158.0+0.767%
vs Similar (16)78.879.5158.3-0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.675.4162.0+11.280%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
DresdenPhoenix Hagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Pro A
87.1Avg total
42.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.084.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.886.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.283.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.387.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.247.085.2-8.825%-
vs Similar (12)42.442.084.4+0.433%-
vs Weaker (14)46.638.485.0+8.179%-
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix HagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#13
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A05/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H12/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H19/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/10
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H08/11
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H10/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
Pro A
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.681.5+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.138.580.6+3.672%-
Last 30 away (12)41.541.382.8+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.339.080.3+2.367%-
vs Similar (16)40.240.280.5+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.638.583.1+6.170%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Hagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Hagen: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.020.0
42.6%
-40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws11.011.0
100.0%
-11.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
WWLWWLLLLL
Phoenix Hagen
WLLWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#8
-1.2
Net rating
-4.3
102.7
Offensive rating
111.4
103.9
Defensive rating
115.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
44.7%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
7.2%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.15
36.1%
3-point %
32.1%
75.0%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Dresden   ■ Phoenix Hagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dresden wins
2
Phoenix Hagen wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Phoenix Hagen v Dresden88-101
13/01/24Dresden v Phoenix Hagen82-89
11/03/23Phoenix Hagen v Dresden85-89
07/01/23Dresden v Phoenix Hagen83-89
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HMunster102-74
30/11/24AVechta 2100-97
16/11/24AGiessen68-97
10/11/24HTrier89-82
08/11/24ABayreuth72-71
02/11/24HBochum83-96
26/10/24AKirchheim76-86
20/10/24HTubingen67-71
12/10/24ABremerhaven72-98
06/10/24HArtland96-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HKoblenz86-77
30/11/24ABremerhaven78-85
16/11/24ANurnberger71-80
10/11/24HCrailsheim Merlins84-77
08/11/24HVechta 289-88
02/11/24ATrier78-75
26/10/24ATubingen71-83
19/10/24HBochum87-73
12/10/24HPS Karlsruhe100-69
05/10/24ABayreuth103-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW42%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game82.186.877.3
Allowed / game86.284.388.0
Point differential-4.1+2.5-10.7
Avg total168.2171.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Hagen
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game83.285.380.2
Allowed / game78.276.980.2
Point differential+4.9+8.4+0.0
Avg total161.4162.1160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1311285%86.376.9+9.4
2 Bochum1310377%83.475.9+7.5
3 Munster139469%87.580.7+6.8
4 Kirchheim139469%81.578.5+3.0
5 Tubingen139469%80.578.8+1.8
6 Trier128467%88.479.2+9.2
7 Phoenix Hagen128467%83.278.2+4.9
8 Bremerhaven138562%84.277.3+6.8
9 Giessen138562%84.878.2+6.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins126650%90.184.7+5.4
11 Dresden125742%82.186.2-4.1
12 Koblenz125742%74.882.0-7.2
13 Artland124833%81.484.8-3.4
14 PS Karlsruhe134931%74.677.8-3.2
15 Bayreuth134931%83.690.2-6.5
16 Nurnberger123925%72.680.9-8.3
17 Dusseldorf1321115%74.686.9-12.3
18 Vechta 2120120%78.095.9-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden2025212692
Phoenix Hagen1626161775
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