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Dresden vs PS Karlsruhe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-71
23-17 26-25 24-16 28-13
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game84.8
Dresden 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#12
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.5
GermanyPro ARound 15· Margon Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dresden v PS Karlsruhe
29 Dec 2024
DRES101
PS K71
04 Feb 2024
DRES89
PS K92
06 Nov 2022
DRES74
PS K76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PS Karlsruhe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A23/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-12
18-20
16-18
21-21
16-23
30-21
9-21
23-27
19-22
24-19
17-28
16-16
16-17
16-22
24-16
27-21
22-19
22-20
18-22
13-22
19-22
23-24
13-29
30-23
33-31
18-21
19-22
25-22
25-10
30-22
22-20
20-16
25-26
21-16
26-17
9-19
21-14
33-18
14-27
165.3Avg total
82.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.484.8167.2-2.443%
Season at home (7)87.683.0170.6+4.657%
Season away (7)77.386.6163.9-9.329%
Last 10 (10)82.682.7165.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)87.884.2172.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.686.0165.6-6.440%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.882.5165.4+0.336%
vs Weaker (14)89.382.6171.9+6.757%
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PS KarlsruheGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H19/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A26/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/11
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A08/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H10/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
72-104
72
104
-32
H16/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A30/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A07/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H14/12
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
H21/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-20
15-10
34-18
15-11
14-15
15-23
23-22
15-12
15-17
25-16
23-19
21-21
22-24
19-19
16-17
16-20
24-28
28-12
10-27
11-30
14-17
27-30
20-27
20-28
21-25
17-16
11-16
14-14
15-21
14-20
20-15
13-12
19-17
25-16
20-11
12-29
16-29
28-28
17-16
153.4Avg total
74.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.579.5154.0-5.029%
Season at home (7)80.079.4159.4+0.657%
Season away (7)69.079.6148.6-10.60%
Last 10 (10)74.279.2153.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)70.883.4154.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.886.9161.6-12.112%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.378.8163.1+5.567%
vs Weaker (6)91.273.8165.0+17.383%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
DresdenPS Karlsruhe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/12
Pro A
81.7Avg total
41.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.483.9+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.240.886.0+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.181.9+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.481.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.085.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.042.680.6-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.142.084.1+0.127%-
vs Weaker (14)46.638.485.0+8.179%-
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PS KarlsruheLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A26/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H02/11
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H10/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H16/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H14/12
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H21/12
Pro A
74.9Avg total
33.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.480.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.182.1-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.678.8-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)33.541.474.9-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.044.475.4-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.543.477.9-8.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.141.583.6+0.747%-
vs Weaker (6)43.834.578.3+9.383%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PS Karlsruhetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PS Karlsruhe: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.017.5
60.3%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.08.5
25.0%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws13.58.5
63.0%
-8.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
LWWWLWWLLL
PS Karlsruhe
LWLLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#12
-1.2
Net rating
-21.2
102.7
Offensive rating
94.3
103.9
Defensive rating
115.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
26.9%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
43.2%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.1%
3-point %
25.0%
75.0%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Dresden   ■ PS Karlsruhe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dresden wins
4
PS Karlsruhe wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Dresden v PS Karlsruhe89-92
14/10/23PS Karlsruhe v Dresden91-86
18/02/23PS Karlsruhe v Dresden83-75
06/11/22Dresden v PS Karlsruhe74-76
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-78
15/12/24HPhoenix Hagen92-75
07/12/24HMunster102-74
30/11/24AVechta 2100-97
16/11/24AGiessen68-97
10/11/24HTrier89-82
08/11/24ABayreuth72-71
02/11/24HBochum83-96
26/10/24AKirchheim76-86
20/10/24HTubingen67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HTrier73-102
14/12/24HKirchheim77-56
07/12/24ANurnberger63-70
30/11/24ABochum69-85
16/11/24HJena72-104
10/11/24HBremerhaven78-87
08/11/24ATubingen78-81
02/11/24HDusseldorf78-64
26/10/24AKoblenz67-71
19/10/24HArtland87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game82.487.677.3
Allowed / game84.883.086.6
Point differential-2.4+4.6-9.3
Avg total167.2170.6163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PS Karlsruhe
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game74.580.069.0
Allowed / game79.579.479.6
Point differential-5.0+0.6-10.6
Avg total154.0159.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1513287%87.074.1+12.9
2 Trier1511473%90.779.5+11.2
3 Bochum1511473%84.979.2+5.7
4 Giessen1510567%86.376.9+9.4
5 Bremerhaven1510567%83.977.5+6.4
6 Phoenix Hagen1510567%84.279.7+4.5
7 Kirchheim1510567%81.378.9+2.5
8 Tubingen1510567%78.777.7+1.0
9 Crailsheim Merlins159660%88.982.1+6.8
10 Munster159660%87.382.3+5.0
11 Dresden146843%82.484.8-2.4
12 Koblenz156940%73.982.8-8.9
13 PS Karlsruhe1441029%74.579.5-5.0
14 Bayreuth1541127%83.990.1-6.1
15 Artland1541127%79.986.3-6.3
16 Nurnberger1531220%72.880.5-7.7
17 Dusseldorf1531220%75.986.9-11.0
18 Vechta 2151147%77.395.7-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden23262428101
PS Karlsruhe1725161371
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