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Drexel vs American University Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 77-66
Projected total 143.4
Final 64-66
30-31 34-35
Position#291
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game81.5
Drexel
USA
Vs
83%
17%
■ DREX 83%■ AMER 17%
Pythia win probability
American University 🏆
USA
Position#300
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 11 November 2026 the NCAA contest pits Drexel against American University, with the model designating Drexel as the clear favourite because it carries an 83% win probability and a projected 77-66 victory, a margin that aligns with its 77 points in the forecast and the 83% chance of covering the -1.0 line. Drexel's season so far stands at 1-1, averaging 68.5 points scored and 81.5 points allowed, while American University is 0-2, averaging 63.0 points scored and 80.5 points allowed. At home Drexel is undefeated 1-0, posting 77.0 points per game and 74.0 points allowed, and its last five games include a 77-74 win over Colgate and two losses to Virginia and Monmouth. American University's road record is 0-2, with recent defeats to Clemson, Cincinnati and Boston University. The teams have met once, with American University winning 75-73 in December 2025. Pythia projects a total of 143.4 points, with a 54% probability of the over on the 141.5 line, and a 3% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Drexel's offensive output near the forecast as it seeks to extend its winning streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drexel winLost
83.1%fair 1.20
Best odds1.90
Implied50.6%
Edge+32.4pp
American University winWon
16.9%fair 5.90
Best odds2.00
Implied49.4%
Edge-32.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrexelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H13/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia
#35
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A04/11
NCAA
Colgate
#363
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-45
51-48
35-36
34-36
29-24
41-37
33-27
35-35
27-27
38-33
32-26
19-36
39-22
45-55
33-32
24-33
27-51
33-38
29-25
48-49
138.9Avg total
67.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
Season at home (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)60.089.0149.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)67.471.5138.9-4.150%
Last 5 (5)65.873.4139.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.269.7129.8-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (18)66.966.8133.8+0.156%
vs Weaker (6)75.369.2144.5+6.283%
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A19/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A22/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#152
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Clemson
#84
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
38-43
34-47
48-43
36-27
39-36
36-30
39-27
34-31
41-30
30-33
43-45
23-38
42-30
36-40
37-35
33-35
20-44
35-39
38-43
145.2Avg total
71.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)63.080.5143.5-17.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)63.080.5143.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)71.773.5145.2-1.830%
Last 5 (5)67.476.4143.8-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.382.3148.7-16.017%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.566.6136.1+2.950%
vs Weaker (15)73.769.4143.1+4.353%
This opponent (Drexel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136.5Actual: Under 136.5
Over 136.5
66.0%
@ 1.62+9.0pp
Under 136.5
34.0%
@ 2.15-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
Over/Under 141.5 · main lineActual: Under 141.5
Over 141.5
54.2%
@ 2.07+5.4pp
Under 141.5
45.8%
@ 1.86-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Bet365
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
42.0%
@ 2.80+9.0pp
Under 146.5
58.0%
@ 1.38-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.38

📊 3. Team Totals

Drexel total 66.5Actual: Drexel under 66.5
Over 66.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under 66.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
Drexel total 71 · main lineActual: Drexel under 71
Over 71
73.9%
@ 1.87+24.4pp
Under 71
26.1%
@ 1.85-24.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Drexel total 75Actual: Drexel under 75
Over 75
58.9%
Under 75
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
American University total 66.5Actual: American University under 66.5
Over 66.5
48.5%
@ 1.50-12.0pp
Under 66.5
51.5%
@ 2.30+12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.30
American University total 70.5 · main lineActual: American University under 70.5
Over 70.5
33.4%
@ 2.02-15.8pp
Under 70.5
66.6%
@ 1.85+15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.72
American University total 74.5Actual: American University under 74.5
Over 74.5
20.8%
@ 2.80-11.6pp
Under 74.5
79.2%
@ 1.34+11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.34

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Drexel -4Actual: American University +4
DREX -4
74.7%
AMER +4
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
DREX
No market prices yet.
AMER
No market prices yet.
Spread Drexel -1 · main lineActual: American University +1
DREX -1
82.7%
@ 1.94+33.1pp
AMER +1
17.3%
@ 1.91-33.1pp
Best 5 market prices
DREX
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.85
SBO
1.85
AMER
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.86
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Spread Drexel +2Push
DREX +2
86.6%
@ 1.71+30.5pp
AMER -2
13.4%
@ 2.18-30.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DREX
Pinnacle
1.71
AMER
Pinnacle
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
DrexelAmerican University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrexelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H13/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia
#35
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A04/11
NCAA
Colgate
#363
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H07/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)32.030.762.7+1.463%30%
Last 30 at home (16)31.330.261.6+1.162%25%
Last 30 away (14)32.931.164.0+1.764%36%
Last 10 (10)30.631.562.1-0.960%30%
Last 5 (5)32.031.263.2+0.880%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.034.762.7-6.733%17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.630.263.8+3.367%44%
vs Weaker (6)31.528.059.5+3.583%0%
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A12/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A19/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#152
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/11
NCAA
Clemson
#84
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
33.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)33.932.866.7+1.250%60%
Last 30 at home (15)33.829.763.5+4.160%40%
Last 30 away (15)34.135.969.9-1.840%80%
Last 10 (10)33.235.969.1-2.730%60%
Last 5 (5)31.437.068.4-5.60%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.737.269.8-4.517%83%
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.232.964.1-1.638%50%
vs Weaker (15)34.531.365.8+3.367%53%
This opponent (Drexel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: American University win
DREX win
no forecast
@ 2.00
AMER win
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Spread Drexel +0.5 · main lineActual: American University -0.5
DREX +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
AMER -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main lineActual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Drexel 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Drexel under 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
American University 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: American University under 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: DREX + total 65.5
DREX & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
DREX & under
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half: Draw + total 65.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: AMER + total 65.5
AMER & over
no forecast
@ 3.45
AMER & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half Over/Under 67Actual: Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Drexel -0.5Actual: American University +0.5
DREX -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
AMER +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.73
1st half Spread Drexel +1.5Actual: Drexel +1.5
DREX +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
AMER -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 63.5Actual: Under 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.53
Under
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Drexel -1.5Actual: American University +1.5
DREX -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
AMER +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Drexel +2.5Actual: Drexel +2.5
DREX +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
AMER -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: American University (regulation)
DREX
no forecast
@ 2.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
AMER
no forecast
@ 2.02

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DREX win + total 141.5
🔒 Pro
AMER win + total 141.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DREX leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Drexel -377.5%2.30
Pinnacle
2.30		----+35.8ppLost
Drexel -280.6%2.02
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathon Bet
2.02
1xBet
1.98
SBO
1.96		-+35.0ppLost
Drexel -2.578.0%2.16
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.12		---+34.6ppLost
Drexel -3.575.5%2.25
Betano
2.25		----+34.4ppLost
Drexel -4.572.3%2.40
Betano
2.40		----+33.9ppLost
Drexel (regulation)81.1%1.89
Marathon Bet
1.90
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.87		--+33.4ppLost
Drexel -1.581.2%1.95
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95		+33.3ppLost
Drexel -182.7%1.88
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
SBO
1.85		-+33.1ppLost
Drexel win83.1%1.82
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83		+32.4ppLost
Drexel +184.4%1.78
Pinnacle
1.82
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.75		--+31.7ppLost
Drexel +1.584.6%1.77
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.72		--+30.6ppLost
Drexel +286.6%1.71
Pinnacle
1.71		----+30.5ppPush
Drexel +2.586.9%1.61
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.57		---+28.9ppWon
Drexel over 70.574.8%1.91
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.87		+27.4ppLost
Drexel +3.588.4%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+26.9ppWon
Drexel +4.590.0%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+25.2ppWon
Drexel over 7173.9%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85		--+24.4ppLost
Drexel over 71.571.5%1.95
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
1.85		---+24.4ppLost
Drexel +5.591.4%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+23.6ppWon
Drexel +6.592.7%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+21.9ppWon
Drexel +7.593.7%1.26
Betano
1.26		----+20.5ppWon
American University under 75.581.8%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+14.2ppWon
American University under 71.570.1%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+12.6ppWon
American University under 73.576.4%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+11.8ppWon
American University under 72.573.3%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+11.8ppWon
American University under 74.579.2%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+11.6ppWon
Over 134.570.4%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+8.9ppLost
Over 133.572.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+8.4ppLost
Over 132.574.5%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+8.1ppLost
Overtime: no96.7%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+7.0ppWon
American University over 52.591.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----1.6ppWon
American University over 54.587.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----3.6ppWon
American University over 56.583.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----6.4ppWon
American University over 58.577.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----9.6ppWon
American University over 60.571.1%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----11.2ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Drexel wins
1
American University wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25American University v Drexel75-73
Drexellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HColgate77-74
04/11/26AVirginia60-89
08/03/26AMonmouth57-65
07/03/26HNortheastern84-77
04/03/26AHofstra51-62
27/02/26HCampbell65-60
22/02/26HTowson68-62
20/02/26ANortheastern70-61
17/02/26AStony Brook69-72
13/02/26HMonmouth73-93
American Universitylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AClemson73-82
03/11/26ACincinnati53-79
06/03/26ABoston University73-75
28/02/26HBoston University65-68
26/02/26HLehigh73-78
22/02/26ALafayette75-61
19/02/26ABucknell75-57
14/02/26HArmy75-63
12/02/26ALehigh82-90
07/02/26ANavy73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drexel
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game68.577.060.0
Allowed / game81.574.089.0
Point differential-13.0+3.0-29.0
Avg total150.0151.0149.0
Over 141.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
American University
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game63.0-63.0
Allowed / game80.5-80.5
Point differential-17.5--17.5
Avg total143.5-143.5
Over 141.550%-50%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 William & Mary220100%92.069.5+22.5
3 NC Wilmington220100%89.570.0+19.5
4 Elon32167%69.368.3+1.0
5 Stony Brook21150%81.062.5+18.5
6 Drexel21150%68.581.5-13.0
7 N. Carolina A&T31233%76.368.3+8.0
8 Hofstra31233%72.765.3+7.3
9 Towson31233%64.367.3-3.0
10 Hampton31233%61.068.7-7.7
11 Northeastern31233%77.086.7-9.7
12 Campbell2020%67.585.0-17.5
13 Monmouth3030%56.782.3-25.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy43175%72.068.2+3.8
2 Boston University32167%73.374.7-1.3
3 Lafayette53260%79.864.4+15.4
4 Army31233%74.362.7+11.7
5 Loyola Maryland31233%73.770.7+3.0
6 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
7 Colgate2020%75.083.5-8.5
8 American University2020%63.080.5-17.5
9 Bucknell3030%63.391.0-27.7
10 Holy Cross2020%62.599.0-36.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drexel303464
American University313566
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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