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Dubrava vs Tindastoll Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 85-103
Projected total 188.1
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game88.0
Vs
93%
■ DUBR 7%■ TIND 93%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeENBL· Sportska dvorana Dubrava
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Dubrava will host Tindastoll on 17 November 2026 in the ENBL, with the model rating Tindastoll as the clear favourite because of their perfect 3-0 season record, 84.7 points scored per game and only 69.3 points allowed, placing them second in the league, while Dubrava sits 14th with a 1-2 record, 77.3 points scored and 88.0 points allowed. Dubrava's only win came at home, 87.0 points for and 82.0 against, but the team has lost four of its last five games, including a 66-81 defeat to Bristol Flyers away and an 81-95 loss to Kvarner away, while Tindastoll has won four of five, including a 94-87 win over IR Reykjavik at home and a 105-108 loss to Alftanes at home, showing they can keep games close. The last meeting between the clubs ended with Tindastoll winning 103-85, and the model projects a 85-103 score with a total of 188.1 points. Pythia gives Dubrava a 7% chance of winning, Tindastoll 93%, and predicts a 2% overtime probability, leaving the game to the dominant Tindastoll side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava win
6.9%fair 14.44
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tindastoll win
93.1%fair 1.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubravaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 73
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
91avg 73
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 73
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
56avg 73
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
51avg 73
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 73
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
69avg 73
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 73
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
20-15
17-18
19-23
18-26
28-20
13-18
28-18
15-21
23-19
12-17
34-32
15-19
17-18
16-21
14-28
16-23
18-19
7-24
21-19
26-19
10-24
21-24
23-17
15-23
11-29
28-21
25-28
17-26
21-25
18-21
25-23
13-21
18-20
22-15
28-19
18-21
25-21
8-25
15-14
161.3Avg total
75.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.388.0165.3-10.733%
Season at home (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)72.591.0163.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)75.485.9161.3-10.520%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.385.9165.2-6.638%
vs Similar (12)82.784.2166.9-1.625%
vs Weaker (2)90.081.5171.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
L
102-109
102
109
-7
97avg 96
H18/05
Premier league
BK Liepaja
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
92avg 96
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 96
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
90avg 96
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 96
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
104avg 96
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 96
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
96avg 96
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
26-17
27-36
30-25
21-18
29-19
12-17
30-15
22-14
14-23
22-21
19-13
22-20
23-8
23-19
17-21
26-15
18-27
21-19
20-16
22-17
32-20
25-21
30-28
20-21
19-24
25-20
14-6
27-19
23-25
36-33
10-19
23-22
23-17
24-18
10-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
25-26
172.6Avg total
90.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.769.3154.0+15.3100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)84.769.3154.0+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)90.781.9172.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)93.285.0178.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0108.0213.0-3.00%
vs Similar (5)100.895.4196.2+5.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)95.986.4182.3+9.579%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
93.6%
Under 163.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
88.7%
Under 168.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
81.5%
Under 173.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Dubrava total 81.5
Over 81.5
64.9%
Under 81.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava total 85.5
Over 85.5
49.3%
Under 85.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava total 89.5
Over 89.5
33.8%
Under 89.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 79.5
Over 79.5
98.9%
Under 79.5
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 83.5
Over 83.5
97.2%
Under 83.5
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 87.5
Over 87.5
93.6%
Under 87.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Dubrava -3
DUBR -3
4.5%
TIND +3
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
DUBR
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.
Spread Dubrava 0
DUBR 0
6.9%
TIND 0
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
DUBR
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.
Spread Dubrava +3
DUBR +3
9.7%
TIND -3
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
DUBR
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
DubravaTindastoll
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/11
ENBL
79.4Avg total
36.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.780.0-3.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.479.3-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.880.7-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.479.4-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.880.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.242.880.0-5.519%-
vs Similar (12)39.740.880.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H18/05
Premier league
BK Liepaja
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/11
Premier league
85.1Avg total
45.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.592.5+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.446.195.5+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)46.442.789.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.085.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)52.843.496.2+9.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.044.891.7+2.254%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.2
50.0%
53.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
70.7%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
53.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.7
31.4%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.019.1
79.6%
70.7%19.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrava
LWLLLLLLWL
Tindastoll
WWLWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#2
-11.0
Net rating
+8.5
91.3
Offensive rating
98.5
102.3
Defensive rating
89.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
31.4%
64.9%
Assist %
70.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 98.5Defence102.3 · 89.9Shooting51.5% · 51.7%3-point %35.5% · 31.4%Ball care17.4% · 14.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Dubrava   ■ Tindastoll
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubrava wins
0
Tindastoll wins
No previous meetings.
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABristol Flyers66-81
07/11/26HZabok81-75
31/10/26AKvarner81-95
28/10/26ASyntainics MBC79-101
24/10/26HDubrovnik80-84
17/10/26ADinamo Zagreb62-85
10/10/26HSplit62-86
02/10/26ACedevita Junior84-89
29/09/26HCIU87-82
26/09/26HSkrljevo72-81
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HIR Reykjavik94-87
05/11/26AHottur80-73
29/10/26HAlftanes105-108 OT
23/10/26ASindri78-71
15/10/26HArmann109-86
09/10/26ANjardvik85-77
30/09/26ABristol Flyers85-68
27/09/26AJonava77-71
23/09/26ABK Liepaja92-69
18/05/26HGrindavik102-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrava
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.387.072.5
Allowed / game88.082.091.0
Point differential-10.7+5.0-18.5
Avg total165.3169.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tindastoll
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %100%-100%
Points / game84.7-84.7
Allowed / game69.3-69.3
Point differential+15.3-+15.3
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%-67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Syntainics MBC440100%100.579.2+21.2
2 Tindastoll330100%84.769.3+15.3
3 Spartak Pleven54180%77.272.2+5.0
4 AEL43175%77.567.2+10.2
5 Voluntari43175%86.085.8+0.2
6 Kapfenberg Bulls32167%96.387.0+9.3
7 Anwil Wloclawek32167%89.082.0+7.0
8 Donar Groningen53260%83.282.4+0.8
9 Jonava21150%75.572.0+3.5
10 Bristol Flyers42250%79.582.2-2.8
11 Tal Tech52340%78.278.8-0.6
12 CIU31233%82.085.0-3.0
13 Alkar31233%84.790.7-6.0
14 Dubrava31233%77.388.0-10.7
15 BK Liepaja41325%76.289.8-13.5
16 Fyllingen51420%74.885.4-10.6
17 Zrinjski Mostar4040%77.582.0-4.5
18 Lausanne Basket4040%75.090.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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