On 5 November 2026 the Premier league will feature Hottur at home against Tindastoll, with the model designating Tindastoll as the favourite because of their 3-1 record, 94.2 points per game and 85.5 points allowed per game, compared with Hottur's 2-2 record, 96.8 points per game and 104.2 points allowed per game. Hottur has gone 1-0 at home, scoring 108.0 points and allowing 96.0, while Tindastoll has won both road games, averaging 81.5 points and conceding 74.0. In the last five games Hottur won three and lost two, with a recent loss to Keflavik 99-112 away, whereas Tindastoll won four of five, including a 109-86 home win over Armann. Historically, Tindastoll has won eight of ten encounters, most recently defeating Hottur 97-85 on 30 January 2025. The Pythia model assigns an 81% probability to Tindastoll's victory and a 19% chance for Hottur, projecting a final score of 84-93 and a total of 176.9 points. The home team line is 10.5, with a 53% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 188.5 with a 24% probability of the over, while the game has a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 96.8 | 104.2 | 201.0 | -7.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 108.0 | 96.0 | 204.0 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 93.0 | 107.0 | 200.0 | -14.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.8 | 96.6 | 185.4 | -7.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.2 | 102.4 | 199.6 | -5.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 85.2 | 95.5 | 180.7 | -10.2 | 27% |
| vs Similar (5) | 91.4 | 92.6 | 184.0 | -1.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 97.0 | 84.5 | 181.5 | +12.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 94.2 | 85.5 | 179.8 | +8.8 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 107.0 | 97.0 | 204.0 | +10.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 81.5 | 74.0 | 155.5 | +7.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.0 | 83.4 | 174.4 | +7.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.4 | 82.0 | 174.4 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 105.0 | 108.0 | 213.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 98.5 | 100.3 | 198.8 | -1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 96.0 | 87.5 | 183.5 | +8.5 | 74% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 95.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.2 | 46.9 | 90.1 | -3.7 | 37% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.3 | 44.8 | 89.1 | -0.5 | 60% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.1 | 49.0 | 91.1 | -6.9 | 13% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 49.5 | 96.3 | -2.7 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.6 | 52.2 | 102.8 | -1.6 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 42.6 | 48.0 | 90.6 | -5.5 | 27% | 32% |
| vs Similar (5) | 46.6 | 48.2 | 94.8 | -1.6 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 43.5 | 37.0 | 80.5 | +6.5 | 100% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 95.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.6 | 45.4 | 93.1 | +2.2 | 53% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 49.9 | 46.3 | 96.2 | +3.7 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 45.3 | 44.6 | 89.9 | +0.7 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.6 | 40.5 | 86.1 | +5.1 | 70% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 39.2 | 85.6 | +7.2 | 80% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 50.0 | 44.0 | 94.0 | +6.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 50.5 | 46.7 | 97.2 | +3.8 | 50% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 46.8 | 45.2 | 92.0 | +1.6 | 52% | 39% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 186 | 71.9% | 2.03 | 2.12 | 2.10 | 1.88 | - | - | +27.8pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 70.4% | 2.09 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 2.05 | 2.02 | - | +27.6pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 72.4% | 1.95 | 2.06 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 1.88 | 1.82 | +27.2pp | Won |
| Under 187 | 73.9% | 1.93 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.78 | - | - | +27.2pp | Won |
| Hottur under 90 | 74.6% | 1.80 | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | +26.8pp | Won |
| Hottur under 91 | 77.6% | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | - | +26.4pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 74.4% | 1.86 | 1.95 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.85 | +26.3pp | Won |
| Under 188 | 75.8% | 1.83 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.76 | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Hottur under 89.5 | 72.3% | 1.89 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.83 | - | - | +26.1pp | Won |
| Hottur under 90.5 | 75.4% | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.74 | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Under 192 | 82.7% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Hottur under 91.5 | 78.2% | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.72 | 1.64 | - | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Under 189 | 77.7% | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.69 | - | - | +25.5pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 76.3% | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.77 | +25.3pp | Won |
| Under 190 | 79.4% | 1.73 | 1.74 | 1.71 | - | - | - | +24.8pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 78.1% | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.66 | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Hottur under 92.5 | 80.9% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 81.4% | 1.62 | 1.64 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +24.5pp | Won |
| Under 191 | 81.1% | 1.64 | 1.66 | 1.61 | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Won |
| Hottur under 93.5 | 83.3% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.47 | - | - | +24.2pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 79.8% | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.60 | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 82.9% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +23.8pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 84.4% | 1.50 | 1.54 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Won |
| Hottur under 94.5 | 85.4% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +22.7pp | Won |
| Hottur under 95.5 | 87.4% | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.35 | - | - | +22.5pp | Won |
| Under 194.5 | 85.7% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Won |
| Hottur under 96.5 | 89.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 87.0% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Won |
| Under 198.5 | 90.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Won |
| Hottur under 97.5 | 90.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 102.5 | 81.9% | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.33 | - | - | +17.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 104.5 | 86.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +17.2pp | Won |
| Hottur under 99.5 | 93.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +3.5 | 86.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Hottur under 100.5 | 94.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| Under 203.5 | 94.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 99.5 | 73.0% | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.62 | 1.53 | - | - | +16.4pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 100.5 | 76.2% | 1.52 | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.45 | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 101.5 | 79.2% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Won |
| Hottur under 101.5 | 95.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 103.5 | 84.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +15.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll (regulation) | 78.4% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -3 | 74.5% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -3.5 | 72.4% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.43 | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +2.5 | 84.8% | 1.29 | 1.37 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -1.5 | 78.5% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Hottur under 103.5 | 96.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Under 208.5 | 96.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -2.5 | 75.1% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.36 | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +1.5 | 82.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Tindastoll win | 80.6% | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +11.7pp | Won |
| Hottur under 105.5 | 97.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -4 | 71.5% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Under 213.5 | 98.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Hottur under 107.5 | 98.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Hottur under 109.5 | 99.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +7.5 | 92.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +12.5 | 96.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +17.5 | 98.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 76.5 | 95.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 77.5 | 94.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 78.5 | 92.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 79.5 | 91.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Hottur +22.5 | 86.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 80.5 | 89.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 81.5 | 88.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Lost |
| Hottur +17.5 | 75.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 82.5 | 86.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 83.5 | 83.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 84.5 | 81.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 85.5 | 78.3% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 86.5 | 75.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 87.5 | 72.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -7.5pp | Lost |
| Over 163.5 | 79.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -10.0pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.5 | 19.0 | 56.2% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.8 | 10.8 | 33.0% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 17.8 | 73.9% | 17.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.4 | 19.9 | 56.2% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.1 | 10.7 | 33.0% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 19.1 | 73.9% | 19.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30/01/25 | Hottur v Tindastoll | 85-97 |
| 31/10/24 | Tindastoll v Hottur | 99-59 |
| 28/03/24 | Hottur v Tindastoll | 87-82 |
| 07/12/23 | Tindastoll v Hottur | 83-71 |
| 13/02/23 | Tindastoll v Hottur | 109-88 |
| 27/10/22 | Hottur v Tindastoll | 73-69 |
| 21/03/21 | Tindastoll v Hottur | 90-82 |
| 25/01/21 | Hottur v Tindastoll | 86-103 |
| 15/02/18 | Hottur v Tindastoll | 68-80 |
| 19/11/17 | Tindastoll v Hottur | 91-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 | A | Keflavik | 99-112 |
| 22/10/26 | H | IR Reykjavik | 108-96 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Stjarnan | 103-98 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Alftanes | 77-111 |
| 27/03/25 | H | Alftanes | 99-95 |
| 14/03/25 | A | IR Reykjavik | 83-84 |
| 06/03/25 | H | Thorl | 103-95 |
| 01/03/25 | A | KR Basket | 75-97 |
| 13/02/25 | H | Stjarnan | 83-86 |
| 07/02/25 | A | Valur | 58-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 | H | Alftanes | 105-108 OT |
| 23/10/26 | A | Sindri | 78-71 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Armann | 109-86 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Njardvik | 85-77 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 85-68 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Jonava | 77-71 |
| 23/09/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 92-69 |
| 18/05/26 | H | Grindavik | 102-109 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Grindavik | 94-89 |
| 12/05/26 | H | Grindavik | 83-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 96.8 | 108.0 | 93.0 |
| Allowed / game | 104.2 | 96.0 | 107.0 |
| Point differential | -7.5 | +12.0 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 201.0 | 204.0 | 200.0 |
| Over 188.25 | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.2 | 107.0 | 81.5 |
| Allowed / game | 85.5 | 97.0 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | +8.8 | +10.0 | +7.5 |
| Avg total | 179.8 | 204.0 | 155.5 |
| Over 188.25 | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 95.0 | +22.0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 97.5 | 82.2 | +15.2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 87.8 | 80.0 | +7.8 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.2 | 85.5 | +8.8 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 109.0 | 102.2 | +6.8 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 89.0 | 91.8 | -2.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 96.8 | 104.2 | -7.5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 92.2 | 96.8 | -4.5 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 94.2 | 105.0 | -10.8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 84.5 | 91.5 | -7.0 | |
| 11 | Sindri | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 88.5 | 97.0 | -8.5 |
| 12 | Armann | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 83.5 | 103.0 | -19.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 73 | |
| 23 | 23 | 24 | 10 | 80 |
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