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Duke vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 74-57
41-33 33-24
Position#39
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game52.2
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#240
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Bellarmine
21 Nov 2022
DUKE74
BELL57
04 Dec 2020
DUKE76
BELL54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
84-38
84
38
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
28-40
37-27
41-34
39-35
46-41
29-33
49-40
45-33
33-36
37-34
40-47
42-26
29-18
43-18
41-20
29-33
35-36
42-36
50-22
142.5Avg total
77.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.852.2130.0+25.575%
Season at home (3)82.346.7129.0+35.7100%
Season away (1)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.465.1142.5+12.370%
Last 5 (5)77.658.0135.6+19.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)73.570.0143.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.767.0145.7+11.777%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#294
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A13/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
49-44
27-45
40-37
44-35
32-38
22-39
36-33
35-38
46-30
36-26
41-46
41-30
26-36
16-28
39-34
48-23
38-23
28-33
38-43
139.8Avg total
71.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.562.5131.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)86.046.0132.0+40.0100%
Season away (3)62.768.0130.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)71.268.6139.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)70.264.4134.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)65.469.8135.2-4.440%
vs Similar (12)67.969.6137.5-1.750%
vs Weaker (11)77.559.8137.4+17.791%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
DukeBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
38.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.369.2+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.833.372.2+5.563%-
Last 30 away (11)36.427.764.1+8.691%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.769.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.468.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.832.065.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.631.269.7+7.477%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#294
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H14/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A19/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.629.964.5+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.028.865.8+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)31.931.263.1+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.264.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.828.061.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.028.655.6-1.620%-
vs Similar (12)32.634.166.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker (11)38.926.965.8+12.082%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Duke v Bellarmine76-54
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
16/11/22AKansas64-69
11/11/22HUSC Upstate84-38
08/11/22HJacksonville71-44
03/04/22HNorth Carolina77-81
27/03/22HArkansas78-69
25/03/22HTexas Tech78-73
20/03/22HMichigan State85-76
18/03/22HCS Fullerton78-61
13/03/22HVirginia Tech67-82
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AClemson66-76
14/11/22HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg86-46
13/11/22AMorehead State55-62
10/11/22ALouisville67-66
08/03/22HJacksonville77-72
04/03/22HFlorida Gulf Coast81-68
26/02/22AEastern Kentucky58-72
24/02/22HLipscomb76-73
21/02/22HJacksonville State67-82
17/02/22ACentral Arkansas79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game77.882.364.0
Allowed / game52.246.769.0
Point differential+25.5+35.7-5.0
Avg total130.0129.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game68.586.062.7
Allowed / game62.546.068.0
Point differential+6.0+40.0-5.3
Avg total131.0132.0130.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State440100%88.263.5+24.8
2 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
3 North Carolina440100%80.868.0+12.8
4 Notre Dame440100%78.873.0+5.8
5 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
6 Clemson54180%73.461.2+12.2
7 Wake Forest54180%74.067.0+7.0
8 Duke43175%77.852.2+25.5
9 Georgia Tech43175%71.059.5+11.5
10 Syracuse43175%77.067.8+9.2
11 Boston College64267%66.264.3+1.8
12 Stanford42250%70.063.8+6.2
13 Miami (FL)105550%73.371.2+2.1
14 SMU Mustangs42250%64.266.2-2.0
15 Pittsburgh52340%67.271.0-3.8
16 Florida State51420%69.675.6-6.0
17 California4040%61.869.0-7.2
18 Louisville4040%63.070.2-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals54180%79.469.6+9.8
2 North Alabama43175%90.065.8+24.2
3 Stetson43175%72.868.8+4.0
4 Jacksonville32167%73.355.3+18.0
5 Lipscomb53260%82.468.2+14.2
6 Florida Gulf Coast53260%76.868.6+8.2
7 Central Arkansas53260%79.672.8+6.8
8 Austin Peay53260%65.671.0-5.4
9 Eastern Kentucky63350%77.769.3+8.3
10 Bellarmine42250%68.562.5+6.0
11 North Florida41325%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke413374
Bellarmine332457
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