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Duke vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 77-81
37-34 40-47
Position#12
Record32-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game67.4
Duke
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#41
Record28-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v North Carolina
07 Mar 2026
DUKE76
NORT61
14 Mar 2025
DUKE74
NORT71
01 Feb 2025
DUKE87
NORT70
09 Mar 2024
DUKE79
NORT84
04 Feb 2023
DUKE63
NORT57
02 Apr 2022
DUKE77
NORT81
05 Mar 2022
DUKE81
NORT94
06 Feb 2021
DUKE87
NORT91
07 Mar 2020
DUKE89
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
51-34
46-38
36-19
50-37
41-39
40-55
36-40
52-39
36-36
44-40
39-42
28-40
37-27
41-34
39-35
46-41
29-33
49-40
45-33
33-36
155.6Avg total
81.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)80.167.4147.6+12.784%
Season at home (26)81.668.4150.0+13.285%
Season away (12)77.065.3142.3+11.783%
Last 10 (10)81.873.8155.6+8.080%
Last 5 (5)77.272.2149.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.770.3147.0+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.667.7147.3+11.981%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H12/03
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H17/03
NCAA
Baylor
#16
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
A19/03
NCAA
UCLA
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
34-27
46-29
38-45
41-36
32-37
39-41
55-40
33-13
30-30
26-32
33-40
53-25
42-38
42-29
38-51
28-31
45-35
38-19
31-30
146.4Avg total
78.8Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.171.1149.2+6.976%
Season at home (23)77.066.9143.9+10.178%
Season away (14)79.878.1157.9+1.771%
Last 10 (10)78.867.6146.4+11.290%
Last 5 (5)77.867.2145.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.283.6162.8-4.460%
vs Similar (10)70.069.5139.5+0.560%
vs Weaker (15)81.466.3147.7+15.193%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
DukeNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.931.370.2+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.833.473.2+6.460%-
Last 30 away (10)37.127.264.3+9.9100%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.872.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.071.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.331.767.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.331.370.6+8.074%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
33-13
33
13
+20
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H17/03
NCAA
Baylor
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A19/03
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H27/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
38.2Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.768.7+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.229.767.9+8.571%-
Last 30 away (13)35.534.269.7+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)38.229.167.3+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.427.264.6+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.236.069.2-2.820%-
vs Similar (10)33.633.967.5-0.350%-
vs Weaker (15)40.628.769.3+11.980%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
3
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Duke v North Carolina81-94
05/02/22North Carolina v Duke67-87
06/03/21North Carolina v Duke91-73
06/02/21Duke v North Carolina87-91
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HArkansas78-69
25/03/22HTexas Tech78-73
20/03/22HMichigan State85-76
18/03/22HCS Fullerton78-61
13/03/22HVirginia Tech67-82
12/03/22HMiami (FL)80-76
10/03/22HSyracuse88-79
05/03/22HNorth Carolina81-94
02/03/22APittsburgh86-56
26/02/22ASyracuse97-72
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HSt. Peters69-49
26/03/22AUCLA73-66
19/03/22ABaylor93-86 OT
17/03/22HMarquette95-63
12/03/22HVirginia Tech59-72
11/03/22HVirginia63-43
05/03/22ADuke94-81
01/03/22HSyracuse88-79 OT
26/02/22ANC State84-74
22/02/22HLouisville70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382612
Win %84%85%83%
Points / game80.181.677.0
Allowed / game67.468.465.3
Point differential+12.7+13.2+11.7
Avg total147.6150.0142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%54%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %76%78%71%
Points / game78.177.079.8
Allowed / game71.166.978.1
Point differential+6.9+10.1+1.7
Avg total149.2143.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%65%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%4%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3832684%80.167.4+12.7
2 North Carolina3728976%78.171.1+6.9
3 SMU Mustangs3123874%74.467.2+7.2
4 Wake Forest3223972%79.570.2+9.2
5 Miami (FL)37261170%73.970.4+3.6
6 Notre Dame35241169%72.667.1+5.5
7 Virginia Tech36231364%70.862.8+8.0
8 Virginia32191359%62.660.2+2.4
9 Florida State31171455%71.071.9-0.9
10 Clemson33171652%71.768.5+3.3
11 Stanford32161650%66.468.7-2.3
12 Syracuse33161748%77.475.1+2.3
13 Louisville32131941%67.370.1-2.8
14 Boston College33132039%66.968.1-1.2
15 California32122038%63.066.1-3.1
16 NC State32112134%73.075.6-2.6
17 Georgia Tech32112134%68.371.1-2.8
18 Pittsburgh32112134%61.568.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke374077
North Carolina344781
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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