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Duke vs Niagara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-42
47-19 53-23
Position#8
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game60.2
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#351
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
114-59
114
59
+55
A12/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
54-28
39-21
47-30
42-36
48-42
52-51
46-37
39-28
34-28
33-42
32-33
43-27
45-21
50-33
49-30
65-29
51-32
49-30
41-33
37-33
154.0Avg total
89.6Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.460.2152.6+32.2100%
Season at home (4)87.060.5147.5+26.5100%
Season away (1)114.059.0173.0+55.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.664.4154.0+25.290%
Last 5 (5)92.460.2152.6+32.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)86.164.0150.1+22.193%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A22/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H02/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
78-68 OT
78
68
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-53
32-41
24-31
37-33
28-34
35-31
33-38
37-47
27-38
32-21
37-35
39-42
20-41
43-42
22-25
45-34
34-26
34-31
32-32
36-42
140.0Avg total
67.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.568.2134.8-1.850%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)66.072.0138.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)67.472.6140.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)68.470.0138.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.771.5135.3-7.818%
vs Similar (17)69.069.4138.4-0.447%
vs Weaker (2)67.561.5129.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.3+13.31st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.3+13.31st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
DukeNiagara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A12/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/11
NCAA
76.1Avg total
44.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.430.873.2+11.787%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.130.472.5+11.781%-
Last 30 away (9)43.231.674.8+11.7100%-
Last 10 (10)44.731.476.1+13.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.629.873.4+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)42.430.873.2+11.787%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A22/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/03
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A04/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
28.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.432.962.3-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.633.264.9-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)27.432.660.1-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)28.535.363.8-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.860.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.033.261.2-5.227%-
vs Similar (17)30.132.862.9-2.729%-
vs Weaker (2)31.032.063.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Niagara wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HKansas78-66
15/11/25HIndiana State100-62
12/11/25AArmy114-59
08/11/25HWestern Carolina95-54
05/11/25HTexas75-60
06/04/25HHouston67-70
30/03/25HAlabama85-65
28/03/25HArizona100-93
23/03/25HBaylor89-66
21/03/25HMount St. Mary's93-49
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ALe Moyne68-74
10/11/25HDelaware State68-57
08/11/25ABinghamton67-59
04/11/25ADuquesne63-83
08/03/25ARider76-77
07/03/25ASt. Peters78-68 OT
02/03/25HManhattan70-85
28/02/25HIona63-65
23/02/25AMarist61-64
22/02/25ASiena60-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.487.0114.0
Allowed / game60.260.559.0
Point differential+32.2+26.5+55.0
Avg total152.6147.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game66.568.066.0
Allowed / game68.257.072.0
Point differential-1.8+11.0-6.0
Avg total134.8125.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke550100%92.460.2+32.2
2 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
3 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
4 Louisville550100%97.269.6+27.6
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
7 SMU Mustangs550100%92.074.0+18.0
8 Stanford440100%87.570.2+17.2
9 Clemson65183%82.260.0+22.2
10 Virginia65183%83.371.7+11.7
11 Miami (FL)54180%91.269.0+22.2
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Notre Dame54180%83.667.6+16.0
14 California54180%84.069.6+14.4
15 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
16 Pittsburgh64267%71.763.8+7.8
17 Wake Forest53260%89.076.6+12.4
18 Boston College63350%66.862.0+4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona54180%85.280.0+5.2
2 Quinnipiac53260%77.474.0+3.4
3 Manhattan53260%84.681.4+3.2
4 Fairfield53260%71.872.8-1.0
5 Marist42250%71.059.8+11.2
6 Siena42250%69.864.8+5.0
7 Niagara42250%66.568.2-1.8
8 Merrimack Warriors52340%69.678.0-8.4
9 Canisius52340%62.073.6-11.6
10 Sacred Heart41325%76.878.2-1.5
11 St. Peters41325%68.579.8-11.2
12 Mount St. Mary's51420%67.075.2-8.2
13 Rider51420%60.482.4-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke4753100
Niagara192342
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