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Duke vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:09
Final 93-49
54-28 39-21
Position#7
Record31-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game61.9
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's
USA
Position#112
Record23-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
110-67
110
67
+43
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-34
57-36
43-29
37-33
54-37
56-30
47-32
50-28
47-30
53-35
40-27
53-33
43-42
39-27
26-31
52-39
45-24
29-47
33-38
40-24
154.9Avg total
89.3Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.761.9144.6+20.891%
Season at home (22)82.861.8144.6+21.091%
Season away (12)82.562.2144.7+20.392%
Last 10 (10)89.365.6154.9+23.7100%
Last 5 (5)80.066.4146.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)81.962.4144.4+19.593%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#259
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H22/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A14/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A15/03
NCAA
American University
#102
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A19/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
39-22
34-30
45-42
29-33
33-36
37-35
48-44
32-33
38-46
23-29
39-23
27-19
35-39
25-24
32-31
25-26
38-23
48-38
35-34
133.5Avg total
69.2Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)70.170.7140.8-0.664%
Season at home (14)73.970.4144.3+3.471%
Season away (22)67.770.9138.6-3.259%
Last 10 (10)69.264.3133.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)65.457.2122.6+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.874.4142.2-6.640%
vs Similar (23)70.767.8138.4+2.970%
vs Weaker (2)75.570.0145.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +4.2+4.2
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +4.2+4.2
DukeMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H16/03
NCAA
75.1Avg total
42.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.530.269.7+9.283%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.628.967.6+9.778%-
Last 30 away (12)40.832.272.9+8.692%-
Last 10 (10)42.732.475.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.469.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)39.530.269.7+9.283%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#259
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
27-19
27
19
+8
A14/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A15/03
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A15/03
NCAA
American University
#102
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A19/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
31.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.064.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.333.866.1-1.442%-
Last 30 away (18)32.430.863.3+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.361.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.627.256.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.831.465.2+2.460%-
vs Similar (23)32.332.064.3+0.348%-
vs Weaker (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Mount St. Mary's wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HLouisville73-62
14/03/25HNorth Carolina74-71
13/03/25HGeorgia Tech78-70
08/03/25ANorth Carolina82-69
04/03/25HWake Forest93-60
02/03/25HFlorida State100-65
26/02/25AMiami (FL)97-60
23/02/25AIllinois110-67
18/02/25AVirginia80-62
15/02/25HStanford106-70
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AAmerican University83-72
15/03/25AIona63-49
15/03/25AMerrimack Warriors57-55
14/03/25AMarist62-58
08/03/25HMarist62-52
07/03/25AQuinnipiac70-79
02/03/25HSiena85-79
01/03/25AFairfield62-69
23/02/25HRider79-72
22/02/25HSt. Peters69-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342212
Win %91%91%92%
Points / game82.782.882.5
Allowed / game61.961.862.2
Point differential+20.8+21.0+20.3
Avg total144.6144.6144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%73%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361422
Win %64%71%59%
Points / game70.173.967.7
Allowed / game70.770.470.9
Point differential-0.6+3.4-3.2
Avg total140.8144.3138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)50% (2)86% (7)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3431391%82.761.9+20.8
2 Clemson3427779%76.165.8+10.3
3 Louisville3527877%78.569.5+9.0
4 SMU Mustangs33231070%80.071.1+8.9
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina36231364%81.274.8+6.4
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist30201067%66.064.5+1.5
2 Mount St. Mary's36231364%70.170.7-0.6
3 Quinnipiac33201361%73.971.5+2.5
4 Manhattan30171357%76.074.5+1.5
5 Merrimack Warriors33181555%65.664.2+1.4
6 Iona34171750%69.770.5-0.8
7 Sacred Heart33151845%75.875.2+0.6
8 Siena32141844%72.272.1+0.1
9 St. Peters28121643%66.065.8+0.2
10 Rider33141942%67.071.8-4.8
11 Fairfield32122038%67.572.6-5.1
12 Niagara31112035%68.571.4-3.0
13 Canisius3132810%64.878.6-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke543993
Mount St. Mary's282149
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