Duquesne hosts Washington State on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model favouring Duquesne at 87% versus 13% for Washington State, a reflection of Duquesne's 2-0 record, 73.0 points per game and 64.5 allowed per game, while Washington State sits 0-2, 66.0 points per game and 79.5 allowed per game. Duquesne's two home wins, 68-58 over Central State (OH) and 78-71 over IPFW, show a solid offensive rhythm, and their last five games include four wins and one loss, with a recent 66-71 defeat to VCU Rams away. Washington State's five-game stretch ends 0-5, with losses to High Point, Davidson and Portland, and their lone road game was a 71-83 defeat. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 82-69 score, 151.3 total points, and a 76% chance Duquesne will cover the home line of -5.5; the over on the 147.5 line has a 59% probability, and the game carries a 3% overtime chance. Duquesne's dominant early season performance suggests they will likely finish the game comfortably.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Duquesne winWon
87.5%fair 1.14
Best odds1.52
Implied63.8%
Edge+23.7pp
Washington State winLost
12.5%fair 7.97
Best odds2.68
Implied36.2%
Edge-23.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Duquesne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Over 142.5
Over 142.5
70.3%
@ 1.47+5.9pp
Under 142.5
29.7%
@ 2.75-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
58.8%
@ 1.88+8.5pp
Under 147.5
41.2%
@ 2.00-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
46.6%
@ 2.40+8.0pp
Under 152.5
53.4%
@ 1.52-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Duquesne total 72.5Actual: Duquesne under 72.5
Over 72.5
83.6%
@ 1.44+20.6pp
Under 72.5
16.4%
@ 2.45-20.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
Duquesne total 76.5 · main lineActual: Duquesne under 76.5
Over 76.5
71.8%
@ 1.91+22.4pp
Under 76.5
28.2%
@ 1.85-22.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Duquesne total 80.5Actual: Duquesne under 80.5
Over 80.5
56.9%
@ 2.60+22.1pp
Under 80.5
43.1%
@ 1.39-22.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.39
Washington State total 67.5Actual: Washington State over 67.5
Over 67.5
55.6%
@ 1.42-8.3pp
Under 67.5
44.4%
@ 2.52+8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.52
Washington State total 71.5 · main lineActual: Washington State under 71.5
Over 71.5
40.0%
@ 1.87-10.0pp
Under 71.5
60.0%
@ 1.85+10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Washington State total 75.5Actual: Washington State under 75.5
Over 75.5
26.0%
@ 2.55-9.5pp
Under 75.5
74.0%
@ 1.40+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.40
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Duquesne -8.5Actual: Washington State +8.5
DUQU -8.5
66.1%
@ 2.35+26.4pp
WASH +8.5
33.9%
@ 1.55-26.4pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.30
WASH
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52
Spread Duquesne -5.5 · main lineActual: Washington State +5.5
DUQU -5.5
75.7%
@ 1.95+26.6pp
WASH +5.5
24.3%
@ 1.90-26.6pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Betano
1.95
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WASH
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Duquesne -2.5Actual: Washington State +2.5
DUQU -2.5
83.3%
@ 1.60+25.3pp
WASH +2.5
16.7%
@ 2.22-25.3pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
WASH
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
DuquesneWashington State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Duquesne -6
74.9%
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.96
Bet365
1.95
-
-
-
+27.2pp
Lost
Duquesne -4.5
78.5%
1.80
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.74
+27.0pp
Lost
Duquesne -3.5
81.2%
1.72
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.66
-
-
+26.9pp
Lost
Duquesne -5
77.9%
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Lost
Duquesne -7
71.7%
2.05
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Lost
Duquesne -5.5
75.7%
1.89
Betano
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
+26.6pp
Lost
Duquesne -4
80.7%
1.71
Bet365
1.71
-
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Duquesne -6.5
72.6%
2.02
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
-
-
+26.1pp
Lost
Duquesne -3
83.0%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Lost
Duquesne -2
85.6%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+25.8pp
Lost
Duquesne -1.5
85.9%
1.53
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
+25.4pp
Lost
Duquesne -2.5
83.3%
1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+25.3pp
Lost
Duquesne -1
87.3%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+24.8pp
Push
Duquesne over 76
74.3%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+24.3pp
Lost
Duquesne (regulation)
85.8%
1.48
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathon Bet
1.46
-
-
+23.8pp
Won
Duquesne win
87.5%
1.48
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.51
WilliamHill
1.50
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
+23.7pp
Won
Duquesne +1
88.6%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Won
Duquesne over 75.5
75.1%
1.75
Betano
1.75
-
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Lost
Duquesne over 76.5
71.8%
1.88
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
+22.4pp
Lost
Duquesne +1.5
88.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+22.1pp
Won
Duquesne over 74.5
78.2%
1.62
Betano
1.62
-
-
-
-
+22.1pp
Lost
Duquesne over 73.5
81.0%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Duquesne +2.5
90.4%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+20.7pp
Won
Duquesne +2
90.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Won
Duquesne over 72.5
83.6%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Lost
Duquesne +3.5
91.6%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Won
Duquesne over 71.5
85.9%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Won
Washington State under 75.5
74.0%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Washington State under 76.5
77.0%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Washington State under 74.5
70.8%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.4%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.7pp
-
Over 142.5
70.3%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Over 141.5
72.4%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Over 140.5
74.4%
1.34
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Over 142
71.8%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Over 141
73.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Over 123.5
95.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Over 128.5
91.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Over 138.5
78.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
86.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Under 173.5
91.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Washington State over 54.5
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Washington State over 56.5
89.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Under 168.5
85.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Washington State over 58.5
85.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Under 163.5
77.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Won
Washington State over 60.5
80.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-6.6pp
Won
Washington State over 62.5
73.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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