PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Uvaysa Akhtaeva
Dynamo Grozny will host Ufa in the Super League on 15 November 2026, a matchup that feels almost even with only a 51% edge for the home side according to Pythia, who projects a 79-79 tie and a 157.4 total; the spread is flat at 0.0 with a 51% chance the home team covers, while the over line of 158.0 carries a 48% probability. The two clubs have both had strong seasons, Dynamo Grozny standing 4th with a 7-2 record, averaging 84.0 points and allowing 74.9, while Ufa sits 2nd with a 7-1 record, 88.8 points scored and 70.4 allowed. In recent form Dynamo has won three of its last five games, including a 94-76 win over Rusichi Kursk, but suffered a 87-92 loss to Temp Sumz Revda at home, whereas Ufa has won four of five, highlighted by an 86-63 victory over CSKA Moscow. Their head-to-head history shows Ufa with four wins to Dynamo's three, the last meeting ending 92-77 in favour of Dynamo. The game will likely be decided by a narrow margin, and the 5% overtime probability suggests a tightly contested affair.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 84.0 | 74.9 | 158.9 | +9.1 | 78% |
| Season at home (5) | 83.4 | 76.0 | 159.4 | +7.4 | 60% |
| Season away (4) | 84.8 | 73.5 | 158.2 | +11.2 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.6 | 73.1 | 154.7 | +8.5 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 78.0 | 162.2 | +6.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 80.0 | 84.0 | 164.0 | -4.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 78.6 | 78.9 | 157.6 | -0.3 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 76.9 | 67.1 | 144.0 | +9.9 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 88.8 | 70.4 | 159.1 | +18.4 | 88% |
| Season at home (5) | 92.6 | 70.0 | 162.6 | +22.6 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 82.3 | 71.0 | 153.3 | +11.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.6 | 72.0 | 158.6 | +14.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.2 | 69.8 | 155.0 | +15.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 79.8 | 87.0 | 166.8 | -7.2 | 50% |
| vs Similar (15) | 77.5 | 78.2 | 155.7 | -0.7 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 88.4 | 69.5 | 157.9 | +18.8 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 35.7 | 73.8 | +2.3 | 57% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.3 | 35.8 | 75.1 | +3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.9 | 35.7 | 72.5 | +1.2 | 53% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.0 | 37.6 | 77.6 | +2.4 | 70% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 41.4 | 80.8 | -2.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 37.0 | 41.0 | 78.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 38.1 | 37.6 | 75.7 | +0.6 | 50% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 38.1 | 33.7 | 71.7 | +4.4 | 67% | 20% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 39.3 | 79.3 | +0.7 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 41.3 | 37.0 | 78.3 | +4.3 | 78% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 38.1 | 42.7 | 80.8 | -4.6 | 25% | 58% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.2 | 39.8 | 84.0 | +4.4 | 80% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.4 | 38.4 | 82.8 | +6.0 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 34.2 | 40.8 | 75.0 | -6.5 | 25% | 50% |
| vs Similar (15) | 37.3 | 40.0 | 77.3 | -2.7 | 40% | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 45.7 | 37.7 | 83.5 | +8.0 | 91% | 73% |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 | Ufa v Dynamo Grozny | 77-92 |
| 16/04/26 | Dynamo Grozny v Ufa | 74-80 |
| 14/04/26 | Dynamo Grozny v Ufa | 81-88 |
| 10/04/26 | Ufa v Dynamo Grozny | 79-82 |
| 08/04/26 | Ufa v Dynamo Grozny | 57-75 |
| 31/01/26 | Dynamo Grozny v Ufa | 78-87 |
| 22/10/25 | Ufa v Dynamo Grozny | 87-81 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Temp Sumz Revda | 87-92 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Desna Bryansk | 80-73 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Rusichi Kursk | 94-76 |
| 25/10/26 | H | University-Ugra | 67-69 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Khimki M. | 93-80 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Barnaul | 82-70 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Novosibirsk | 83-75 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Tambov | 83-64 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Izhevsk | 87-75 |
| 25/05/26 | H | Novosibirsk | 60-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 86-63 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Temp Sumz Revda | 81-70 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Rusichi Kursk | 96-73 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Desna Bryansk | 93-69 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Khimki M. | 70-74 |
| 12/10/26 | A | University-Ugra | 91-76 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Novosibirsk | 101-59 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Barnaul | 92-79 |
| 29/04/26 | H | University-Ugra | 90-79 |
| 28/04/26 | H | Dynamo Vladivostok | 66-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 78% |
| Home | WWWLL | 60% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Points / game | 84.0 | 83.4 | 84.8 |
| Allowed / game | 74.9 | 76.0 | 73.5 |
| Point differential | +9.1 | +7.4 | +11.2 |
| Avg total | 158.9 | 159.4 | 158.2 |
| Over 158 | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 88% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 88% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 88.8 | 92.6 | 82.3 |
| Allowed / game | 70.4 | 70.0 | 71.0 |
| Point differential | +18.4 | +22.6 | +11.3 |
| Avg total | 159.1 | 162.6 | 153.3 |
| Over 158 | 62% | 80% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 88% | 100% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chelyabinsk | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 91.3 | 84.6 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Ufa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 88.8 | 70.4 | +18.4 |
| 3 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.9 | 77.8 | +10.1 |
| 4 | Dynamo Grozny | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 84.0 | 74.9 | +9.1 |
| 5 |  Khimki M. | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 83.4 | 74.0 | +9.4 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 71.7 | 68.2 | +3.5 |
| 7 | Metallurg | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 74.9 | 77.9 | -3.0 |
| 8 |  Novosibirsk | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 81.7 | 86.4 | -4.8 |
| 9 |  Tambov | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 74.4 | 77.7 | -3.2 |
| 10 |  Barnaul | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 78.4 | 82.2 | -3.8 |
| 11 |  University-Ugra | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 73.9 | 82.6 | -8.7 |
| 12 |  Izhevsk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.5 | 87.0 | -9.5 |
| 13 |  Desna Bryansk | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 68.7 | 78.8 | -10.1 |
| 14 |  Rusichi Kursk | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 71.0 | 85.7 | -14.7 |
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