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East Carolina vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-70
28-47 45-23
Position#310
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#180
Record9-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Elizabeth City
#397
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H14/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H25/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H27/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-42
48-47
30-42
42-45
36-35
35-35
30-42
30-43
30-37
35-40
24-47
32-42
29-28
29-39
32-26
36-30
33-41
45-41
17-33
37-34
144.3Avg total
67.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.476.9144.3-9.530%
Season at home (8)67.874.6142.4-6.938%
Season away (2)66.086.0152.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)67.476.9144.3-9.530%
Last 5 (5)62.872.2135.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.779.6148.2-10.917%
vs Similar (14)74.275.0149.2-0.857%
vs Weaker (4)77.270.2147.5+7.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
49-41
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
31-33
47-37
45-32
28-39
34-29
37-24
32-38
37-39
39-43
44-36
149.4Avg total
78.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.271.2149.4+7.090%
Season at home (6)81.576.0157.5+5.583%
Season away (4)73.264.0137.2+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)78.271.2149.4+7.090%
Last 5 (5)74.870.0144.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.381.9153.2-10.620%
vs Similar (6)78.373.7152.0+4.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.564.5140.0+11.0100%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
East CarolinaBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H05/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Elizabeth City
#397
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H25/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H06/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
17-33
17
33
-16
H12/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
30.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.267.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.934.466.3-2.544%-
Last 30 away (12)30.138.868.9-8.817%-
Last 10 (10)30.537.367.8-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)27.035.062.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.838.568.3-8.725%-
vs Similar (14)32.334.767.0-2.443%-
vs Weaker (4)31.234.265.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.536.369.9-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.036.667.6-5.612%-
Last 30 away (14)36.436.172.5+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.070.5+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)31.939.171.0-7.215%-
vs Similar (6)34.731.065.7+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.030.570.5+9.575%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
East Carolina wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HAppalachian State54-67
06/12/25HNC Greensboro78-82
03/12/25HMd.-East. Shore68-56
27/11/25HSt. Bonaventure58-67
25/11/25HMichigan State56-89
22/11/25HCharleston Southern65-77
19/11/25ANC Wilmington60-85
14/11/25HElizabeth City71-70
08/11/25ARichmond Spiders72-87
05/11/25HGeorgia Southern92-89
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AUMBC Retrievers83-79
06/12/25HSt. Bonaventure69-77
29/11/25ACanisius71-53
26/11/25ABucknell73-71
24/11/25HVMI78-70
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76
03/11/25HSouthern Miss85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %30%38%0%
Points / game67.467.866.0
Allowed / game76.974.686.0
Point differential-9.5-6.9-20.0
Avg total144.3142.4152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%83%100%
Points / game78.281.573.2
Allowed / game71.276.064.0
Point differential+7.0+5.5+9.2
Avg total149.4157.5137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1110191%90.069.7+20.3
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 UAB107370%82.470.5+11.9
4 North Texas107370%70.265.1+5.1
5 Tulane117464%75.578.5-3.1
6 South Florida106460%88.679.6+9.0
7 Wichita State116555%76.566.7+9.7
8 Temple116555%79.873.1+6.7
9 Rice115645%75.873.5+2.4
10 Memphis94544%75.776.9-1.2
11 UTSA Roadrunners104640%71.772.8-1.1
12 Charlotte104640%70.171.7-1.6
13 East Carolina103730%67.476.9-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)10100100%93.269.0+24.2
2 Buffalo109190%78.271.2+7.0
3 Kent State108280%97.881.6+16.2
4 Akron118373%95.878.5+17.4
5 UMass118373%80.373.6+6.6
6 Bowling Green107370%88.365.8+22.5
7 Eastern Michigan116555%71.970.9+1.0
8 Toledo105550%82.677.6+5.0
9 Western Michigan105550%76.778.3-1.6
10 Ohio104640%75.381.2-5.9
11 Ball State103730%65.069.4-4.4
12 Central Michigan103730%72.378.6-6.3
13 Northern Illinois103730%74.080.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Carolina284573
Buffalo472370
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