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Buffalo vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-79
36-38 49-41
Position#180
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#174
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
42-45
31-38
44-42
32-21
41-46
27-28
32-35
23-52
41-45
36-41
30-39
38-34
31-39
32-32
55-42
35-47
34-37
24-47
46-41
149.9Avg total
70.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.679.3149.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)72.279.8152.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)69.382.1151.4-12.815%
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.574.0151.5+3.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
67-101
67
101
-34
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H01/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
30-29
37-35
39-42
36-55
31-46
45-39
29-42
29-36
49-51
25-28
35-34
36-46
46-42
26-32
32-38
29-29
37-34
24-33
40-45
145.0Avg total
68.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.376.7145.0-8.410%
Last 5 (5)66.072.2138.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.578.3146.9-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.771.0141.7-0.344%
vs Weaker (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
BuffaloSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A08/03
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.938.770.6-6.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.538.568.9-8.07%-
Last 30 away (15)33.339.072.3-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.038.269.2-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.273.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)30.739.570.2-8.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.532.069.5+5.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.036.969.9-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.333.767.0-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)32.640.172.7-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.467.9-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.661.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.938.871.7-5.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.933.466.3-0.622%-
vs Weaker (1)35.031.066.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buffalo wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AAkron70-88
05/03/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
01/03/25HToledo87-74
26/02/25ACentral Michigan69-73
22/02/25ABall State66-80
19/02/25HWestern Michigan64-97
15/02/25HBowling Green59-63
12/02/25ANorthern Illinois73-67
08/02/25HGeorgia State75-80
05/02/25AToledo74-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AGeorgia Southern64-78
04/03/25HCoastal Carolina66-63
01/03/25HTroy58-70
27/02/25HSouth Alabama82-88
23/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette60-62
21/02/25HCoastal Carolina78-87
15/02/25ALouisiana Monroe74-81
13/02/25AArkansas State67-101
08/02/25ABall State76-77
05/02/25AAppalachian State58-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VMI110100%122.058.0+64.0
2 East Texas A&M110100%119.060.0+59.0
3 Stonehill110100%100.048.0+52.0
4 Prairie View A&M110100%95.048.0+47.0
5 Lamar110100%93.053.0+40.0
6 Drexel110100%93.059.0+34.0
7 Stephen F. Austin110100%103.076.0+27.0
8 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
9 Winthrop110100%81.074.0+7.0
10 Drake110100%77.071.0+6.0
11 St. Bonaventure110100%69.063.0+6.0
12 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
13 Northern Arizona1010%71.077.0-6.0
14 Queens Royals1010%74.081.0-7.0
15 Nebraska O.1010%77.085.0-8.0
16 Millsaps1010%76.0103.0-27.0
17 Widener1010%59.093.0-34.0
18 Texas A&M SA Jaguars1010%53.093.0-40.0
19 CBS Ambassadors1010%48.095.0-47.0
20 Thomas College1010%48.0100.0-52.0
21 Arlington Baptist Patriots1010%60.0119.0-59.0
22 Johnson & Wales (RI)1010%58.0122.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo364985
Southern Miss384179
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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