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East Carolina vs Memphis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-68
0-0 44-30 0-0 40-38
Position#310
Record10-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game76.8
East Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Memphis
USA
Position#277
Record12-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Carolina v Memphis
01 Mar 2026
EAST84
MEMP68
29 Feb 2024
EAST58
MEMP82
15 Jan 2022
EAST72
MEMP71
24 Jan 2021
EAST53
MEMP80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A22/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H07/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-44
0-0
28-33
0-0
28-23
0-0
35-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
44-50
0-0
38-36
0-0
38-39
0-0
28-35
0-0
45-46
0-0
46-31
0-0
42-41
0-0
38-34
0-0
47-41
0-0
33-37
0-0
36-32
0-0
25-36
0-0
31-32
0-0
34-43
0-0
48-38
151.2Avg total
74.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.976.8147.6-5.936%
Season at home (17)73.075.7148.7-2.735%
Season away (11)67.578.5146.0-10.936%
Last 10 (10)74.976.3151.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.077.6157.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.178.6148.7-8.525%
vs Similar (3)69.366.7136.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (3)80.374.3154.7+6.0100%
This opponent (Memphis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
75-99
75
99
-24
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-40
0-0
37-34
0-0
41-33
0-0
51-32
0-0
31-39
0-0
45-39
0-0
44-35
0-0
46-45
0-0
37-17
0-0
40-37
0-0
32-33
0-0
37-43
0-0
34-48
0-0
41-51
0-0
31-47
0-0
35-40
0-0
30-46
0-0
37-32
0-0
35-40
0-0
47-48
153.2Avg total
75.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.574.9149.4-0.543%
Season at home (16)76.269.2145.4+7.062%
Season away (12)72.282.6154.8-10.417%
Last 10 (10)75.377.9153.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)71.885.6157.4-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.976.8148.6-4.935%
vs Similar (12)76.872.8149.7+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)95.069.0164.0+26.0100%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
East CarolinaMemphis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H07/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
33.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.469.4-5.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.035.868.8-2.844%-
Last 30 away (12)30.539.870.3-9.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.268.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.271.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.838.469.2-7.625%-
vs Similar (3)35.030.365.3+4.7100%-
vs Weaker (3)38.736.375.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A24/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H27/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
33.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.669.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.431.366.8+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)32.839.572.2-6.88%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.871.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.875.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.136.269.4-3.135%-
vs Similar (12)35.432.467.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Carolina wins
7
Memphis wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Memphis v East Carolina74-70
01/03/24East Carolina v Memphis58-82
07/01/23Memphis v East Carolina69-59
28/01/22Memphis v East Carolina71-54
15/01/22East Carolina v Memphis72-71
06/02/21Memphis v East Carolina66-59
24/01/21East Carolina v Memphis53-80
20/02/20Memphis v East Carolina77-73
East Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AUTSA Roadrunners82-81
21/02/26ACharlotte56-68
19/02/26HWichita State89-92 OT
14/02/26ARice85-75
12/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners88-72
07/02/26HTemple73-81
01/02/26AFlorida Atlantic76-75
29/01/26HRice77-83
23/01/26ANorth Texas63-59
22/01/26AWichita State60-77
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HWichita State82-88
22/02/26HUAB67-78
20/02/26ASouth Florida66-87
15/02/26AUtah State75-99
13/02/26ANorth Texas69-76
08/02/26HCharlotte77-54
06/02/26AUAB90-80
01/02/26HTulane76-78
30/01/26HFlorida Atlantic92-65
24/01/26AWichita State59-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeLLLWL35%
AwayWWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %36%35%36%
Points / game70.973.067.5
Allowed / game76.875.778.5
Point differential-5.9-2.7-10.9
Avg total147.6148.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)43% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %43%62%17%
Points / game74.576.272.2
Allowed / game74.969.282.6
Point differential-0.5+7.0-10.4
Avg total149.4145.4154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2923679%86.072.5+13.6
2 South Florida2921872%88.376.7+11.6
3 Wichita State29191066%77.770.7+7.1
4 UAB29181162%78.973.1+5.7
5 Tulane29171259%72.274.7-2.5
6 North Texas30171357%70.766.9+3.8
7 Florida Atlantic29161355%79.974.3+5.5
8 Temple28151354%73.970.8+3.0
9 Charlotte28151354%73.673.8-0.2
10 Memphis28121643%74.574.9-0.5
11 Rice28111739%74.075.1-1.1
12 East Carolina28101836%70.976.8-5.9
13 UTSA Roadrunners2852318%69.580.6-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
East Carolina04404084
Memphis03003868
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