Elitzur Shomron hosts Ramat Hasharon in a Liga Leumit clash on 10 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 68% versus 32% for the visitors, projecting a 87-82 finish for a total of 168.8 points. Elitzur Shomron enters the game 3-1 overall, averaging 81.0 points and conceding 76.8, while Ramat Hasharon sits 2-1, scoring 85.0 and allowing 84.0. At home, Elitzur Shomron is 1-1, posting 65.5 points and 68.5 allowed, and has won three of its last five, including a 105-84 victory over Maccabi Petah Tikva and a 74-61 win at home against Otef Darom. Ramat Hasharon's road record is 0-1, with 79 points scored and 91 conceded, and they have won two of their last five, highlighted by a 90-83 home win over Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin. The teams have met eight times, splitting the series 4-4, with Elitzur Shomron most recently defeating Ramat Hasharon 88-81 on 31 March 2026. The home line is -6.0 with a 48% chance of covering, the total line is 167.0 with a 54% over probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on Elitzur Shomron's recent offensive bursts and Ramat Hasharon's ability to keep the score close.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Elitzur Shomron winLost
67.7%fair 1.48
Best odds1.40
Implied69.1%
Edge-1.4pp
Ramat Hasharon winWon
32.3%fair 3.09
Best odds2.99
Implied30.9%
Edge+1.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Ramat Hasharon +13.5
77.0%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Ramat Hasharon +12.5
74.2%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Ramat Hasharon over 74.5
75.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Ramat Hasharon over 75.5
72.5%
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Over 159.5
70.7%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Lost
Elitzur Shomron over 80.5
73.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Elitzur Shomron over 81.5
70.4%
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Lost
Ramat Hasharon +11.5
71.3%
1.34
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Overtime: no
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Elitzur Shomron +2.5
73.7%
1.28
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
Elitzur Shomron under 92.5
70.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Elitzur Shomron +1.5
70.1%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Lost
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Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga LeumitRound 5
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Nahariya
Maccabi Rehovot
Maccabi Raanana
Hapoel Haifa
Elitzur Ashkelon
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Elitzur Yavne
Migdal Haemek