PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Elitzur Yavne vs Otef Darom Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 78-84
Projected total 161.7
Final 81-88
22-29 17-23 25-14 17-22
Position#14
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game84.5
Vs
31%
69%
■ ELIT 31%■ OTEF 69%
Pythia win probability
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.5
IsraelLiga LeumitRound 5
Other2026-27
Meetings · Elitzur Yavne v Otef Darom
10 Nov 2026
ELIT81
OTEF88
18 Nov 2025
ELIT82
OTEF96
01 Feb 2025
ELIT92
OTEF85
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Elitzur Yavne will host Otef Darom in a Liga Leumit fixture on 10 November 2026, with the model favouring Otef Darom as the likely winner at 69% to Elitzur Yavne's 31%. Elitzur Yavne has gone 0-4 this season, averaging 62.5 points while conceding 84.5, and has lost its last five games, including defeats to Maccabi Rehovot 51-85, Elitzur Maccabi Netanya 78-88 and Ironi Nahariya 58-71. Their home record is 0-2, with 70.5 points scored and 91.0 points allowed. Otef Darom is 2-2 overall, scoring 81.0 points and allowing 77.5, and has won two of its last five games, notably a 98-67 victory over Migdal Haemek and an 87-83 win against Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin; their road record is 0-2, with 69.5 points scored and 80.0 points allowed. Historically, Elitzur Yavne has won three of the four meetings, most recently 83-80 on 24 February 2026. The model projects a final score of 78-84, a total of 161.7 points, and gives Otef Darom a 45% chance to cover the 4.5-point spread while the over on the 160.0 line has a 53% probability; there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Elitzur Yavne can reverse its recent slump and keep the deficit within reach.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elitzur Yavne winLost
31.1%fair 3.21
Best odds2.63
Implied36.8%
Edge-5.6pp
Otef Darom winWon
68.9%fair 1.45
Best odds1.50
Implied63.2%
Edge+5.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Elitzur YavneIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Haifa
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H05/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Maale Adumim
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A08/05
Liga Leumit
Safed
#16
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H12/05
Liga Leumit
Migdal Haemek
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A15/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Petah Tikva
#11
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H19/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A24/05
Liga Leumit
Hapoel Haifa
#6
L
63-94
63
94
-31
H16/10
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A22/10
Liga Leumit
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H30/10
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Rehovot
#5
L
51-85
51
85
-34
A06/11
Liga Leumit
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
27-20
23-20
25-16
21-30
17-10
19-13
15-11
28-12
26-28
26-24
13-22
23-20
18-34
22-23
20-15
18-30
21-23
18-20
15-19
20-14
22-23
22-20
16-13
13-28
17-18
10-23
23-25
19-21
8-17
8-22
23-11
20-29
20-25
20-21
18-13
17-28
14-14
12-25
8-18
157.0Avg total
74.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.584.5147.0-22.00%
Season at home (2)70.591.0161.5-20.50%
Season away (2)54.578.0132.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)74.282.8157.0-8.640%
Last 5 (5)66.081.6147.6-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.489.4161.8-17.00%
vs Similar (15)84.787.9172.6-3.340%
vs Weaker (5)84.486.6171.0-2.260%
This opponent (Otef Darom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Otef DaromIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Rehovot
#2
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H08/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Rehovot
#2
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A12/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
79-103
79
103
-24
A15/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H19/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
84-110
84
110
-26
A24/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H27/05
Liga Leumit
Ramat Hasharon
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H23/10
Liga Leumit
Elitzur Shomron
#8
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A30/10
Liga Leumit
Migdal Haemek
#15
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H03/11
Liga Leumit
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
21-23
18-13
25-22
15-18
14-13
23-9
25-18
18-25
15-23
21-32
25-23
16-19
13-17
20-19
22-12
22-28
16-25
24-28
22-29
29-18
17-25
16-17
17-22
22-20
15-23
18-19
23-24
26-20
26-19
19-23
16-21
17-14
12-15
21-24
11-21
26-18
30-13
20-18
22-18
160.6Avg total
80.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.077.5158.5+3.550%
Season at home (2)92.575.0167.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)69.580.0149.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)80.380.3160.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.678.4159.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.986.7166.6-6.825%
vs Similar (14)82.181.8163.9+0.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.078.8175.8+18.2100%
This opponent (Elitzur Yavne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153
Over 153
70.0%
Under 153
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158 · main lineActual: Over 158
Over 158
58.4%
@ 1.87+8.4pp
Under 158
41.6%
@ 1.87-8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.76
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
46.0%
@ 2.14+3.2pp
Under 163
54.0%
@ 1.60-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.60

📊 3. Team Totals

Elitzur Yavne total 73Actual: Elitzur Yavne over 73
Over 73
69.1%
Under 73
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elitzur Yavne total 77 · main lineActual: Elitzur Yavne over 77
Over 77
53.7%
@ 1.72+3.7pp
Under 77
46.3%
@ 1.72-3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
Elitzur Yavne total 81Push
Over 81
37.9%
Under 81
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otef Darom total 78.5Actual: Otef Darom over 78.5
Over 78.5
69.3%
@ 1.57+10.8pp
Under 78.5
30.7%
@ 2.20-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.10
Otef Darom total 82.5 · main lineActual: Otef Darom over 82.5
Over 82.5
54.4%
@ 2.12+6.7pp
Under 82.5
45.6%
@ 1.85-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Otef Darom total 86.5Actual: Otef Darom over 86.5
Over 86.5
38.8%
@ 2.74+5.3pp
Under 86.5
61.2%
@ 1.40-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.74
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Elitzur Yavne +1Actual: Otef Darom -1
ELIT +1
32.0%
OTEF -1
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
ELIT
No market prices yet.
OTEF
No market prices yet.
Spread Elitzur Yavne +4 · main lineActual: Otef Darom -4
ELIT +4
42.8%
@ 1.96-8.0pp
OTEF -4
57.2%
@ 1.90+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
ELIT
SBO
1.96
Pinnacle
1.84
OTEF
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.72
Spread Elitzur Yavne +7Push
ELIT +7
54.8%
@ 1.55-5.0pp
OTEF -7
45.2%
@ 2.30+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
ELIT
Pinnacle
1.55
OTEF
Pinnacle
2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Elitzur YavneOtef Darom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Elitzur YavneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Haifa
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H05/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Maale Adumim
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/05
Liga Leumit
Safed
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H12/05
Liga Leumit
Migdal Haemek
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A15/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Petah Tikva
#11
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H19/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A24/05
Liga Leumit
Hapoel Haifa
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H16/10
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A22/10
Liga Leumit
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H30/10
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Rehovot
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/11
Liga Leumit
84.0Avg total
38.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)40.345.285.6-4.930%77%
Last 30 at home (15)40.946.187.0-5.327%87%
Last 30 away (15)39.844.384.1-4.533%67%
Last 10 (10)38.645.484.0-6.820%60%
Last 5 (5)34.043.477.4-9.420%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.045.482.4-8.420%60%
vs Similar (15)41.544.686.1-3.140%93%
vs Weaker (5)43.446.890.2-3.420%60%
This opponent (Otef Darom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Otef DaromLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Rehovot
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Rehovot
#2
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A12/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H19/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ashdod
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H27/05
Liga Leumit
Ramat Hasharon
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/10
Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H23/10
Liga Leumit
Elitzur Shomron
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A30/10
Liga Leumit
Migdal Haemek
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H03/11
Liga Leumit
78.6Avg total
39.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.7+0.547%67%
Last 30 at home (13)44.539.684.1+4.854%69%
Last 30 away (17)38.541.479.9-2.941%65%
Last 10 (10)39.539.178.6+0.440%70%
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.060%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.879.1-4.633%58%
vs Similar (14)40.340.680.9-0.443%64%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)55.537.092.5+18.5100%100%
This opponent (Elitzur Yavne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Otef Darom win
ELIT win
no forecast
@ 2.30
OTEF win
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Elitzur Yavne +2.5 · main lineActual: Otef Darom -2.5
ELIT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
OTEF -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Elitzur Yavne 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Elitzur Yavne over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Otef Darom 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Otef Darom over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: ELIT + total 79.5
ELIT & over
no forecast
@ 4.25
ELIT & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half: Draw + total 79.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: OTEF + total 79.5
OTEF & over
no forecast
@ 3.05
OTEF & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half Spread Elitzur Yavne +1.5Actual: Otef Darom -1.5
ELIT +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
OTEF -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Elitzur Yavne +3.5Actual: Otef Darom -3.5
ELIT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
OTEF -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Otef Darom (regulation)
ELIT
no forecast
@ 2.35
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
OTEF
no forecast
@ 1.64

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ELIT win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
OTEF win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ELIT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OTEF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Otef Darom over 77.572.6%1.44
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.41
---+10.6ppWon
Otef Darom over 76.575.8%1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
---+10.5ppWon
Otef Darom over 75.578.8%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+10.5ppWon
Over 150.574.7%1.38
Betano
1.38
----+8.4ppWon
Over 151.572.7%1.42
Betano
1.42
----+8.3ppWon
Over 152.570.6%1.47
Betano
1.47
----+8.1ppWon
Otef Darom +3.577.2%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+6.3ppWon
Otef Darom +4.579.9%1.25
Betano
1.25
----+6.2ppWon
Otef Darom +2.574.8%1.31
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.27
---+5.7ppWon
Otef Darom +1.571.3%1.38
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.33
---+5.4ppWon
Elitzur Yavne over 72.570.2%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+4.9ppWon
Elitzur Yavne over 71.573.5%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+4.9ppWon
Overtime: no95.2%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+4.2ppWon
Elitzur Yavne +12.573.1%1.25
Betano
1.25
-----0.3ppWon
Elitzur Yavne +11.570.1%1.23
Betano
1.23
-----4.7ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Elitzur Yavne wins
1
Otef Darom wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMaccabi Rehovot51-85
30/10/26HElitzur Maccabi Netanya78-88
22/10/26AIroni Nahariya58-71
16/10/26HHapoel Haifa63-94
24/05/26AMaccabi Kiryat Gat80-70
19/05/26HMaccabi Petah Tikva72-92
15/05/26AMigdal Haemek83-92
12/05/26HSafed93-86
08/05/26AMaccabi Maale Adumim72-64
05/05/26HMaccabi Haifa92-86
Otef Daromlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HMigdal Haemek98-67
30/10/26AElitzur Shomron61-74
23/10/26HMaccabi Kiryat Motzkin87-83
16/10/26ARamat Hasharon78-86
27/05/26HMaccabi Ashdod79-82
24/05/26AMaccabi Ashdod84-110
19/05/26HMaccabi Ashdod71-67
15/05/26AMaccabi Ashdod79-103
12/05/26AMaccabi Rehovot77-58
08/05/26HMaccabi Rehovot89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elitzur Yavne
Liga Leumit 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.570.554.5
Allowed / game84.591.078.0
Point differential-22.0-20.5-23.5
Avg total147.0161.5132.5
Over 15825%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Otef Darom
Liga Leumit 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.092.569.5
Allowed / game77.575.080.0
Point differential+3.5+17.5-10.5
Avg total158.5167.5149.5
Over 15875%100%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Elitzur Maccabi Netanya440100%88.871.2+17.5
2 Maccabi Rehovot43175%88.073.8+14.2
3 Hapoel Haifa43175%84.871.5+13.2
4 Ironi Nahariya43175%86.075.5+10.5
5 Elitzur Shomron43175%81.076.8+4.2
6 Maccabi Raanana43175%82.077.8+4.2
7 Ramat Hasharon32167%85.084.0+1.0
8 Otef Darom42250%81.077.5+3.5
9 Elitzur Ashkelon42250%89.288.5+0.8
10 Maccabi Petah Tikva31233%88.394.3-6.0
11 H. Hevel Modiin31233%71.778.3-6.7
12 Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin41325%87.590.0-2.5
13 Maccabi Kiryat Gat3030%75.787.7-12.0
14 Elitzur Yavne4040%62.584.5-22.0
15 Migdal Haemek4040%68.594.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elitzur Yavne2217251781
Otef Darom2923142288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.