Elitzur Yavne will host Otef Darom in a Liga Leumit fixture on 10 November 2026, with the model favouring Otef Darom as the likely winner at 69% to Elitzur Yavne's 31%. Elitzur Yavne has gone 0-4 this season, averaging 62.5 points while conceding 84.5, and has lost its last five games, including defeats to Maccabi Rehovot 51-85, Elitzur Maccabi Netanya 78-88 and Ironi Nahariya 58-71. Their home record is 0-2, with 70.5 points scored and 91.0 points allowed. Otef Darom is 2-2 overall, scoring 81.0 points and allowing 77.5, and has won two of its last five games, notably a 98-67 victory over Migdal Haemek and an 87-83 win against Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin; their road record is 0-2, with 69.5 points scored and 80.0 points allowed. Historically, Elitzur Yavne has won three of the four meetings, most recently 83-80 on 24 February 2026. The model projects a final score of 78-84, a total of 161.7 points, and gives Otef Darom a 45% chance to cover the 4.5-point spread while the over on the 160.0 line has a 53% probability; there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Elitzur Yavne can reverse its recent slump and keep the deficit within reach.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 62.5 | 84.5 | 147.0 | -22.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 70.5 | 91.0 | 161.5 | -20.5 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 54.5 | 78.0 | 132.5 | -23.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.2 | 82.8 | 157.0 | -8.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.0 | 81.6 | 147.6 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 72.4 | 89.4 | 161.8 | -17.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (15) | 84.7 | 87.9 | 172.6 | -3.3 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 84.4 | 86.6 | 171.0 | -2.2 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 81.0 | 77.5 | 158.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.5 | 75.0 | 167.5 | +17.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 69.5 | 80.0 | 149.5 | -10.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 80.3 | 160.6 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.6 | 78.4 | 159.0 | +2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 79.9 | 86.7 | 166.6 | -6.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 82.1 | 81.8 | 163.9 | +0.4 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 97.0 | 78.8 | 175.8 | +18.2 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 45.2 | 85.6 | -4.9 | 30% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.9 | 46.1 | 87.0 | -5.3 | 27% | 87% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.8 | 44.3 | 84.1 | -4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 45.4 | 84.0 | -6.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.0 | 43.4 | 77.4 | -9.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 37.0 | 45.4 | 82.4 | -8.4 | 20% | 60% |
| vs Similar (15) | 41.5 | 44.6 | 86.1 | -3.1 | 40% | 93% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 43.4 | 46.8 | 90.2 | -3.4 | 20% | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 40.6 | 81.7 | +0.5 | 47% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.5 | 39.6 | 84.1 | +4.8 | 54% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.5 | 41.4 | 79.9 | -2.9 | 41% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.5 | 39.1 | 78.6 | +0.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | +7.0 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 37.2 | 41.8 | 79.1 | -4.6 | 33% | 58% |
| vs Similar (14) | 40.3 | 40.6 | 80.9 | -0.4 | 43% | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 55.5 | 37.0 | 92.5 | +18.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otef Darom over 77.5 | 72.6% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Otef Darom over 76.5 | 75.8% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Otef Darom over 75.5 | 78.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 74.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 72.7% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 70.6% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Otef Darom +3.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Otef Darom +4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Otef Darom +2.5 | 74.8% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Otef Darom +1.5 | 71.3% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Elitzur Yavne over 72.5 | 70.2% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Elitzur Yavne over 71.5 | 73.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Elitzur Yavne +12.5 | 73.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Elitzur Yavne +11.5 | 70.1% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 | Otef Darom v Elitzur Yavne | 80-83 |
| 18/11/25 | Elitzur Yavne v Otef Darom | 82-96 |
| 01/02/25 | Elitzur Yavne v Otef Darom | 92-85 |
| 23/11/24 | Otef Darom v Elitzur Yavne | 89-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Maccabi Rehovot | 51-85 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 78-88 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Ironi Nahariya | 58-71 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Hapoel Haifa | 63-94 |
| 24/05/26 | A | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 80-70 |
| 19/05/26 | H | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 72-92 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Migdal Haemek | 83-92 |
| 12/05/26 | H | Safed | 93-86 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Maccabi Maale Adumim | 72-64 |
| 05/05/26 | H | Maccabi Haifa | 92-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Migdal Haemek | 98-67 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Elitzur Shomron | 61-74 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin | 87-83 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Ramat Hasharon | 78-86 |
| 27/05/26 | H | Maccabi Ashdod | 79-82 |
| 24/05/26 | A | Maccabi Ashdod | 84-110 |
| 19/05/26 | H | Maccabi Ashdod | 71-67 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Maccabi Ashdod | 79-103 |
| 12/05/26 | A | Maccabi Rehovot | 77-58 |
| 08/05/26 | H | Maccabi Rehovot | 89-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 62.5 | 70.5 | 54.5 |
| Allowed / game | 84.5 | 91.0 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | -22.0 | -20.5 | -23.5 |
| Avg total | 147.0 | 161.5 | 132.5 |
| Over 158 | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLW | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.0 | 92.5 | 69.5 |
| Allowed / game | 77.5 | 75.0 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | +3.5 | +17.5 | -10.5 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 167.5 | 149.5 |
| Over 158 | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 88.8 | 71.2 | +17.5 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 88.0 | 73.8 | +14.2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.8 | 71.5 | +13.2 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 75.5 | +10.5 | |
| 5 | Elitzur Shomron | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.0 | 76.8 | +4.2 |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 82.0 | 77.8 | +4.2 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 84.0 | +1.0 | |
| 8 | Otef Darom | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 77.5 | +3.5 |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 89.2 | 88.5 | +0.8 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 88.3 | 94.3 | -6.0 | |
| 11 | H. Hevel Modiin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 71.7 | 78.3 | -6.7 |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 87.5 | 90.0 | -2.5 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 75.7 | 87.7 | -12.0 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 62.5 | 84.5 | -22.0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 68.5 | 94.5 | -26.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 17 | 25 | 17 | 81 | |
| Otef Darom | 29 | 23 | 14 | 22 | 88 |
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