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Eltham W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 81-86
18-25 25-23 21-9 17-29
Position#19
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Eltham W v Melbourne Tigers W
04 May 2025
ELTH81
MELB86
13 May 2023
ELTH85
MELB56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
7-13
23-20
24-17
16-16
9-23
24-14
23-22
37-23
11-28
21-17
8-26
25-29
23-19
26-32
9-17
19-17
27-22
15-21
14-22
16-20
13-18
18-21
14-20
32-8
16-24
16-13
12-19
25-13
22-19
6-23
22-20
30-23
17-21
17-29
16-15
23-31
28-21
18-25
24-27
160.8Avg total
77.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.082.2159.2-5.233%
Season at home (2)77.585.0162.5-7.50%
Season away (4)76.880.8157.5-4.050%
Last 10 (10)77.783.1160.8-5.430%
Last 5 (5)77.482.2159.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.878.7153.5-3.936%
vs Similar (6)75.079.2154.2-4.217%
vs Weaker (13)84.578.2162.7+6.469%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
84-109
84
109
-25
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
15-20
12-18
11-11
9-26
11-17
14-24
17-9
26-26
17-24
10-29
19-29
15-33
18-24
16-24
29-13
22-18
29-30
8-24
25-37
20-13
21-24
16-22
17-20
25-20
20-23
29-19
16-14
27-19
18-20
18-33
18-18
22-18
20-27
22-18
18-17
23-18
16-24
19-24
21-29
163.0Avg total
75.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.284.0165.2-2.840%
Season at home (4)81.282.5163.8-1.250%
Season away (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.587.5163.0-12.020%
Last 5 (5)81.284.0165.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.783.3158.0-8.722%
vs Similar (4)74.575.2149.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.484.4165.8-3.050%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
Eltham WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
83.5Avg total
42.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.979.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.941.884.8+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)39.436.776.1+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.684.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.837.776.5+1.145%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.379.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (13)43.339.382.6+4.054%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
84.3Avg total
40.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.780.5-2.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.143.082.1-3.950%-
Last 30 away (12)38.339.878.1-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.384.3-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.443.380.7-5.844%-
vs Similar (4)39.235.875.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.641.182.8+0.550%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Eltham W wins
0
Melbourne Tigers W wins
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ADiamond Valley W93-104
26/04/25HBallarat W80-88
25/04/25ANunawading W77-76 OT
12/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-64
05/04/25ADandenong Rangers W61-79
29/03/25HRingwood W75-82
20/07/24ABallarat W83-97
13/07/24HBallarat W77-94
11/07/24AKeilor Thunder W72-75
06/07/24AKilsyth W83-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HNunawading W79-95
13/04/25HDandenong Rangers W82-80
08/04/25ADiamond Valley W81-90
04/04/25HKilsyth W90-76
30/03/25HSandringham W74-79
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers W84-109
11/07/24HWaverley W78-94
06/07/24AMt. Gambier W72-108
29/06/24ABallarat W51-76
28/06/24HBendigo Braves W64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.077.576.8
Allowed / game82.285.080.8
Point differential-5.2-7.5-4.0
Avg total159.2162.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game81.281.281.0
Allowed / game84.082.590.0
Point differential-2.8-1.2-9.0
Avg total165.2163.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W770100%91.366.6+24.7
2 Keilor Thunder W87188%80.269.2+11.0
3 Knox W76186%86.669.1+17.4
4 Dandenong Rangers W75271%86.369.0+17.3
5 Waverley W75271%75.968.4+7.4
6 Diamond Valley W85362%85.282.2+3.0
7 Sandringham W85362%77.476.1+1.2
8 Casey Cavaliers W74357%73.476.7-3.3
9 Frankston W63350%69.868.2+1.7
10 Ringwood W73443%77.073.3+3.7
11 Ballarat W73443%75.479.6-4.1
12 Nunawading W73443%69.774.7-5.0
13 Melbourne Tigers W52340%81.284.0-2.8
14 Eltham W62433%77.082.2-5.2
15 Bendigo Braves W72529%75.082.9-7.9
16 Mt. Gambier W72529%66.081.1-15.1
17 Hobart Chargers W82625%69.278.0-8.8
18 Kilsyth W82625%64.479.9-15.5
19 Launceston W9090%66.481.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham W1825211781
Melbourne Tigers W252392986
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