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Casey Cavaliers W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 109-84
18-22 30-29 24-8 37-25
Position#18
Record4-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#15
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Melbourne Tigers W
24 May 2025
CASE77
MELB85
13 Jul 2024
CASE109
MELB84
22 Apr 2022
CASE94
MELB44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
57-86
57
86
-29
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
61-94
61
94
-33
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
23-18
15-29
25-25
25-18
20-17
21-30
22-25
19-18
15-20
20-5
18-20
20-25
20-19
18-22
20-17
12-31
16-20
16-15
13-20
21-17
16-20
14-20
21-24
19-24
19-34
23-17
19-17
16-24
28-21
14-18
25-22
23-19
14-23
17-27
9-17
22-22
11-25
14-30
14-17
157.8Avg total
72.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.085.9158.9-12.919%
Season at home (10)74.485.3159.7-10.920%
Season away (11)71.786.5158.2-14.718%
Last 10 (10)72.885.0157.8-12.210%
Last 5 (5)71.887.6159.4-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.989.0163.9-14.012%
vs Similar (5)73.674.2147.8-0.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
29-21
24-26
12-17
19-17
15-14
12-11
19-23
18-25
17-20
30-21
25-22
26-23
25-22
15-20
11-26
19-21
10-24
17-8
24-27
11-15
25-22
14-9
11-17
26-19
15-20
12-18
11-11
9-26
11-17
14-24
17-9
26-26
17-24
10-29
19-29
15-33
18-24
16-24
29-13
155.9Avg total
72.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.081.9158.0-5.933%
Season at home (11)80.385.6165.9-5.427%
Season away (10)71.477.8149.2-6.440%
Last 10 (10)72.783.2155.9-10.520%
Last 5 (5)65.281.8147.0-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.184.4154.5-14.313%
vs Similar (2)71.566.0137.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.679.0158.6+0.660%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Casey Cavaliers WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
80.3Avg total
37.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.182.3-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.743.281.9-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.842.982.7-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.380.3-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.883.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.144.083.2-4.928%-
vs Similar (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
79.7Avg total
36.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.478.9-6.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.843.281.1-5.450%-
Last 30 away (14)34.941.576.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.079.7-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.279.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.843.979.7-8.139%-
vs Similar (2)35.533.569.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24ABallarat W61-94
06/07/24HDiamond Valley W63-86
29/06/24HFrankston W83-85
28/06/24AGeelong W80-92
22/06/24AWaverley W72-81
16/06/24HKnox W57-86
15/06/24HEltham W78-83
07/06/24HNunawading W72-63
06/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W88-90
25/05/24HHobart Chargers W74-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/24HWaverley W78-94
06/07/24AMt. Gambier W72-108
29/06/24ABallarat W51-76
28/06/24HBendigo Braves W64-68
22/06/24AKilsyth W61-63
16/06/24HFrankston W70-80
15/06/24AGeelong W77-91
06/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W90-88
01/06/24HKeilor Thunder W70-77 OT
25/05/24ANunawading W94-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%20%18%
Points / game73.074.471.7
Allowed / game85.985.386.5
Point differential-12.9-10.9-14.7
Avg total158.9159.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%27%40%
Points / game76.080.371.4
Allowed / game81.985.677.8
Point differential-5.9-5.4-6.4
Avg total158.0165.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2119290%85.271.5+13.7
2 Keilor Thunder W2119290%76.864.2+12.5
3 Dandenong Rangers W2115671%79.671.9+7.7
4 Mt. Gambier W2214864%78.069.8+8.2
5 Sandringham W2214864%76.772.2+4.5
6 Ballarat W2113862%73.075.0-2.1
7 Waverley W2213959%78.676.8+1.8
8 Eltham W2112957%80.675.9+4.8
9 Bendigo Braves W21111052%87.179.0+8.1
10 Geelong W21111052%83.081.0+1.9
11 Frankston W22111150%75.775.6+0.1
12 Ringwood W2291341%76.379.0-2.7
13 Hobart Chargers W2281436%72.476.4-4.0
14 Diamond Valley W2071335%75.579.5-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2171433%76.081.9-5.9
16 Kilsyth W2051525%69.679.7-10.1
17 Launceston W2051525%70.580.6-10.1
18 Casey Cavaliers W2141719%73.085.9-12.9
19 Nunawading W2141719%69.282.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W18302437109
Melbourne Tigers W222982584
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