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Eltham W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-92
16-26 19-28 24-20 11-18
Position#8
Record12-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#2
Record16-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.3
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#14
W
97-61
97
61
+36
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
64-103
64
103
-39
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
24-16
31-18
20-19
17-16
20-22
23-12
21-17
28-18
15-17
16-19
12-25
17-15
25-25
5-24
13-21
17-14
14-18
18-18
17-11
19-25
19-31
15-21
11-26
15-23
21-27
19-21
15-18
23-19
24-24
25-22
19-22
16-20
17-13
20-15
24-14
26-28
27-17
20-12
19-26
154.6Avg total
76.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.773.5149.2+2.157%
Season at home (10)79.269.5148.7+9.780%
Season away (11)72.577.2149.6-4.736%
Last 10 (10)76.977.7154.6-0.860%
Last 5 (5)78.884.8163.6-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.185.0151.1-18.90%
vs Similar (13)75.072.3147.3+2.754%
vs Weaker (10)82.868.4151.2+14.490%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H09/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
107-65
107
65
+42
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
18-22
14-15
24-22
21-18
21-17
20-23
20-17
24-25
17-26
17-25
19-23
21-16
31-20
35-9
20-20
32-23
23-13
21-13
18-10
17-23
19-20
10-22
22-10
29-13
18-14
25-14
20-18
21-26
29-15
26-24
23-16
22-12
26-21
17-16
16-25
20-24
21-16
20-13
16-18
158.9Avg total
85.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.273.3158.5+11.976%
Season at home (11)87.172.0159.1+15.182%
Season away (10)83.174.8157.9+8.370%
Last 10 (10)85.573.4158.9+12.180%
Last 5 (5)83.472.0155.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.277.0148.2-5.80%
vs Similar (10)76.872.9149.7+3.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.273.1159.2+13.181%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Eltham WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#14
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
80.2Avg total
40.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.078.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.880.0+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.744.980.6-9.129%-
vs Similar (13)42.538.681.1+3.854%-
vs Weaker (10)40.635.175.7+5.570%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
83.3Avg total
45.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.237.982.1+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.739.180.8+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.183.3+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.881.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.879.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.638.183.7+7.481%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eltham W wins
1
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateGameScore
02/07/22Mt. Gambier W v Eltham W75-73
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23HDiamond Valley W92-83
09/07/23AKilsyth W77-62
02/07/23ABallarat W91-87
30/06/23HWaverley W70-89
25/06/23AGeelong W64-103
24/06/23HKnox W66-61
18/06/23ABendigo W60-85
17/06/23AFrankston W71-79
03/06/23HCasey Cavaliers W81-67
27/05/23ALaunceston W97-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23AWaverley W77-71
08/07/23ALaunceston W81-74
07/07/23AHobart Chargers W99-81
02/07/23HDandenong Rangers W92-59
30/06/23HBendigo W68-75
23/06/23HGeelong W94-59
18/06/23ABallarat W107-65
17/06/23ARingwood W77-99
09/06/23HDiamond Valley W82-75
02/06/23HKilsyth W78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game75.779.272.5
Allowed / game73.569.577.2
Point differential+2.1+9.7-4.7
Avg total149.2148.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%82%70%
Points / game85.287.183.1
Allowed / game73.372.074.8
Point differential+11.9+15.1+8.3
Avg total158.5159.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W21210100%89.066.8+22.1
2 Mt. Gambier W2116576%85.273.3+11.9
3 Waverley W2116576%81.571.5+10.0
4 Geelong W2115671%80.072.0+8.0
5 Frankston W2215768%76.473.1+3.3
6 Ringwood W2213959%75.975.2+0.7
7 Sandringham W2112957%82.676.4+6.2
8 Eltham W2112957%75.773.5+2.1
9 Diamond Valley W22111150%76.876.2+0.6
10 Dandenong Rangers W22111150%75.577.1-1.6
11 Kilsyth W22101245%68.672.1-3.5
12 Knox W2191243%72.570.7+1.8
13 Nunawading W2291341%75.677.5-1.9
14 Launceston W2291341%73.778.4-4.7
15 Hobart Chargers W2281436%73.879.5-5.7
16 Keilor Thunder W2161529%66.877.5-10.8
17 Melbourne Tigers W2151624%65.579.2-13.8
18 Casey Cavaliers W2131814%74.184.4-10.3
19 Ballarat W2231914%66.479.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham W1619241170
Mt. Gambier W2628201892
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