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Mt. Gambier W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 94-59
32-23 23-13 21-13 18-10
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Geelong W
18 May 2025
MT. 56
GEEL83
31 May 2024
MT. 60
GEEL76
21 Jul 2023
MT. 76
GEEL86
23 Jun 2023
MT. 94
GEEL59
20 May 2022
MT. 82
GEEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A06/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H12/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H27/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H09/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
107-65
107
65
+42
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
15-30
25-23
25-15
25-23
15-28
14-20
20-14
23-18
21-21
11-16
10-12
30-17
23-30
18-23
26-11
25-27
17-17
25-10
20-17
32-16
27-26
18-19
11-19
22-17
18-22
14-15
24-22
21-18
21-17
20-23
20-17
24-25
17-26
17-25
19-23
21-16
31-20
35-9
20-20
161.8Avg total
83.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.274.7159.9+10.573%
Season at home (8)88.074.9162.9+13.188%
Season away (7)82.074.6156.6+7.457%
Last 10 (10)83.278.6161.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)86.479.0165.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.377.7150.0-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.873.3147.1+0.456%
vs Weaker (18)81.772.4154.2+9.372%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#5
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H06/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
A13/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H20/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
82-47
82
47
+35
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-18
16-26
20-16
23-25
28-15
20-14
14-20
13-14
16-16
22-15
22-22
30-12
17-16
16-26
18-19
24-12
16-17
25-5
21-21
29-16
27-20
16-14
14-17
19-22
15-12
20-28
21-30
29-19
21-10
14-12
18-6
19-19
27-5
11-29
20-13
25-15
24-28
22-16
21-25
151.1Avg total
80.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.371.8152.1+8.571%
Season at home (7)84.475.9160.3+8.671%
Season away (7)76.167.7143.9+8.471%
Last 10 (10)80.570.6151.1+9.980%
Last 5 (5)82.471.2153.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.375.6148.9-2.343%
vs Weaker (20)82.366.8149.1+15.585%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Mt. Gambier WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#6
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H27/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
87.3Avg total
44.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.978.8+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.337.578.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.478.9+2.071%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.387.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.687.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.337.777.0+1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.738.677.2+0.144%-
vs Weaker (18)42.337.779.9+4.678%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A13/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H20/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
76.6Avg total
43.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.135.877.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.583.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)40.930.471.4+10.579%-
Last 10 (10)43.433.276.6+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.033.280.2+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.744.783.3-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.440.781.1-0.357%-
vs Weaker (20)43.232.876.0+10.585%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mt. Gambier W wins
2
Geelong W wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Geelong W v Mt. Gambier W85-74
31/07/22Geelong W v Mt. Gambier W72-73
20/05/22Mt. Gambier W v Geelong W82-79 OT
09/07/21Geelong W v Mt. Gambier W80-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/23ABallarat W107-65
17/06/23ARingwood W77-99
09/06/23HDiamond Valley W82-75
02/06/23HKilsyth W78-76
27/05/23HKnox W88-80
19/05/23HSandringham W87-71
12/05/23HWaverley W97-81
07/05/23AMelbourne Tigers W65-67
06/05/23AGeelong W74-85
29/04/23HRingwood W77-87
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/06/23HDandenong Rangers W92-84
04/06/23AKeilor Thunder W77-66
03/06/23HKnox W82-47
27/05/23ABendigo W75-92
20/05/23HNunawading W86-67
13/05/23ALaunceston W86-55
12/05/23AHobart Chargers W81-73
07/05/23ADiamond Valley W73-67
06/05/23HMt. Gambier W85-74
29/04/23HFrankston W68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game85.288.082.0
Allowed / game74.774.974.6
Point differential+10.5+13.1+7.4
Avg total159.9162.9156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game80.384.476.1
Allowed / game71.875.967.7
Point differential+8.5+8.6+8.4
Avg total152.1160.3143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W16160100%90.366.2+24.1
2 Waverley W1512380%80.773.7+7.0
3 Mt. Gambier W1511473%85.274.7+10.5
4 Frankston W1511473%76.070.5+5.5
5 Geelong W1410471%80.371.8+8.5
6 Ringwood W1610662%74.874.4+0.3
7 Knox W169756%75.470.8+4.7
8 Eltham W158753%75.370.6+4.7
9 Sandringham W168850%81.577.2+4.2
10 Diamond Valley W168850%75.676.0-0.4
11 Dandenong Rangers W167944%76.276.4-0.2
12 Nunawading W167944%73.875.0-1.2
13 Hobart Chargers W1771041%73.177.1-4.0
14 Launceston W1661038%73.979.6-5.7
15 Kilsyth W1661038%67.673.4-5.8
16 Keilor Thunder W1541127%67.379.1-11.7
17 Melbourne Tigers W1641225%66.178.4-12.3
18 Ballarat W1631319%63.578.2-14.7
19 Casey Cavaliers W1621412%73.384.4-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W3223211894
Geelong W2313131059
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