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Esgueira vs Terceira Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 76-69
15-25 18-9 17-20 26-15
Position#8
Record3-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#14
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game99.4
PortugalLPBRound 9
Other2019-20
Meetings · Esgueira v Terceira
09 Feb 2020
ESGU101
TERC55
29 Nov 2019
ESGU76
TERC69
18 Nov 2018
ESGU89
TERC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Terceira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A01/05
LPB
Galitos
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H05/05
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A05/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H12/10
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/10
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A26/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A10/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H16/11
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A23/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-32
19-16
19-24
23-18
19-16
21-22
23-21
10-17
15-19
19-17
29-13
28-10
31-19
12-15
24-29
15-22
16-24
9-15
17-17
15-9
21-17
24-13
13-17
20-14
16-14
20-16
20-24
13-24
17-21
17-20
24-15
12-20
20-29
24-19
16-18
18-24
29-21
26-17
14-19
19-20
151.5Avg total
75.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.673.9150.5+2.838%
Season at home (4)71.579.5151.0-8.00%
Season away (4)81.868.2150.0+13.575%
Last 10 (10)75.875.7151.5+0.130%
Last 5 (5)76.676.4153.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.989.4160.3-18.60%
vs Similar (17)74.977.4152.3-2.535%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.873.6157.4+10.260%
This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TerceiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A12/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H17/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
58-119
58
119
-61
H05/10
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A12/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A19/10
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A03/11
LPB
Maia
#13
L
86-98 OT
86
98
-12
H09/11
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
58-111
58
111
-53
A16/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
88-111
88
111
-23
H23/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
16-23
24-25
20-25
22-16
18-21
22-31
17-17
13-30
16-34
12-29
17-26
11-20
22-18
20-25
10-26
18-27
21-23
18-19
21-19
15-20
17-21
13-20
17-27
11-24
15-25
10-18
21-24
20-22
21-13
19-19
21-27
15-19
11-36
11-27
21-29
16-27
29-32
26-33
17-19
167.7Avg total
70.6Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.899.4168.1-30.60%
Season at home (4)73.5104.0177.5-30.50%
Season away (4)64.094.8158.8-30.80%
Last 10 (10)70.697.1167.7-26.50%
Last 5 (5)70.299.8170.0-29.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.993.9168.9-19.011%
vs Similar (2)91.593.5185.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.7-5.7
EsgueiraTerceira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A01/05
LPB
Galitos
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/05
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/10
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H19/10
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A26/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/11
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A23/11
LPB
76.8Avg total
38.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.977.6-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.035.873.8+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.680.9-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.276.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.440.776.1-5.329%-
vs Similar (17)38.737.976.6+0.865%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.038.481.4+4.660%-
This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TerceiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
29-64
29
64
-35
H05/10
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A03/11
LPB
Maia
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/11
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A16/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H23/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
34.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.247.584.6-10.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.246.286.4-6.138%-
Last 30 away (14)33.748.982.6-15.17%-
Last 10 (10)34.446.981.3-12.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.047.881.8-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.647.684.1-11.022%-
vs Similar (2)41.550.091.5-8.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Esgueira wins
2
Terceira wins
DateGameScore
17/02/19Terceira v Esgueira87-66
15/02/19Terceira v Esgueira86-80
18/11/18Esgueira v Terceira89-81
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/19AIlliabum88-77
16/11/19HSporting CP78-90
10/11/19AFC Porto70-76
01/11/19HOliveirense69-78
26/10/19ABarreirense78-61
19/10/19HVitoria57-65
12/10/19HCAB Madeira82-85
05/10/19ALusitania91-59
05/05/19HGalitos73-76
01/05/19ACAB Madeira72-90
Terceiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/19HLusitania88-111
16/11/19ABenfica58-111
09/11/19HMaia86-98 OT
03/11/19AOvarense57-91
26/10/19HGalitos62-88
19/10/19ACAB Madeira78-88
12/10/19AIlliabum63-89
05/10/19HSporting CP58-119
17/05/19HFC Porto79-85
12/05/19AFC Porto77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%0%75%
Points / game76.671.581.8
Allowed / game73.979.568.2
Point differential+2.8-8.0+13.5
Avg total150.5151.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Terceira
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.873.564.0
Allowed / game99.4104.094.8
Point differential-30.6-30.5-30.8
Avg total168.1177.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto990100%89.374.0+15.3
2 Sporting CP98189%92.769.9+22.8
3 Benfica87188%86.470.2+16.1
4 Oliveirense97278%83.270.6+12.7
5 Galitos96367%84.779.0+5.7
6 CAB Madeira94544%81.183.6-2.4
7 Lusitania94544%79.384.3-5.0
8 Esgueira83538%76.673.9+2.8
9 Illiabum83538%75.477.4-2.0
10 Vitoria83538%73.976.6-2.8
11 Maia93633%74.381.9-7.6
12 Ovarense82625%74.079.9-5.9
13 Barreirense91811%68.189.7-21.6
14 Terceira8080%68.899.4-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1518172676
Terceira259201569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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