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Esgueira W vs ACD Ferragudo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 67-73
18-22 19-16 15-19 15-16
Position#4
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game58.0
Esgueira W
Portugal
vs
ACD Ferragudo W 🏆
Portugal
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game68.8
PortugalLFB WomenRound 7· Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ACD Ferragudo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
H08/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H09/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
no box
H15/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
53-86
53
86
-33
no box
A22/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
64-46
64
46
+18
57avg 66
A01/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 66
H05/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
103-72
103
72
+31
99avg 66
H08/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
52avg 66
H15/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
73avg 66
A21/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
63-53
63
53
+10
49avg 66
A22/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
19-20
18-20
21-12
18-8
18-15
15-18
17-18
13-23
10-13
15-10
15-23
14-21
16-21
5-27
18-17
8-15
14-14
19-10
23-7
19-20
21-18
17-21
18-21
27-18
25-10
22-14
29-30
14-3
12-6
6-7
21-16
17-24
14-16
30-11
20-14
14-13
19-13
14-7
16-20
132.7Avg total
68.8Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.258.0131.2+15.283%
Season at home (3)77.061.3138.3+15.767%
Season away (3)69.354.7124.0+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)68.863.9132.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)75.060.4135.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.771.6131.3-11.914%
vs Similar (6)71.867.0138.8+4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)71.456.4127.8+15.088%
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ACD Ferragudo WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
53avg 53
H01/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
30avg 53
A05/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
55-69
55
69
-14
56avg 53
A08/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
52-75
52
75
-23
47avg 53
H15/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
54avg 53
A21/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 53
H29/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
19-11
12-23
21-14
10-15
11-12
13-15
11-12
22-21
18-17
8-18
7-13
14-23
11-22
12-18
15-12
8-15
21-14
20-14
19-20
22-28
19-18
26-20
19-22
130.2Avg total
61.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)61.368.8130.2-7.517%
Season at home (3)66.775.7142.3-9.00%
Season away (3)56.062.0118.0-6.033%
Last 10 (6)61.368.8130.2-7.517%
Last 5 (5)61.269.8131.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)62.068.8130.8-6.80%
vs Similar (2)60.069.0129.0-9.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
Esgueira WACD Ferragudo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H15/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A22/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A01/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H08/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
26-9
26
9
+17
H15/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A22/10
LFB Women
64.5Avg total
32.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.465.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.129.265.4+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.233.966.1-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)32.931.664.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.264.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.037.166.1-8.114%-
vs Similar (6)36.235.071.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.927.163.0+8.981%-
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ACD Ferragudo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H01/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A05/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H15/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H29/10
LFB Women
66.2Avg total
30.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)30.835.366.2-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (3)31.739.371.0-7.733%-
Last 30 away (3)30.031.361.3-1.333%-
Last 10 (6)30.835.366.2-4.533%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.068.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.834.567.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (2)27.037.064.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.521.5
45.3%
43.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.0
26.9%
28.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.4%
72.6%11.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ACD Ferragudo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ACD Ferragudo W: 60.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.0
43.2%
43.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.24.0
22.0%
28.2%12.0
🏀 Free throws17.010.3
60.8%
72.6%10.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira W
WWWWLWLLWL
ACD Ferragudo W
LWLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+19.8
Net rating
-9.4
94.0
Offensive rating
79.5
74.3
Defensive rating
88.9
43.7%
Effective FG%
40.2%
36.8%
Opp. effective FG%
41.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
26.3%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
26.9%
3-point %
22.0%
58.8%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/6)
17%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 79.5Defence74.3 · 88.9Shooting43.7% · 40.2%3-point %26.9% · 22.0%Ball care22.4% · 26.3%Off. rebounds39.6% · 31.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/6)60% · 17%
■ Esgueira W   ■ ACD Ferragudo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira W wins
0
ACD Ferragudo W wins
No previous meetings.
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ACDEFF W63-53
21/10/23ACAB Madeira W81-65
15/10/23HGalitos W53-32
08/10/23HBarcelos W103-72
05/10/23HNatacao W75-80
01/10/23AUniao Sportiva W64-46
22/04/23ABenfica W53-86
15/04/23HBenfica W53-69
09/04/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W68-59
08/04/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W75-77
ACD Ferragudo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HBarcelos W86-88
21/10/23ANatacao W68-63
15/10/23HCDEFF W52-75
08/10/23AImortal W55-69
05/10/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W45-54
01/10/23HCAB Madeira W62-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game73.277.069.3
Allowed / game58.061.354.7
Point differential+15.2+15.7+14.7
Avg total131.2138.3124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
ACD Ferragudo W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game61.366.756.0
Allowed / game68.875.762.0
Point differential-7.5-9.0-6.0
Avg total130.2142.3118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W65183%73.258.0+15.2
2 Uniao Sportiva W75271%64.754.9+9.9
3 Gdessa Barreiro W75271%64.356.1+8.1
4 Imortal W74357%69.963.4+6.4
5 Benfica W74357%67.466.1+1.3
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W74357%62.461.7+0.7
7 CAB Madeira W74357%61.763.4-1.7
8 CDEFF W73443%59.162.1-3.0
9 Natacao W73443%60.670.9-10.3
10 Barcelos W72529%71.075.6-4.6
11 ACD Ferragudo W61517%61.368.8-7.5
12 Galitos W71614%49.963.3-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira W1819151567
ACD Ferragudo W2216191673
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