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Esgueira W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 75-80
19-20 21-18 17-21 18-21
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game46.0
Esgueira W
Portugal
vs
Natacao W 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.0
PortugalLFB WomenRound 2· Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira
Women2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira W v Natacao W
02 Nov 2024
ESGU99
NATA64
05 Oct 2023
ESGU75
NATA80
19 Oct 2022
ESGU62
NATA41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A26/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
no box
A19/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#8
W
78-72 OT
78
72
+6
no box
A26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
77-49
77
49
+28
no box
A02/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
H08/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H09/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
no box
H15/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
53-86
53
86
-33
no box
A22/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
64-46
64
46
+18
57avg 57
A01/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-14
15-15
16-18
19-18
24-21
22-15
7-23
21-17
13-21
18-24
7-17
20-20
17-16
16-16
17-18
23-17
20-12
19-8
15-12
17-25
19-20
18-20
21-12
18-8
18-15
15-18
17-18
13-23
10-13
15-10
15-23
14-21
16-21
5-27
18-17
8-15
14-14
19-10
23-7
136.1Avg total
67.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.046.0110.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.046.0110.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.468.7136.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)62.667.4130.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.570.6130.1-11.112%
vs Similar (7)69.364.9134.1+4.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)68.955.1124.0+13.993%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#8
L
36-61
36
61
-25
no box
H15/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
no box
H29/01
LFB Women
CLIP W
#8
W
70-49
70
49
+21
no box
A18/02
Taca de Portugal Women
CDEFF W
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
no box
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
no box
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
no box
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 63
H01/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-19
10-10
9-15
11-17
13-11
9-11
10-8
18-16
15-16
19-13
22-7
14-13
11-19
12-19
13-17
13-10
16-17
17-24
21-18
23-18
21-15
22-15
14-18
16-16
8-18
11-12
10-10
15-17
20-19
24-22
14-19
19-21
19-12
7-8
16-12
19-17
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
126.3Avg total
62.6Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.663.7126.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)65.864.0129.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.968.7125.6-11.829%
vs Similar (6)59.765.2124.8-5.533%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
Esgueira WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A02/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H15/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A22/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A01/10
LFB Women
68.9Avg total
33.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.165.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.229.964.1+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)32.834.166.9-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.068.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)29.435.064.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.137.066.1-7.912%-
vs Similar (7)33.733.767.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.828.063.8+7.879%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#8
L
16-29
16
29
-13
H15/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H29/01
LFB Women
CLIP W
#8
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A18/02
Taca de Portugal Women
CDEFF W
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
62.3Avg total
30.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.633.962.5-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.731.061.7-0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)27.036.263.2-9.224%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.062.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.267.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.035.363.3-7.233%-
vs Similar (6)30.333.563.8-3.233%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.012.0
30.0%
43.3%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
28.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.014.0
63.6%
72.6%14.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
43.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
28.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.015.0
62.5%
72.6%15.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira W
WLLWLWWLLW
Natacao W
WWLLWLLWWL
#4
League position
#8
+23.4
Net rating
+9.5
90.9
Offensive rating
100.0
67.4
Defensive rating
90.5
36.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
31.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.44
32.0%
3-point %
39.1%
75.0%
Assist %
36.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 100.0Defence67.4 · 90.5Shooting36.9% · 53.6%3-point %32.0% · 39.1%Ball care17.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Esgueira W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Esgueira W wins
1
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Natacao W v Esgueira W50-46
19/10/22Esgueira W v Natacao W62-41
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23AUniao Sportiva W64-46
22/04/23ABenfica W53-86
15/04/23HBenfica W53-69
09/04/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W68-59
08/04/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W75-77
02/04/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W77-49
26/03/23AImortal W78-72 OT
19/03/23ABenfica W59-79
05/03/23HUniao Sportiva W72-77
26/02/23AGdessa Barreiro W75-73 OT
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
26/03/23HAD Vagos W61-49
19/03/23AGalitos W77-81
11/03/23ABenfica W44-57
05/03/23HGdessa Barreiro W73-64
26/02/23ACAB Madeira W92-96 OT
25/02/23ACDEFF W49-65
18/02/23ACLIP W70-49
29/01/23HEsgueira W50-46
15/01/23HImortal W36-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game46.0-46.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total110.0-110.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W110100%64.046.0+18.0
2 Gdessa Barreiro W220100%69.552.0+17.5
3 CDEFF W110100%60.050.0+10.0
4 Natacao W110100%74.069.0+5.0
5 CAB Madeira W110100%64.062.0+2.0
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W21150%61.559.5+2.0
7 Imortal W21150%69.568.0+1.5
8 Benfica W21150%57.059.5-2.5
9 ACD Ferragudo W2020%53.559.0-5.5
10 Barcelos W2020%65.575.0-9.5
11 Uniao Sportiva W1010%46.064.0-18.0
12 Galitos W1010%45.069.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira W1921171875
Natacao W2018212180
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