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Espanol de Talca vs Puerto Montt Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 70-77
21-11 13-25 19-18 17-23
Position#14
Record6-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#11
Record8-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game81.7
ChileLNBLNB - Final· Gimnasio Municipal Talca
Other2023-24
Meetings · Espanol de Talca v Puerto Montt
18 May 2024
ESPA70
PUER77
02 Feb 2024
ESPA88
PUER80
21 Jan 2023
ESPA70
PUER69
19 Mar 2022
ESPA69
PUER79
21 Oct 2017
ESPA81
PUER86
19 Nov 2016
ESPA71
PUER81
13 Dec 2014
ESPA108
PUER68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Montt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 60
A07/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
87-85
87
85
+2
90avg 60
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
76avg 60
A14/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
52avg 60
H20/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 60
H21/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
73-101
73
101
-28
59avg 60
A28/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
71avg 60
A04/05
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
65avg 60
A05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
74-95
74
95
-21
56avg 60
A12/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 60
A13/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-26
16-14
26-18
15-20
19-23
23-19
30-23
18-23
23-28
26-26
16-24
20-17
15-22
16-20
16-24
23-25
23-23
23-27
23-17
21-27
21-26
13-25
18-23
22-16
10-13
20-20
12-15
22-25
22-27
16-16
22-19
16-25
16-19
28-25
14-26
28-19
18-23
12-21
19-24
169.1Avg total
79.8Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.586.0161.5-10.521%
Season at home (13)73.981.2155.2-7.323%
Season away (15)76.990.2167.1-13.320%
Last 10 (10)79.889.3169.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)76.489.0165.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.887.0159.9-14.217%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.084.3163.3-5.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 58
H14/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
49avg 58
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
51avg 58
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 58
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
75avg 58
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 58
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 58
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
62avg 58
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
95-74
95
74
+21
85avg 58
H12/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
89avg 58
H13/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-19
19-23
23-30
15-30
16-20
16-18
19-16
17-20
15-30
13-20
25-17
13-19
15-17
15-30
20-20
21-15
21-9
17-21
16-23
14-26
18-24
15-16
26-19
22-16
9-25
19-22
15-16
20-17
12-29
13-19
23-18
25-16
19-16
25-28
26-14
19-28
23-18
21-12
24-19
155.7Avg total
74.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.581.7152.2-11.229%
Season at home (15)73.280.7153.9-7.533%
Season away (13)67.482.8150.2-15.523%
Last 10 (10)74.781.0155.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)77.679.6157.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.984.3153.2-15.425%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.278.5159.7+2.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Espanol de TalcaPuerto Montt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A28/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/05
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/05
LNB
84.1Avg total
39.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.545.684.0-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.284.1-6.421%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.984.0-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.684.1-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.146.684.7-8.413%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.841.781.5-1.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/05
LNB
76.6Avg total
35.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.976.5-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.340.477.7-3.141%-
Last 30 away (13)33.341.574.8-8.223%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.976.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.079.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.441.275.6-6.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.239.880.0+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.023.4
45.9%
50.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.9
28.9%
32.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
70.3%13.7
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.3
48.9%
50.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.9
31.6%
32.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
70.3%13.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Espanol de Talca
LLLWLLLLWW
Puerto Montt
WWLLLWLLLL
#14
League position
#11
-13.3
Net rating
-7.7
97.0
Offensive rating
96.9
110.3
Defensive rating
104.6
45.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.9%
3-point %
31.6%
56.7%
Assist %
54.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 96.9Defence110.3 · 104.6Shooting45.2% · 48.4%3-point %28.9% · 31.6%Ball care17.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Espanol de Talca   ■ Puerto Montt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24APuerto Montt77-87
12/05/24APuerto Montt74-95
05/05/24AAncud82-87
04/05/24ANaviera Ulloa76-75 OT
28/04/24AU. De Concepcion73-101
21/04/24HLas Animas94-102 OT
20/04/24HEspanol Osorno67-83
14/04/24ACD Puerto Varas83-101
14/04/24APuerto Montt87-85
07/04/24ALeones Quilpue85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HEspanol de Talca87-77
12/05/24HEspanol de Talca95-74
06/05/24AValdivia68-83
04/05/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda65-79
29/04/24HPuente Alto73-85
28/04/24HSportiva Italiana75-68
21/04/24ANaviera Ulloa63-86
20/04/24AAncud70-87
14/04/24HU. De Concepcion66-84
14/04/24HEspanol de Talca85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %21%23%20%
Points / game75.573.976.9
Allowed / game86.081.290.2
Point differential-10.5-7.3-13.3
Avg total161.5155.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Puerto Montt
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%33%23%
Points / game70.573.267.4
Allowed / game81.780.782.8
Point differential-11.2-7.5-15.5
Avg total152.2153.9150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2621581%85.468.6+16.8
2 Ancud2621581%83.477.8+5.5
3 Espanol Osorno2620677%83.570.5+12.9
4 U. De Concepcion2620677%86.979.3+7.6
5 Valdivia26151158%84.381.0+3.3
6 Las Animas29161355%81.280.5+0.7
7 Puente Alto26141254%79.476.0+3.4
8 Naviera Ulloa29121741%71.272.5-1.3
9 Sportiva Italiana29121741%78.081.9-4.0
10 CD Puerto Varas29111838%79.482.7-3.3
11 Catolica2681831%74.478.3-3.9
12 Puerto Montt2882029%70.581.7-11.2
13 Liceo Pablo Neruda2662023%70.684.0-13.4
14 Espanol de Talca2862221%75.586.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Espanol de Talca2113191770
Puerto Montt1125182377
← all games of the day
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