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Espanol de Talca vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 94-92
26-25 14-22 28-25 26-20
Position#14
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game80.1
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Municipal Talca
Other2023-24
Meetings · Espanol de Talca v Valdivia
03 Apr 2025
ESPA95
VALD84
02 Mar 2024
ESPA94
VALD92
19 Feb 2023
ESPA81
VALD69
20 Mar 2022
ESPA64
VALD73
02 Feb 2019
ESPA80
VALD94
22 Oct 2017
ESPA86
VALD82
20 Nov 2016
ESPA90
VALD85
21 Nov 2015
ESPA142
VALD140
26 Oct 2014
ESPA95
VALD59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Espanol de Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
47avg 49
A19/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
80-100
80
100
-20
51avg 49
A22/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
51-123
51
123
-72
34avg 49
H25/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
57-63
57
63
-6
45avg 49
H26/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
63avg 49
H13/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
74-108
74
108
-34
58avg 49
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 49
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 49
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
78avg 49
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 49
A10/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
11-23
5-23
24-19
15-31
16-25
22-24
27-20
9-39
21-27
11-24
10-33
13-17
17-21
13-15
14-10
20-20
16-20
11-23
32-18
21-24
18-36
26-23
9-25
16-25
15-17
21-28
27-29
20-23
27-15
17-22
24-20
28-26
16-24
21-28
19-19
15-26
23-19
18-17
19-14
163.9Avg total
72.4Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.890.2170.0-10.317%
Season at home (3)83.786.0169.7-2.333%
Season away (3)76.094.3170.3-18.30%
Last 10 (10)72.491.5163.9-19.110%
Last 5 (5)80.092.0172.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)63.493.1156.5-29.70%
vs Similar (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
45-61
45
61
-16
31avg 72
A07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
65-66
65
66
-1
60avg 72
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 72
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 72
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 72
H20/01
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 72
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
100-81
100
81
+19
99avg 72
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
83avg 72
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 72
H10/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-15
6-14
13-12
18-20
16-18
22-19
17-17
10-12
24-17
27-27
16-25
27-16
18-10
22-24
27-15
24-20
18-26
23-19
23-19
15-15
19-24
21-14
29-19
16-14
13-24
19-12
25-16
16-18
25-22
21-16
27-14
27-29
24-18
24-25
20-21
14-25
19-23
12-22
23-26
25-17
156.9Avg total
80.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.480.1166.5+6.262%
Season at home (4)83.284.0167.2-0.825%
Season away (4)89.576.2165.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)80.176.8156.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)83.879.8163.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.576.5148.0-4.927%
vs Similar (11)84.882.5167.3+2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.967.1151.0+16.8100%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Espanol de TalcaValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A19/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A22/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H25/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H26/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H13/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/02
LNB
83.5Avg total
35.4Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.147.278.4-16.13%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.845.877.6-14.16%-
Last 30 away (14)30.448.979.3-18.40%-
Last 10 (10)35.448.183.5-12.710%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.086.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)30.647.678.1-17.00%-
vs Similar (1)47.038.085.0+9.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
14-29
14
29
-15
A07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/01
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H10/02
LNB
77.0Avg total
38.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.176.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.777.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.836.575.3+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.977.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.136.973.0-0.845%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.281.5+3.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.234.674.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.5
44.0%
50.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.4
29.9%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.611.4
61.3%
70.3%11.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
50.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.3
30.6%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.3%
70.3%10.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Espanol de Talca
LLWLLLLLLL
Valdivia
LLWWWLWWLL
#14
League position
#6
-23.8
Net rating
+2.6
90.2
Offensive rating
97.6
114.0
Defensive rating
95.0
44.3%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
22.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.9%
3-point %
30.6%
50.6%
Assist %
60.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 97.6Defence114.0 · 95.0Shooting44.3% · 48.4%3-point %29.9% · 30.6%Ball care22.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds33.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Espanol de Talca   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Espanol de Talca wins
6
Valdivia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ACatolica75-76
03/02/24HCD Puerto Varas84-97
02/02/24HPuerto Montt88-80
27/01/24ALas Animas79-99
26/01/24AEspanol Osorno74-108
13/01/24HAncud79-81
26/11/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda57-63
25/11/23HU. De Concepcion51-123
22/11/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda80-100
19/11/23ALeones Quilpue57-88
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HNaviera Ulloa79-88
09/02/24HAncud82-89
04/02/24APuente Alto100-81
27/01/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda73-70
20/01/24HCatolica85-71
19/01/24HLeones Quilpue87-88 OT
14/01/24APuerto Montt91-69
13/01/24ACD Puerto Varas94-85
10/12/23HEspanol Osorno65-66
07/12/23AEspanol Osorno45-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game79.883.776.0
Allowed / game90.286.094.3
Point differential-10.3-2.3-18.3
Avg total170.0169.7170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%25%100%
Points / game86.483.289.5
Allowed / game80.184.076.2
Point differential+6.2-0.8+13.2
Avg total166.5167.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud109190%86.177.5+8.6
2 Leones Quilpue87188%78.967.1+11.8
3 U. De Concepcion75271%86.380.9+5.4
4 Espanol Osorno107370%79.970.1+9.8
5 Valdivia85362%86.480.1+6.2
6 Las Animas106460%81.878.7+3.1
7 CD Puerto Varas105550%84.686.3-1.7
8 Naviera Ulloa94544%73.174.6-1.4
9 Sportiva Italiana62433%71.783.7-12.0
10 Puerto Montt103730%70.278.0-7.8
11 Liceo Pablo Neruda82625%70.477.6-7.2
12 Catolica92722%78.182.2-4.1
13 Espanol de Talca61517%79.890.2-10.3
14 Puente Alto71614%73.682.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Espanol de Talca2614282694
Valdivia2522252092
← all games of the day
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