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Essen vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-83
21-23 17-22 19-24 22-14
Position#15
Record3-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game69.5
GermanyPro ARound 13
Other2016-17
Meetings · Essen v Chemnitz
03 Dec 2016
ESSE79
CHE83
10 Oct 2015
ESSE62
CHE60
27 Sep 2014
ESSE96
CHE82
16 Nov 2013
ESSE74
CHE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#4
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A13/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H19/11
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
100-88
100
88
+12
A27/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
15-23
21-20
18-6
18-20
13-30
17-25
22-10
18-11
13-24
15-16
25-12
23-23
18-27
24-24
21-25
27-15
15-26
19-14
23-27
21-12
14-18
16-22
7-18
14-15
18-14
18-22
16-27
20-24
8-25
17-16
14-22
16-23
22-19
20-14
13-20
27-31
25-19
26-22
22-16
155.3Avg total
74.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.883.6156.3-10.825%
Season at home (6)72.581.2153.7-8.733%
Season away (6)73.086.0159.0-13.017%
Last 10 (10)74.480.9155.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)70.879.8150.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.181.7151.8-11.619%
vs Similar (10)69.979.4149.3-9.510%
vs Weaker (4)83.074.5157.5+8.575%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#5
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A04/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H08/10
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A13/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H22/10
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H29/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A04/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A06/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H12/11
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A19/11
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H26/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
17-18
15-18
10-29
21-18
19-20
22-11
19-18
21-15
19-16
19-19
22-26
–
–
–
–
11-20
18-13
19-21
17-25
20-19
11-29
20-18
24-19
17-13
10-26
12-15
26-14
24-11
20-15
16-18
22-17
10-19
19-14
29-12
21-18
12-10
30-12
18-11
17-20
143.0Avg total
73.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.569.5144.0+5.067%
Season at home (6)77.765.0142.7+12.783%
Season away (6)71.374.0145.3-2.750%
Last 10 (10)73.969.1143.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)75.666.0141.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.175.9143.0-8.80%
vs Similar (9)75.374.1149.4+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.067.9144.9+9.177%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
EssenChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/11
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A27/11
Pro A
77.7Avg total
35.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.539.173.7-4.639%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.872.7-2.940%-
Last 30 away (13)34.240.774.8-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.877.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.240.173.3-6.927%-
vs Similar (10)34.837.972.7-3.150%-
vs Weaker (3)40.338.779.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/10
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/10
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H29/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A06/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H12/11
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A19/11
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H26/11
Pro A
68.2Avg total
34.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.134.770.8+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.132.569.6+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)35.236.671.9-1.443%-
Last 10 (9)34.633.768.2+0.944%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.837.469.1-5.612%-
vs Similar (7)38.732.371.0+6.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.534.271.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Essen wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
19/03/16Chemnitz v Essen50-61
10/10/15Essen v Chemnitz62-60
17/01/15Chemnitz v Essen62-57
27/09/14Essen v Chemnitz96-82
16/02/14Chemnitz v Essen64-83
16/11/13Essen v Chemnitz74-63
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16ADresden100-88
19/11/16HPaderborn71-76
13/11/16AHeidelberg59-87
06/11/16HEhingen66-78
04/11/16ABaunach58-70
29/10/16HNurnberger84-82
23/10/16AHamburg86-99
15/10/16HHanau71-63
08/10/16ACrailsheim Merlins70-85
03/10/16HKirchheim79-81 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/16HTrier77-53
19/11/16AHamburg79-63
12/11/16HNurnberger82-61
06/11/16AKirchheim65-68
04/11/16ACrailsheim Merlins75-85
29/10/16HMitteldeutscher65-79
22/10/16HBaunach80-59
13/10/16AKoln81-76
08/10/16HPaderborn81-67
04/10/16AHeidelberg54-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game72.872.573.0
Allowed / game83.681.286.0
Point differential-10.8-8.7-13.0
Avg total156.3153.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Chemnitz
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game74.577.771.3
Allowed / game69.565.074.0
Point differential+5.0+12.7-2.7
Avg total144.0142.7145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher1211192%86.370.3+16.0
2 Kirchheim1211192%80.974.8+6.1
3 Crailsheim Merlins129375%82.272.0+10.2
4 Chemnitz128467%74.569.5+5.0
5 Heidelberg128467%70.967.9+3.0
6 Hanau138562%74.070.5+3.5
7 Paderborn137654%79.678.3+1.3
8 Gotha126650%75.670.8+4.8
9 Trier125742%73.873.2+0.7
10 Hamburg125742%73.075.1-2.1
11 Koln124833%74.978.5-3.6
12 Nurnberger124833%71.075.8-4.8
13 Baunach124833%71.278.8-7.7
14 Ehingen134931%72.479.0-6.6
15 Essen123925%72.883.6-10.8
16 Dresden131128%82.896.3-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Essen2117192279
Chemnitz2322241483
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