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Essen vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-76
16-23 22-19 20-14 13-20
Position#15
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.1
GermanyPro ARound 11
Other2016-17
Meetings · Essen v Paderborn
19 Nov 2016
ESSE71
PAD76
13 Feb 2016
ESSE64
PAD67
15 Mar 2015
ESSE64
PAD53
11 Jan 2014
ESSE77
PAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
64-107
64
107
-43
H24/09
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A01/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A13/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-27
22-23
17-28
16-29
16-30
16-16
18-17
15-24
14-19
15-23
21-20
18-6
18-20
13-30
17-25
22-10
18-11
13-24
15-16
25-12
23-23
18-27
24-24
21-25
27-15
15-26
19-14
23-27
21-12
14-18
16-22
7-18
14-15
18-14
18-22
16-27
20-24
8-25
17-16
14-22
154.1Avg total
70.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.283.9154.1-13.720%
Season at home (5)72.882.2155.0-9.440%
Season away (5)67.685.6153.2-18.00%
Last 10 (10)70.283.9154.1-13.720%
Last 5 (5)70.683.2153.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.082.1152.1-12.120%
vs Similar (12)72.477.2149.7-4.825%
vs Weaker (3)77.370.0147.3+7.367%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#13
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A24/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H01/10
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
130-125 OT
130
125
+5
A03/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A08/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H16/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H22/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A30/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H04/11
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A06/11
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H12/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
24-9
15-21
14-15
17-23
17-17
24-18
18-19
21-33
21-19
27-26
35-26
18-21
20-19
11-22
18-19
19-12
20-23
22-14
29-27
17-18
22-22
23-14
21-22
21-14
19-13
15-31
22-25
33-15
16-27
15-15
11-23
11-16
11-19
17-24
21-26
22-24
23-18
18-16
28-23
164.5Avg total
82.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.482.1164.5+0.350%
Season at home (5)83.078.0161.0+5.060%
Season away (5)81.886.2168.0-4.440%
Last 10 (10)82.482.1164.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)77.281.0158.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.983.2151.1-15.20%
vs Similar (13)71.674.2145.8-2.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.483.4174.8+8.080%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
EssenPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H24/09
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H03/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/10
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A04/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/11
Pro A
75.4Avg total
33.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.338.172.5-3.841%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.736.772.4-1.147%-
Last 30 away (12)32.739.972.6-7.233%-
Last 10 (10)33.242.275.4-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.875.4-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.939.972.8-7.129%-
vs Similar (11)36.236.873.0-0.655%-
vs Weaker (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#13
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A24/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/10
Pro A
Dresden
#16
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A30/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/11
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A06/11
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/11
Pro A
76.8Avg total
39.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.339.275.5-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.741.480.1-2.655%-
Last 30 away (16)34.637.772.3-3.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.476.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.276.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.140.372.4-8.218%-
vs Similar (11)38.437.776.1+0.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.040.081.0+1.040%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Essen wins
2
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
13/02/16Essen v Paderborn64-67
28/11/15Paderborn v Essen66-79
15/03/15Essen v Paderborn64-53
14/12/14Paderborn v Essen70-60
11/01/14Essen v Paderborn77-69
01/11/13Paderborn v Essen70-76
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16AHeidelberg59-87
06/11/16HEhingen66-78
04/11/16ABaunach58-70
29/10/16HNurnberger84-82
23/10/16AHamburg86-99
15/10/16HHanau71-63
08/10/16ACrailsheim Merlins70-85
03/10/16HKirchheim79-81 OT
01/10/16ATrier65-87
24/09/16HMitteldeutscher64-107
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16HKoln91-81
06/11/16AGotha60-85
04/11/16HKirchheim75-80
30/10/16AHeidelberg77-83
22/10/16HTrier83-76
16/10/16HEhingen90-76
08/10/16AChemnitz67-81
03/10/16ADresden130-125 OT
01/10/16HNurnberger76-77
24/09/16ABaunach75-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game70.272.867.6
Allowed / game83.982.285.6
Point differential-13.7-9.4-18.0
Avg total154.1155.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
Paderborn
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game82.483.081.8
Allowed / game82.178.086.2
Point differential+0.3+5.0-4.4
Avg total164.5161.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher109190%86.369.7+16.6
2 Kirchheim109190%81.375.8+5.5
3 Crailsheim Merlins108280%82.970.3+12.6
4 Heidelberg107370%71.667.9+3.7
5 Hanau117464%76.071.1+4.9
6 Chemnitz106460%73.871.8+2.0
7 Gotha105550%75.069.6+5.4
8 Trier105550%76.172.1+4.0
9 Paderborn105550%82.482.1+0.3
10 Hamburg104640%74.275.7-1.5
11 Ehingen114736%70.576.5-6.0
12 Baunach114736%71.479.5-8.2
13 Koln103730%73.476.6-3.2
14 Nurnberger103730%72.378.0-5.7
15 Essen102820%70.283.9-13.7
16 Dresden111109%82.196.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Essen1622201371
Paderborn2319142076
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