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Estela vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-63
20-12 25-10 14-25 16-16
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game90.7
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#1
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game77.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4
Other2023-24
Meetings · Estela v Forca Lleida
28 Oct 2023
ESTE75
FLL63
09 Apr 2023
ESTE68
FLL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
H09/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
54-80
54
80
-26
no box
A16/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H23/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A30/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
H06/05
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
64avg 70
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
no box
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
90-119
90
119
-29
75avg 70
A22/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-21
7-12
17-18
17-19
12-23
6-20
19-18
20-16
13-24
27-21
24-25
28-20
15-25
26-18
26-26
20-11
17-16
14-18
21-26
28-22
22-24
20-20
20-25
17-21
16-24
25-18
18-27
30-17
14-19
14-16
20-21
12-16
15-21
18-4
18-22
13-33
23-30
23-31
31-25
162.9Avg total
78.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.390.7172.0-9.333%
Season at home (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season away (2)84.096.0180.0-12.050%
Last 10 (10)78.384.6162.9-6.340%
Last 5 (5)82.090.6172.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.986.4158.3-14.619%
vs Similar (12)80.878.4159.2+2.358%
vs Weaker (2)75.567.0142.5+8.550%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A05/05
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H12/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
W
82-56
82
56
+26
no box
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A25/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A27/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H01/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H03/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 56
H06/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 56
A14/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 56
H20/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
15-21
17-19
24-18
26-21
23-13
21-26
21-18
22-20
22-17
19-7
19-12
18-10
24-25
11-16
13-22
19-21
12-21
27-17
22-21
20-13
24-16
14-11
19-31
22-25
22-22
21-20
18-23
15-17
21-15
19-19
20-17
22-19
17-16
17-28
10-16
13-24
21-18
16-17
16-27
154.4Avg total
76.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.077.7146.7-8.733%
Season at home (2)70.577.0147.5-6.550%
Season away (1)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.777.7154.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)73.478.8152.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.083.0165.0-1.060%
vs Similar (11)74.380.3154.5-6.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.971.6151.5+8.471%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
EstelaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/05
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A22/10
Primera FEB
79.4Avg total
37.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.477.1-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.137.273.3-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.780.9-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.879.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.483.4-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.443.278.6-7.825%-
vs Similar (12)38.238.276.4+0.133%-
vs Weaker (2)37.032.069.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/05
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A25/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H03/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H20/10
Primera FEB
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.377.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.280.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.740.375.0-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
vs Similar (11)37.838.075.8-0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.639.077.6-0.450%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estela wins
1
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
09/04/23Estela v Forca Lleida68-67
11/12/22Forca Lleida v Estela91-79
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ALeyma Coruna90-119
14/10/23HOurense76-80 OT
07/10/23AFuenlabrada78-73
19/05/23HOviedo76-90
13/05/23AAlmansa90-91
06/05/23HReal Valladolid72-71
30/04/23AMelilla95-89
23/04/23HLeyma Coruna84-86
16/04/23AEstudiantes54-80
09/04/23HForca Lleida68-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HTizona Burgos66-86
14/10/23ASan Pablo Burgos66-79
06/10/23HGipuzkoa75-68
03/06/23HReal Valladolid83-90
01/06/23HReal Valladolid77-71
27/05/23AReal Valladolid83-86 OT
25/05/23AReal Valladolid66-73
19/05/23AOurense82-56
12/05/23HIraurgi SB91-78
05/05/23ASan Pablo Burgos78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.376.084.0
Allowed / game90.780.096.0
Point differential-9.3-4.0-12.0
Avg total172.0156.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Forca Lleida
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.070.566.0
Allowed / game77.777.079.0
Point differential-8.7-6.5-13.0
Avg total146.7147.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna440100%97.583.8+13.8
2 Ourense440100%78.567.0+11.5
3 Tizona Burgos43175%90.280.2+10.0
4 San Pablo Burgos43175%79.071.5+7.5
5 Gipuzkoa43175%77.875.0+2.8
6 Estudiantes32167%81.774.7+7.0
7 Real Valladolid42250%81.280.8+0.5
8 Oviedo42250%84.085.5-1.5
9 Alicante31233%73.370.0+3.3
10 Hestia Menorca31233%72.372.7-0.3
11 Forca Lleida31233%69.077.7-8.7
12 Estela31233%81.390.7-9.3
13 Clavijo31233%56.372.0-15.7
14 Fuenlabrada41325%73.574.0-0.5
15 Real Betis41325%74.278.0-3.8
16 Melilla41325%76.882.5-5.8
17 Caceres41325%74.280.5-6.2
18 Castello41325%79.089.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2025141675
Forca Lleida1210251663
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