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Estonia U18 vs Portugal U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-80
19-26 14-25 16-11 8-18
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#8
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEuroBasket U18 BEuroBasket U18 B - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Estonia U18 v Portugal U18
28 Jul 2023
ESTO57
PORT80
25 Jul 2011
ESTO81
PORT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estonia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#11
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Denmark U18
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Bulgaria U18
#17
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Austria U18
#19
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Belgium U18
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Kosovo U18
#19
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A21/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Ireland U18
#21
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H22/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Netherlands U18
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A23/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Ukraine U18
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H25/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#6
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-22
12-21
9-11
15-22
23-20
14-27
18-12
17-19
18-15
18-29
25-15
22-19
26-19
21-24
13-13
13-10
22-12
16-18
20-13
15-14
18-16
18-14
17-16
23-21
20-14
19-14
20-9
18-16
11-20
17-20
25-26
20-23
24-14
19-22
26-18
19-25
16-9
15-19
20-18
145.5Avg total
74.3Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.069.6145.6+6.460%
Season at home (2)85.567.5153.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)69.771.0140.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)74.371.2145.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)76.069.6145.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.377.2148.5-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.871.5142.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (13)81.064.7145.7+16.3100%
This opponent (Portugal U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portugal U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland U18
#15
W
73-37
73
37
+36
H31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Slovakia U18
#9
W
76-48
76
48
+28
A02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Netherlands U18
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Latvia U18
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H22/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Bulgaria U18
#9
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A23/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Switzerland U18
#16
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H25/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Belgium U18
#11
L
71-79 OT
71
79
-8
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
16-3
26-13
18-7
21-13
18-19
20-6
17-10
18-14
15-12
8-15
8-12
23-14
19-17
18-25
9-17
27-13
16-15
20-22
14-15
21-12
18-17
16-26
26-25
16-21
24-17
19-14
14-23
16-17
16-22
14-22
13-24
30-20
20-16
28-15
19-23
19-25
20-11
15-6
13-25
139.4Avg total
72.5Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.078.2153.2-3.225%
Season at home (2)85.074.5159.5+10.550%
Season away (2)65.082.0147.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)72.566.9139.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)76.278.6154.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.473.3140.7-5.914%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.274.0148.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (15)69.956.9126.7+13.080%
This opponent (Estonia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
Estonia U18Portugal U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estonia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Denmark U18
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Bulgaria U18
#17
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Austria U18
#19
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Belgium U18
#5
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Kosovo U18
#19
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Ireland U18
#21
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Netherlands U18
#3
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A23/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Ukraine U18
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 B
71.8Avg total
37.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.372.3+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.932.972.7+7.080%-
Last 30 away (15)36.035.871.8+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.671.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.838.973.7-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.834.369.2+0.567%-
vs Weaker (13)42.030.572.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Portugal U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portugal U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland U18
#15
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Slovakia U18
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#7
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Netherlands U18
#18
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Latvia U18
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Bulgaria U18
#9
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Switzerland U18
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H25/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Belgium U18
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 B
69.8Avg total
38.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.268.0+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.532.969.5+3.647%-
Last 30 away (15)35.131.466.5+3.780%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.269.8+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.675.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.136.470.6-2.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.833.473.1+6.462%-
vs Weaker (15)34.529.564.0+4.973%-
This opponent (Estonia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estonia U18 wins
0
Portugal U18 wins
DateGameScore
04/08/19Portugal U18 v Estonia U1866-76
25/07/11Estonia U18 v Portugal U1881-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/23ARomania U1870-71
25/07/23HUkraine U1889-77
23/07/23ANetherlands U1871-82
22/07/23HIreland U1882-58
21/07/23AKosovo U1868-60
07/08/22ABelgium U1871-53
06/08/22HAustria U1882-75
05/08/22ABulgaria U1887-85 OT
02/08/22ADenmark U1870-81
31/07/22HUkraine U1853-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/23ABelgium U1871-79 OT
25/07/23HSwitzerland U1897-74
23/07/23ABulgaria U1859-85
22/07/23HLatvia U1873-75
07/08/22HBosnia & Herzegovina U1881-80
06/08/22ANetherlands U1877-65
05/08/22AFinland U1869-73
03/08/22ARomania U1849-53
02/08/22ASlovakia U1876-48
31/07/22HSwitzerland U1873-37

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia U18
EuroBasket U18 B 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game76.085.569.7
Allowed / game69.667.571.0
Point differential+6.4+18.0-1.3
Avg total145.6153.0140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal U18
EuroBasket U18 B 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.085.065.0
Allowed / game78.274.582.0
Point differential-3.2+10.5-17.0
Avg total153.2159.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia U18550100%80.269.4+10.8
2 Netherlands U1865183%82.566.2+16.3
3 Montenegro U1865183%79.771.2+8.5
4 Slovakia U1854180%72.462.0+10.4
5 Great Britain U1854180%77.267.6+9.6
6 Austria U1843175%80.072.2+7.8
7 Hungary U1864267%74.266.2+8.0
8 Romania U1864267%77.776.0+1.7
9 Bulgaria U1853260%79.269.6+9.6
10 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1853260%81.272.0+9.2
11 Estonia U1853260%76.069.6+6.4
12 Belgium U1853260%68.669.0-0.4
13 Iceland U1842250%77.873.0+4.8
14 Switzerland U1852340%74.880.8-6.0
15 Ukraine U1862433%72.879.8-7.0
16 Portugal U1841325%75.078.2-3.2
17 Georgia U1851420%78.878.6+0.2
18 Norway U1851420%76.878.2-1.4
19 North Macedonia U1851420%74.283.8-9.6
20 Ireland U1851420%75.091.0-16.0
21 Kosovo U186060%68.881.3-12.5
22 Albania U186060%48.088.2-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia U18191416857
Portugal U182625111880
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